Milan vs Inter Prediction 5 August 2026
🔊 Even as a friendly, a match between Milan and Inter is one of the biggest in European football. This time the two rivals meet not in Italy but in Australia, where both clubs are continuing their pre-season preparations. For both coaching staffs, it's a chance to run the eye over new signings and see how quickly they settle into the system. The result isn't the priority here - but nobody wants to lose a Milan derby, wherever it's played.
Head-to-Head
The last time these two sides met was 08 March 2026 in Serie A. Milan won 1-0. Here's how the stats looked in that match (Milan were the home side):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊 In recent seasons, the balance in this rivalry has gradually shifted toward Milan. Inter used to come out on top more often, but that's changed. In the 2025/26 season, the Rossoneri beat their city rivals twice in the league, both 1-0. Before that, in spring 2025, Milan knocked Inter out of the Coppa Italia - a 3-0 demolition. These results show that even with different styles of play, Milan have figured out how to handle their neighbours. And with this being a friendly, expect the match to be a bit more open than the official derbies of recent years.
Head-to-head statistics Milan - Inter
Milan Team Overview
Milan's last friendly was against Celtic - a 2-2 draw. Here's how the stats broke down (Milan vs Celtic):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Milan had a busy summer. The club strengthened the squad significantly, with Gonçalo Ramos the headline signing at around €74 million. Álvaro Morata and Niklas Füllkrug both left, so the attacking setup looks quite different now.
The Rossoneri come into this match off a lively draw with Celtic. Francesco Camarda was the standout - the young forward converted a penalty, then doubled his tally six minutes later after a pass from Samuel Chukwueze. It showed the coaching staff have more options up front than they might have expected.
The identity under Ruben Amorim is recognizable. Milan look to combine, use wide speed and move the ball quickly through short passes. Rafa Leão and Christian Pulisic remain the key figures, and Gonçalo Ramos' debut is one of the main things to watch tonight. In midfield, Youssouf Fofana and Adrien Rabiot are responsible for the tempo - and they'll need to find their rhythm with the new arrivals.
Match Results: Milan
Inter Milano Team Overview
Inter's last friendly was played against Manchester City (1:1, 3:1 on penalties). Here are the match stats (Inter vs Manchester City):
- possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corners: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Inter are going through significant changes too, though the focus has been on the back line. With Yann Sommer, Matteo Darmian, Francesco Acerbi, Stefan de Vrij all gone and Denzel Dumfries sold, the coaching staff is essentially rebuilding the defence from scratch. Goalkeeper Ivan Provedel and defender John Stones are the new arrivals.
Preseason has gone reasonably well so far. They beat German side Karlsruhe 2-1, then held their own against Manchester City - the game ended level and Inter came out on top in the penalty shootout for a second straight win.
The core is still there, though. Lautaro Martinez remains the main finisher, with Nicolo Barella and Hakan Calhanoglu running things in midfield. That partnership should help the new players settle in and keep the ball-retention style intact. Preseason is the right time to find out how quickly the rebuilt defence can click before the competitive games begin.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 7; for the visitors (away) - 6; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.04;
- Today's home team averages 0.41 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.63.
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.08, away side - 1.45;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.53;
- both teams scored: all time - 23 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
- Inter have scored in 21 of their last 22 matches (Club Friendlies).
Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 49;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 23, draws - 10.
- Inter are unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 matches (Club Friendlies).
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Despite the big name on the fixture, both managers will be focused on pre-season preparation rather than the scoreline. Wholesale substitutions, new combinations and the urge to try different things tend to make these matches more open. Milan have brought in several new attacking options, while Inter are still building their new defensive shape. That said, the Nerazzurri's attacking core is largely unchanged and keeps creating chances at a high level. The most logical bet here is Both Teams to Score (Yes). It landed in 6 of Inter's last 7 friendlies.
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Betting Tips: Milan - Inter Milano
in 19 of last 20 games (Club Friendly Games).
in 13 of last 14 games (Club Friendly Games).in 8 of last 9 games (Club Friendly Games).in 21 of last 22 games (Club Friendly Games).in 10 of last 11 games (Club Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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