Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
π Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk go into their head-to-head match very close to each other in the First League table: both sides are in the bottom half, and they are already more than 13 points off the automatic promotion places. Their league position offers little motivation at present, so recent form and goalscoring come to the fore. In recent rounds, Arsenal Tula have regularly been involved in high-scoring home matches, while Chelyabinsk have been slightly more consistent defensively away from home. The likely pattern of this match is determined by the hostsβ recent home games.
No one has won
Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk drew 0-0 in their most recent Pari First League meeting on 22 April 2026. The Tula side had more possession (58%) and took more shots (9:4), but the teams were level on shots on target at 2:2.
π Both official meetings between Arsenal Tula and FC Chelyabinsk ended in draws. Neither team scored at Arsenal Tulaβs ground, while in Chelyabinsk both teams scored twice in a 2-2 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk

Unbeaten at home
Arsenal Tula lost 4-0 away to Nizhny Novgorod in their latest PARI League match on 30 October 2026. They trailed 2-0 at half-time; the Tula side had two shots in the match, both on target.
Arsenal Tula are going through a difficult spell: they have won two and lost three of their last five matches. Over ten games, the picture is even tougher, with just two wins and six defeats, and averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Despite this, Arsenal Tulaβs recent home matches have been high-scoring. They have scored more than 1.5 goals at home in five consecutive matches, and the total has gone over 2.5 goals in those same five home games. The defence remains vulnerable, but the attack have consistently converted their chances at home. Arsenal Tula are unbeaten in their last six matches in Tula, with two draws and four wins.
Match Results: Arsenal Tula

Away struggles continue
FC Chelyabinsk beat Shinnik 2-0 at home in their most recent PARI League match on 1 November 2026. The hosts had more possession (60%) and more shots - 12-9, including 5-3 on target.
Chelyabinsk cannot boast consistency either: they have two wins and three defeats in their last five matches, and four wins and four defeats over their last ten. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over that ten-match stretch, suggesting a slightly more reliable defence than their opponents. This season, Chelyabinsk have averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per match, remaining a team with a moderate scoring rate overall. They have lost their last two away matches. Their position is similar to that of the hosts: the gap to the promotion places is large, so motivation remains low.
Match Results: FC Chelyabinsk
Prediction for the 1st half
Arsenal Tula have conceded in the first half in eight of their last nine matches. This is a direct argument in favour of Chelyabinsk scoring before the break, although the trend covers both Arsenal Tula's home and away matches. The pick is Chelyabinsk First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 2.49*.
Match Result Prediction
Arsenal Tula are unbeaten in six consecutive home matches. This season, they have recorded five home wins, two draws and one defeat; Chelyabinsk have lost four of their eight away matches. These figures support a bet on Arsenal Tula - Handicap 0 at odds of 1.42*.
Total Goals Prediction
Arsenal Tula have scored more than 1.5 goals at home in five consecutive matches. They average 2 goals at home this season and 2.75 in their recent home matches. FC Chelyabinsk, meanwhile, have conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their recent away matches, which limits confidence in the prediction. The pick is Arsenal Tula Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.97*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Arsenal Tula have scored and conceded in five consecutive home matches. This season, they have averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home; Chelyabinsk have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded away. These figures provide grounds to back Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.80*.
High-Risk Bet
Chelyabinsk have scored and conceded in the second half in five consecutive away matches. Arsenal Tula have also conceded in the second half in ten of their last eleven matches, while Chelyabinsk have done so in seven of their last eight away matches. These runs support the bolder bet on Both Teams to Score in the Second Half - Yes at odds of 3.38*.
Safer Bet
Arsenal Tula have scored at home in nine of their last ten matches. They have averaged 2 goals per home match this season and 2.75 in their most recent home matches; FC Chelyabinsk have conceded an average of 1.63 goals per away match this season. Therefore, we pick Arsenal Tula Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.15*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithmβs calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1:1 (11.32%), 2:1 (9.14%) and 1:0 (7.94%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely, followed by 2:1 and 1:0.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
β Editor's Prediction
Arsenal Tula's run points to a high-scoring game: they have scored and conceded in five consecutive home matches, with over 2.5 goals in each of them. The hosts' defence is inconsistent, but their attack regularly delivers at home. Chelyabinsk do not look capable of shutting the game down completely - their average goals conceded figures support this. With neither side having a strong league incentive, the circumstances favour open football with plenty of chances at both ends. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
