Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

    🔊 In the 26th round of the Eredivisie, Groningen will host Ajax, with both clubs entering the match in contrasting form. Groningen are enduring a tough period, currently on a six-game losing streak, while Ajax consistently pick up points, managing only two wins over the same span. However, in head-to-head meetings, the Amsterdam side have triumphed eight times in a row. Will Ajax's streak continue? Let's evaluate their chances in our editorial prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Ajax Amsterdam):

    • ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 7.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and Ajax Amsterdam:

    • played 36 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 26, draws - 5;
    • number of goals - 26 against 72;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.72;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.72.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    16%
    6 Wins
    13%
    5 Draws
    71%
    27 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    2.74
    Both teams scored
    45%
    0.76
    Total average
    1.97
    1.89
    Yellow cards
    1.18
    Last matches
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    07.03.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    2.07
    2.05
    6
    8
    5
    7
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.07
    2.05
    6
    8
    5
    7
    1
    1
    02.12.25
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    0.18
    0
    3
    5
    14
    10
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.18
    0
    3
    5
    14
    10
    1
    0
    14.05.25
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    1.82
    0.95
    4
    3
    15
    13
    4
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.82
    0.95
    4
    3
    15
    13
    4
    3
    06.10.24
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    -
    -
    5
    2
    7
    9
    3
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    7
    9
    3
    2
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    Groningen Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Volendam, away team - Groningen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs Volendam):

    • ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
    • fouls: 13 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 4.

    Groningen are currently struggling, having suffered six consecutive defeats. In their last ten matches, they've managed just two wins. Despite this, they consistently put up a fight against opponents, averaging 1.2 goals per game. However, their defense is a concern, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, which has recently prevented them from picking up points even against lower-ranked clubs. 

    Match Results: Groningen

    Last matches
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    L
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    Groningen
    Groningen
    0.9
    1.73
    9
    5
    8
    5
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.9
    1.73
    9
    5
    8
    5
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    0.81
    2.43
    5
    8
    5
    10
    0
    0
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0.81
    2.43
    5
    8
    5
    10
    0
    0
    L
    25.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.83
    0.92
    3
    3
    10
    15
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.83
    0.92
    3
    3
    10
    15
    0
    2
    L
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    Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PEC Zwolle, away - Ajax Amsterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.

    Here are the match stats (Ajax Amsterdam vs PEC Zwolle):

    • ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 12;
    • fouls: 8 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    Ajax hold the 3rd spot in the Eredivisie, thanks to their consistent performance and scoring ability throughout the season. However, in their last five matches, the Amsterdam side have secured just one victory and drawn four times. The team scores frequently, averaging 1.5 goals over their last 10 games, but they still need to bolster their defensive line, as they've failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 encounters.

    Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    1.26
    0.84
    7
    3
    9
    15
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    4
    3
    1.26
    0.84
    7
    3
    9
    15
    0
    1
    W
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    2.47
    2.02
    10
    6
    9
    8
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.47
    2.02
    10
    6
    9
    8
    0
    3
    D
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    1.32
    1.69
    4
    7
    9
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.32
    1.69
    4
    7
    9
    9
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    PSV
    PSV
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • home team wins - 5, away team wins - 26, draws - 5.

    Statistics: Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam

    • matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • wins: 9 vs 11;
    • win percentage: 36% vs 44%;
    • losses: 12 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 11.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 3;
    • losses: 6 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 5.
    Trends
    • Groningen have not won in last 8 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
    • Groningen have not won in 8 of last 9 home games (Eredivisie).
    • Groningen have not won in last 6 games (Eredivisie).
    • Ajax Amsterdam have not lost in last 12 games (Eredivisie).
    • Ajax Amsterdam have not lost in 8 of last 9 games.
    👉Prediction: Ajax Amsterdam will not lose(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.72, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.72;
    • both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam

    • average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 3.12;
    • average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.88;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 1.08;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.8;
    • Groningen: average total at home in the tournament -  1.42;
    • Ajax Amsterdam: average total away in the tournament - 1.92;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Groningen (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Ajax Amsterdam Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on corners

    Groningen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.44; at home field - 7.58;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.9; at home field - 9.

    Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.04, away - 4.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.2.
    Trends
    • Ajax Amsterdam have taken under 4.5 corners in 8 of last 9 away games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Ajax Amsterdam Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.63)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.

    Statistics: Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 18;
    • number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 6 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 11 (92%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 3 (60%).
    Trends
    • Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 12 of last 13 away games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.5)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/225, 11.1%);
    • Groningen at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/12, 25%);
    • Ajax Amsterdam away most often play: 2:2 (4/12, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.8% (odds 7)
    1:2 - 8.98% (odds 9)
    0:1 - 8.62% (odds 10)

    Trends
    • Groningen lost 1:2 in 3 of last 4 games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:2)(odds: 9)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, it's reasonable to expect a high-scoring match. Groningen are in a slump with six consecutive losses, yet they continue to challenge opponents with commendable scoring efforts. Ajax, on the other hand, find the net even more frequently but lack defensive stability. The Amsterdam side often score more than 1.5 goals against Groningen, and in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head encounters, the total goals have not fallen below 2.5. With these factors in mind, we suggest betting on over 2.5 total goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -167*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 March 2026, 10:43)

    Betting Tips: Groningen - Ajax Amsterdam

    Groningen have lost the 1st half
    fc-groningen-1ajax-amsterdam-1in 7 of last 8 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
    1st Half Ajax Amsterdam Win
    Bovada
    +185
    Groningen have lost
    fc-groningen-1ajax-amsterdam-1in 7 of last 8 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
    fc-groningen-1in last 6 games (Eredivisie).
    Ajax Amsterdam Win
    Bovada
    +131
    Groningen have lost the 2nd half
    fc-groningen-1ajax-amsterdam-1in 7 of last 8 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
    fc-groningen-1in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
    2nd Half Ajax Amsterdam Win
    Everygame
    +155
    Ajax Amsterdam have drawn
    ajax-amsterdam-1in last 3 away games (Eredivisie).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +260
    View more facts

    Groningen - Ajax Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Twente
    Twente
    341513659-4058
    5.
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    341414662-4156
    6.
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    341581155-4253
    8.
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    341491157-5351
    9.
    Groningen
    Groningen
    341461449-4548
    10.
    Sparta
    Sparta
    341271540-6243

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 12
    +4
    +9
    17 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    3
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    17
    12
    Conceded
    8
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    55'
    View all stats