Milan vs Inter Prediction
📢 What can we expect from the Milan Derby, set to take place during the 28th round of Serie A at the "San Siro"? This clash is traditionally one of the marquee events in Italian football, capturing the attention of millions of fans worldwide. Inter are having a stellar season and are confidently marching towards the championship title. Meanwhile, Milan sit in second place, trailing by ten points, making this derby particularly intense and emotional.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Milan and Inter over recent years includes 48 matches: the Rossoneri have claimed victory 15 times, 10 encounters ended in a draw, while the Nerazzurri have come out on top 23 times. In the first round, Milan managed to secure a 1-0 win despite being the formal visitors. It's worth noting that Inter had several opportunities, including a missed penalty, but they couldn't manage to score even once.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Milan Team Overview
🔴 Milan have been displaying a solid form lately. While they occasionally slip up, defeats are rare-having lost just once in 2026. They currently hold the second spot in the standings with 57 points, maintaining a nine-point cushion over fifth place, which allows them to feel relatively secure.
⚫ In their last match, Milan visited Cremonese, a team that has been on a losing streak recently. The "Rossoneri" didn't break the pattern, securing a 2-0 victory. However, it took them time to break down their opponents, with both goals coming in the final five minutes of the match. Milan's dominance was evident throughout: they posted an xG of 2.70 compared to Cremonese's 1.03 and outcreated them in goal-scoring opportunities 7 to 1. Thus, the visitors' goals seemed inevitable.
Match Results: Milan
Inter Milano Team Overview
🔵 Inter are delivering outstanding performances in Serie A. They confidently top the standings with 67 points, boasting a substantial lead over their nearest rivals. The Nerazzurri rarely slip up, having clinched victory in 14 of their last 15 league matches.
⚫ However, the season isn't just about Serie A. In their last five games across all competitions, Inter have secured only two wins. They suffered two defeats in the Champions League knockout stages against Bodø/Glimt (1-3 and 1-2), with their exit at the hands of the Norwegian side being a genuine shock to the football world. Additionally, just a few days ago, the Milanese played the first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final against Como, resulting in a 0-0 draw away from home. Inter's attack was notably lackluster, managing only three shots over 90 minutes, and they largely relied on luck to avoid defeat.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Latest news
Milan
📣 After the match against Cremonese (2-0), AC Milan's head coach Massimiliano Allegri stated: "Cremonese are a tricky opponent. In the first half, they maintained a very high tempo, making it challenging for us to control possession. We took a risk with one shot and missed several opportunities. Estupiñán came off the bench and performed exceptionally well-this is proof that we have an outstanding group of players. Those who came on today played well, as often happens with substitutes. It was important to win today: to erase the defeat to Parma, secure three crucial points in the standings, move closer to our goal, and prepare well for the derby."
🚫 Milan are facing some minor squad issues. Santiago Giménez is expected to return from an ankle injury by mid-March. Matteo Gabbia, recovering from hernia surgery, will be back in action by early April. Ruben Loftus-Cheek will be out for a longer period; the Englishman is recovering from a cheekbone fracture and is not expected back until the end of April.
Inter Milano
📣 After the match against Como (0-0), Inter's head coach Cristian Chivu remarked: "We faced challenges, playing under extraordinary circumstances, and the lads did well, understanding the complexity of the situation. It wasn't a typical Inter performance and not a beautiful game. The opponents controlled possession effectively, creating difficulties for us in midfield. We managed to figure out what needed to be done, and we had a bit of luck on our side. Sometimes you have to accept a draw."
🚫 The Nerazzurri are dealing with minimal squad issues. Only Lautaro Martinez is unavailable as the Argentine is recovering from a calf injury.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Both teams boast strong attacking prowess: Inter have found the net in 29 of their last 30 Serie A matches, while Milan have scored in 20 of their last 21 league games. Given these stats, a bet on both teams to score (yes) seems reasonable, especially as neither side has shown consistent defensive solidity recently.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In head-to-head clashes, the Nerazzurri consistently earn a high number of corners-Inter's individual total over 4.5 corners has hit in 9 out of their last 10 matches against Milan in Serie A. In their first-round game, Inter even delivered nine corners, suggesting this bet could be successful once again.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
In 2026, Rafael Leão is maintaining an impressive level of performance, already tallying 4 goals and 1 assist. In the previous match against Cremonese (2-0), he also scored, sealing the victory. Therefore, a bet on Leão to score at odds of 3.15* looks quite attractive.
😱 Risky Bet
Inter lead Serie A in corner kicks per game, averaging 7.0 corners. The Nerazzurri rarely shy away from playing on the front foot, especially in a derby against Milan, where they traditionally aim to dominate. Considering they outperformed their rivals 9-1 in corners in the first-round match, risk-takers might consider a bet on Inter to win the corner count with a -3.5 handicap at odds of 4.00*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
When the top two teams in the table face off, many anticipate open and high-scoring football. However, in the Milan derby, the stakes are high, and neither side will want to take unnecessary risks. A cautious approach with plenty of midfield battles and few clear-cut chances is possible, making a bet on under 1.5 total goals at 3.60* a logical choice.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
According to bookmakers, Inter are the favorites in the upcoming derby. However, the Nerazzurri shouldn't expect an easy game. They've faced significant challenges in recent head-to-heads, failing to defeat Milan in their last six encounters, losing four of those matches. Considering Christian Chivu's side have not been at their best lately, as shown in games against Bodo/Glimt and Como, it seems more reasonable to lean towards Milan not losing. We anticipate a 1-1 scoreline on the board.
Betting Tips: Milan - Inter Milano
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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