Paderborn vs Stuttgart Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026

📊 Less than three weeks ago, Stuttgart left Paderborn with all three points in the Bundesliga. Jeff Chabot opened the scoring with a header, and seven minutes from time, Chris Führich sealed the win. These sides also clashed at this very stadium in the DFB-Pokal back in January 2023. On that occasion, Paderborn went into the break with a one-goal advantage but ultimately lost 2-1, conceding the decisive goal in stoppage time.

Stuttgart have scored more than two goals in just one of their last seven competitive fixtures-away in Bratislava. Since their win in Paderborn, the visitors have only found the net against Gladbach in the Bundesliga, while suffering a shutout defeat in Hamburg. The hosts, meanwhile, have conceded three or more goals just once in seven league rounds-against Dortmund. We expect Stuttgart to get on the scoresheet, but not to hit three. The pick is Stuttgart under 2.5 team goals at odds of 1.57*.

There have been more than ten corners in six of Stuttgart’s last seven away matches. The visitors consistently rack up a high tally themselves: over their last ten official fixtures, Sebastian Hoeneß’s side have taken 66 corners, compared to 51 by their opponents. Paderborn’s numbers over the same stretch stand at 61 to 54. In their head-to-head clash on October 10, the match saw 12 corners-seven for the hosts and five for the visitors. We expect to see another high total on Wednesday. The bet: over 10.5 total corners.

In six of Paderborn’s last ten official fixtures, referees have brandished at least three yellow cards, while the visitors have seen the same outcome in seven of their recent matches. Stuttgart’s opponents tend to pick up the most bookings: over that stretch, they’ve received 21 yellows compared to just 12 for Hoeneß’s men. Paderborn’s tally stands at 17 for themselves and 15 for their rivals. With a knockout clash on the line, this match is unlikely to be as calm as the October 10 meeting, which saw just a single card. The bet here is on over 2.5 total yellow cards.

*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

📌 Editorial Prediction 

Goals have been at a premium in Stuttgart’s recent fixtures. In six of their last seven away matches, fewer than four goals have been scored-the only exception being their defeat to Gladbach. Paderborn aren’t exactly known for high-scoring games either; the Bundesliga newcomers have netted six and conceded nine in their opening seven rounds. So, it’s unlikely that Stuttgart will run riot in this cup tie. We’re backing the visitors to win in a low-scoring affair, just as they did in their league meeting on October 10th in Paderborn. Our pick: under 3.5 total goals. Predicted scoreline: 0-2.