Shinnik vs Ufa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
🔉 Shinnik and Ufa meet midway through the league season, with both teams in the lower half of the First League table. There is little between them, while the gap to the automatic promotion places remains substantial. Neither side has scored consistently in recent matches: Shinnik average just over one goal per game, while Ufa average less than one. The visitors’ defence looks slightly more reliable, but their attacking potential is limited. Both teams’ league motivation is considered low or non-existent, which gives them little incentive to take risks for a result.
Ufa have yet to win in Yaroslavl
Shinnik beat Ufa 1-0 in their Pari First League meeting on 09 March 2026, although the visitors had more shots, 5-3, and corners, 5-2. The only goal was scored before half-time.
📊 In seven official meetings, Shinnik have won five and Ufa two, with no draws. Shinnik’s advantage at home is particularly notable: three wins without conceding a goal.
Head-to-head statistics Shinnik - Ufa

Shinnik Team Overview
Shinnik lost 2-0 away to Chelyabinsk on 1 November 2026 in their latest PARI League match. Despite having eight corners to their opponents’ six, Shinnik had fewer shots - 9 to 12.
Shinnik are having a mixed spell: in their last five matches, they have won twice, lost twice and drawn once. In their last 10 games, they have recorded three wins, three defeats and four draws. They average 1 goal per match and concede slightly more than that. Overall, they play cautiously, rarely allowing opponents to create many chances, but their own finishing is not particularly strong. Their aim is to challenge for promotion, but they are 9 points behind the leaders and their motivation at this stage is low.
Match Results: Shinnik

Ufa Team Overview
Ufa drew 0-0 away to Rotor in their last PARI League match on 1 November 2026. With possession evenly split, Ufa managed just one shot on target to their opponents’ four.
Ufa cannot boast consistent results either: they have managed just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two defeats. Over their last 10 games, they have won twice, drawn four times and lost four times. Ufa score an average of 0.7 goals and concede 0.8 per game - this points to a pragmatic approach and caution in their play. With a 10-point gap to the target zone, the motivation to push for promotion is effectively absent, so they are not inclined to take risks and instead try to limit them.
Match Results: Ufa
Match Result Prediction
Shinnik have avoided defeat at home in 20 of their last 21 matches. This season, they have lost just once at home, with three wins and five draws. Ufa have won just one of their seven away matches, so we pick Shinnik to avoid defeat at odds of 1.31*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed in five consecutive head-to-head matches. In recent matches, Shinnik have averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded at home, while Ufa have averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded away. The head-to-head results provide further support for these figures: we pick Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.48*.
Corners Prediction
Total Corners - Under 10.5 has landed in six of Ufa’s last seven matches. At the same time, six of their last seven matches have had over 7.5 corners, while Shinnik have taken over 3.5 corners in six consecutive matches. These runs do not rule out the 10.5 line, but they limit confidence in the under. We pick Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.49*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Ufa have scored an average of 0.4 goals in their recent away matches, while Shinnik have conceded 0.71 at home. Ufa's scoring rate in away matches this season is also low, at 0.71 goals per match. These averages do not show how often either team failed to score, so we select Both Teams to Score - No at odds of 1.67* with moderate confidence.
High-Risk Bet
Shinnik have drawn five of their nine home matches this season, while Ufa have drawn three of their seven away matches. Ufa’s recent away figures stand at an average of 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. However, Shinnik have won three times at home, so we are backing the draw only as a riskier option at odds of 3.00*.
Safer Bet
Ufa have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in seven consecutive head-to-head matches. In their recent away matches, they have averaged 0.4 goals, while Shinnik have conceded 0.71 goals on average at home. We pick Ufa Team Total Goals - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.29*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1:0 (13.88%), 1:1 (13.32%) and 0:0 (12.81%). The 1:0 scoreline is the most likely. The probabilities of the other two scorelines are lower by 0.56 and 1.07 percentage points, respectively.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor’s Pick
Both teams come into the match without significant league pressure and with limited attacking potential. Shinnik play cautiously but are not always solid defensively, while Ufa prefer a tight game with few goalscoring chances. The trend for under 2.5 total goals in their head-to-head meetings is supported by both teams’ low scoring this season. However, the main trend - under 10.5 total corners in Ufa’s matches - looks more reliable. The visitors’ cautious approach and the lack of league pressure reduce the likelihood of many set pieces. The pick is Total Corners - Under 10.5.