Shinnik vs Ufa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Shinnik and Ufa in the 23rd round of the First League? Both teams find themselves in a tough spot, eager to climb the standings. Shinnik have struggled with consistency but tend to perform better at home. Meanwhile, Ufa are in the relegation zone and are working hard to turn things around. Their last head-to-head ended with a victory for Ufa, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this upcoming matchup.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams took place on 02 August 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Ufa were the home side):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Shinnik Yaroslavl and Ufa:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 2, draws - 0;
- number of goals - 8 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 0.83;
- average total goals in the match - 1.83.
Head-to-head statistics Shinnik - Ufa
Shinnik Yaroslavl Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Rodina Moscow, away team - Shinnik Yaroslavl). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the game statistics (Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rodina Moscow):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 12.
Shinnik currently sit 12th in the league standings, displaying inconsistent form with one win, three losses, and one draw in their last five matches. The team has an average scoring rate of 0.86 goals per game but boasts a solid defense, conceding only 0.95 goals per match. They tend to perform more confidently on home turf and could leverage this advantage to secure a positive result against a lower-ranked opponent.
Match Results: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Ufa Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Football National League tournament (home team - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, away - Ufa). The match ended with a score of 2:0.
Here are the game statistics (Ufa vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Ufa are sitting in 16th place, facing the tough challenge of avoiding relegation. Their current form is far from ideal, with just one draw and four losses in their last five matches, indicating issues both in attack and defense. Nevertheless, the team remains determined to improve their results, hoping to replicate the success of their last encounter with Shinnik, where they secured a narrow 1-0 victory.
Match Results: Ufa
Latest news
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Daniil Martovoy will not play due to a muscle injury.
Ufa
Dylan Ortiz will miss the match due to a leg injury, while Konstantin Troyanov is sidelined because of an accumulation of yellow cards.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 2, draws - 0.
Statistics: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ufa
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 27% vs 18%;
- losses: 8 vs 10;
- draws: 8 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Shinnik Yaroslavl have not lost in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Shinnik Yaroslavl have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games (Football National League).
- Ufa have not won in 25 of last 26 away games.
- Ufa have not won in 22 of last 23 away games (Football National League).
- Ufa have not won in 16 of last 18 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ufa
- average total in the tournament: 1.82 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 0.86 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.41 vs 0.59;
- Shinnik Yaroslavl: average total at home in the tournament - 1.18;
- Ufa: average total away in the tournament - 0.82;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.33) vs 1.1 (away - 0.6).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 11 Ufa games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 9 Ufa games (Football National League).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Ufa away games (Football National League).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.83 (2.83 - for home team and 5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11 (3.5 - for home team and 7.5 - for away team).
Shinnik Yaroslavl: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.27; at home field - 5.09;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 4.67.
Ufa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.41, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 5 Shinnik Yaroslavl games against Ufa.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ufa
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl at home - 3 (27%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ufa away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Shinnik Yaroslavl at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Ufa away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (35/201, 17.4%);
- Shinnik Yaroslavl at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 , 2:0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Ufa away most often play: 1:0 , 2:0 , 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.65% (odds 4.7)
1:1 - 13.65% (odds 5.55)
0:0 - 12.78% (odds 5.6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Shinnik enter the match as favorites, but the standings make this encounter crucial for both teams. Ufa are languishing near the bottom of the table and desperately need points, so they're unlikely to play too cautiously. Moreover, recent matches involving the visitors have consistently been high-scoring, with the total exceeding 1.5 goals in their last 11 games. Given this context, betting on over 1.5 goals seems like a reasonable choice.No comments
Betting Tips: Shinnik Yaroslavl - Ufa
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