AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
🔊 Tarma and Sporting Cristal head into the penultimate round of the Clausura with very different objectives. The hosts are 15th with 11 points and risk slipping into the relegation zone. The visitors top the table with 31 points, but Sport Huancayo and Universitario have the same tally. Any slip-up could cost the capital club the lead. Even so, a trip to Tarma does not look straightforward, despite Sporting Cristal's impressive form.
Sporting Cristal win more often.
Sporting Cristal thrashed AD Tarma 5-0 in the League Cup on 01 October 2026. The hosts led 2-0 at half-time.
📊 Sporting Cristal have won 4 of the 5 head-to-head matches, while AD Tarma have won one, with no draws. The difference is particularly clear at Sporting Cristal’s ground: 3 wins in 3 meetings, with nine goals scored and two conceded.
Head-to-head statistics AD Tarma - Sporting Cristal
AD Tarma: Problems in Attack and Defence
AD Tarma drew 2-2 away to Comerciantes Unidos in their last Primera match. They led 1-0 at half-time and had more shots over the course of the match, 14 to 11, despite having less possession than their opponents: 44% to 56%.
Tarma continue to struggle, with just two wins in their last ten league matches. During that run, they have drawn three times and lost five, scoring 10 goals and conceding 19. Their attack rarely gives them the advantage they need, while their defence too often undoes the attack’s work. At home, though, Tarma have been notably more assured, taking 22 points compared with nine away. The support of the home crowd could be an important factor against the Clausura leaders.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Sporting Cristal: attack hitting its stride
Sporting Cristal scored five unanswered goals at home against UT de Cajamarca in their most recent Primera match, all after a goalless first half. The winners had a 20-8 advantage in shots and 61% possession to their opponents’ 39%.
Sporting Cristal have won nine of their last 10 matches, including in the League Cup. Over that run, they have scored 30 goals and conceded just nine. The capital club also lead the Clausura in scoring, with 34 goals in 15 rounds. However, most of their attacking success has come at home, while they score far less often away. That difference gives Tarma some chance even against such a prolific opponent.
Match Results: Sporting Cristal
Total Goals Prediction
Sporting Cristal regularly produce high-scoring games, especially in recent weeks of the league season. The teams have scored at least three goals between them in four of Sporting Cristal’s previous five matches. Their head-to-head meetings have also often been high-scoring, with at least three goals in four of the last five encounters, including the League Cup. Tarma usually play more cautiously at home, but it will be difficult to shut out such a strong attack completely. Bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.75*.
Safer Bet
Despite Sporting Cristal’s goalscoring record overall, they have been far more modest away from home. The capital club have scored no more than one goal in 6 of their 7 away matches in the current Clausura. Tarma are also capable of defending well in front of their own fans, having conceded just once in their last three home league matches. Our pick: Sporting Cristal Team Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.13*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.42%), 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.7%). Of these, 1-1 is the most likely. The other two outcomes have lower probabilities, in descending order.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sporting Cristal look stronger on current form, but they score noticeably fewer goals away than at home. Tarma have already shown they can handle this opponent, winning their previous two home league meetings and scoring three goals in each. The hosts need points in particular right now, so they are unlikely to rely solely on defence. Even if the visitors score few goals, Tarma's attacking play could produce several goals. Predicted score: 2-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: AD Tarma - Sporting Cristal
in 9 of last 10 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
in 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).in last 5 away games.
in 15 of last 17 games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).in 19 of last 20 games (Primera Division).in 15 of last 16 games.in 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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