Kaunas vs Besiktas Prediction 27 August 2026
π After being thrashed 0-3 in Istanbul, the Lithuanian club are on the brink of elimination from the Europa League. Kauno need more than just a win - they need to win by four goals to advance to the Europa League group stage, or by three to take the tie to extra time. BeΕiktaΕ, meanwhile, can afford to sit back and wait for their chances on the counter.
Head-to-Head
π This will be only the second meeting between the two sides.
Head-to-head statistics Kaunas - Besiktas
Zalgiris Kaunas Team Overview
The Lithuanian side come into the second leg after a week without a competitive fixture, which gave them time to prepare. But the first match made clear that the gap in quality is significant: Ε½algiris didn't register a single shot on target or create a meaningful chance. Their Europa League record offers little encouragement either - four consecutive defeats, conceding more than one goal in each.
In attack, they rely on Gabriel Debeljuh, but without support from midfield he tends to be isolated. In the first leg, the attacking line was completely nullified and the midfield struggled to cope with the Turkish side's press. The hosts will try to be more organised, but overturning a three-goal deficit without having created anything in the first match is a near-impossible task.
Match Results: Zalgiris Kaunas
Besiktas Istanbul Team Overview
The Turkish club are on course for the Europa League group stage in confident fashion. BeΕiktaΕ have yet to concede in this qualifying campaign, beating Hradec KrΓ‘lovΓ©, Midtjylland and Kauno across five matches with an aggregate score of 8-0. Their two away wins in the current qualifying rounds have also ended a poor run on the road in the Europa League, during which they had managed just one win in eight matches.
Vincenzo Italiano is likely to rest his key players - BeΕiktaΕ have three matches in eight days, and on 23 August they already lost to Alanyaspor (0-1), with fatigue a factor. Even so, BeΕiktaΕ look the stronger side even with a rotated squad. Even if they are not playing for a win, they should be capable of controlling the game and keeping a clean sheet.
Match Results: Besiktas Istanbul
Latest news
Zalgiris Kaunas
βοΈ Ε½algiris have no injury concerns, but Edgaras JurΕΎonas has left the club.
Besiktas Istanbul
β All the key players are available, but a few squad players are likely to start. A three-goal handicap gives the manager room to rotate during a busy schedule of two matches a week.
π¨ Yellow Cards Prediction
BeΕiktaΕ have picked up at least two yellow cards in each of their last ten away matches in the Europa League. Kauno may play more aggressively at home, and in the first leg they collected four bookings. The main bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5. The referee's statistics also support this. JesΓΊs Gil Manzano has averaged 4.4 yellow cards per game across his last nine international matches.
β½οΈ Goals Prediction
BeΕiktaΕ have not conceded in the current qualifying campaign, but they do generally allow opponents to create chances. In the Europa League, their goal has been tested with at least four shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches. Despite that, the most sensible option here is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.90*. That bet has landed in 11 of BeΕiktaΕ's last 12 matches, and Kauno's attacking quality doesn't make a high-scoring game the obvious call.
π© Corners Prediction
In 9 of their last 10 home matches, Kauno Ε½algiris's opponents have taken no more than five corners. BeΕiktaΕ are unlikely to play open football, and the hosts will probably struggle to sustain pressure in the attacking third. We're going with Total Corners - Under 9.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
β Editor's Pick
After the heavy defeat in the first leg, BeΕiktaΕ can afford to be conservative. They don't need to take risks or score freely - controlling the match and keeping a clean sheet is enough. In the current qualifying campaign they are yet to lose or concede, and there's little reason to think they'll change that approach in Kaunas. Ε½algiris, having lost the first leg, have effectively accepted a drop into the Conference League - this tie's result doesn't leave them without European football altogether. The Lithuanians may try to make a statement at home, but without the kind of chances we saw in the first match, and with the visitors having no need to push forward, goals at both ends look unlikely. The pick is Both Teams to Score - No. Predicted correct score: 0-2.
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Betting Tips: Zalgiris Kaunas - Besiktas Istanbul
in 6 of last 7 games.in last 5 games (Europa League).
in 7 of last 8 games.in 8 of last 9 Zalgiris Kaunas home games.in 6 of last 7 Zalgiris Kaunas games.in 8 of last 9 Besiktas Istanbul away games.in last 7 Besiktas Istanbul games.in last 5 Besiktas Istanbul games (Europa League).
in 18 of last 20 away games.in 8 of last 9 games.
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