Groningen vs Ajax Prediction
πCan Groningen once again challenge Ajax in the 33rd round of the Eredivisie? Both teams are showing intriguing trends: Ajax are confidently leading the league at the top of the table, while Groningen sit in eleventh place. In recent matches, both sides have shown decent form, each winning four out of their last ten games. However, neither team's defense is flawless, which could lead to a high-scoring affair. It's also worth noting the tactical approaches: Ajax are known for their attacking style of play, whereas Groningen prefer a defensive strategy.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 October 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Ajax Amsterdam):
- ball possession percentage: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and Ajax Amsterdam:
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 25, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 24 against 68;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.71;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Groningen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away team - Groningen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 12;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 12.
Groningen aim to maintain their mid-table position in the Eredivisie. The team struggles with converting chances, averaging only 1.19 goals per match while conceding 1.53 goals per game. However, they play with more confidence on home turf and rarely suffer defeats, as evidenced by their recent home record: Groningen have only lost once by a margin greater than 1.5 goals in their last home fixtures. Their most recent encounter with Ajax ended in a 1-3 defeat, but this doesn't diminish their resilience when facing top-tier opponents.
Match Results: Groningen

Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Ajax Amsterdam, away - NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here are the match stats (Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Ajax are the undisputed leaders of the current Eredivisie season, thanks to their attacking prowess and high-caliber players. With 23 victories this season, the team continues to dominate on all fronts. Their average goal tally is nearly two per game, although their defense has shown some instability recently, conceding around one goal per match regardless of the opposition. Nonetheless, their historical success against Groningen is a significant factor: the last six head-to-head encounters have ended in victories for the Amsterdam side.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Latest news
Groningen
Regarding Groningen's lineup, the club might be without Fofin Turay and Maxim Mariani, as both players are doubtful due to health issues. The situation with Turay is particularly concerning, as he is recovering from an Achilles tendon injury.
Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax are also dealing with personnel issues. Amourricho van Axel Dongen has suffered a knock and might miss the upcoming match, Oliver Edvardsen is sidelined until the end of May, and Youri Baas will be out for the rest of the season due to a groin injury.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 25, draws - 4.
Statistics: Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 10 vs 23;
- win percentage: 31% vs 72%;
- losses: 14 vs 4;
- draws: 8 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Groningen won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
- Groningen won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 home games.
- Groningen won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.71, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam
- average total in the tournament: 2.72 vs 2.91;
- average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.97;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.66 vs 0.81;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.53 vs 1.16;
- Groningen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total away in the tournament - 1.69;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.6) vs 1.3 (away - 1.2).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Groningen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.31; at home field - 5.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 4.6.
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.69, away - 4.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; away - 6.6.
- Groningen have taken under 3.5 corners in last 7 games against Ajax Amsterdam (Eredivisie).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.64 (1.82 for home team and 1.82 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.77 (2.12 for home team and 1.65 for away team).
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.47; at home - 1.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.1; at home - 0.4.
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.53, away - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 1.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 9 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 7 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 7 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 2 (40%).
- Groningen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Editor's Prediction
Despite leading the standings, Ajax have noticeably slowed down towards the end of the season, securing just one point in their last three matches. Groningen, on the other hand, remain motivated to break into the top nine and are particularly formidable at home: they cover a +1.5 spread in 22 of their last 23 home games. In head-to-head clashes with Ajax at their stadium, Groningen consistently hold their ground-covering the +1.5 spread in nine of the last ten encounters. Given this data, backing Groningen to win with a +1.5 handicap appears to be a well-founded choice.