Inter vs Milan Prediction
🎈Will the second leg between Inter and Milan in the Coppa Italia semifinals live up to a final in terms of intrigue and tension? Following a 1-1 draw in the first leg, everything will be decided at the 'Giuseppe Meazza' - in a match where every mistake carries the highest stakes. Inter and Milan enter the semifinal with different mindsets from their league campaigns, but in cup matches, history and motivation often outweigh form. Inter have the home advantage and slightly more self-assurance, while Milan are driven by the desire to prove that their season can still be salvaged. With the score level and both sides fully prepared, a derby filled with maximum focus, emotions, and a fight until the final whistle is expected.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Inter and Milan:
- 46 matches played;
- home wins - 23, away wins - 13, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 71 for Inter, 48 for Milan;
- average goals in the first half - 1.07, in the second half - 1.52;
- average total goals per match - 2.59.
The last match took place on 02 April 2025 at Milan's ground and ended in a 1-1 draw.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Inter Milano Team Overview
🎉Inter are showcasing impressive form in their home fixtures, having secured nine wins out of their last ten games. The team is renowned for their aggressive style of play and ability to capitalize on opportunities, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals at home in nearly every match. Their strong attack is backed by a solid defense, with the number of goals conceded kept to a minimum thanks to the cohesive play of their defenders and goalkeeper. The last encounter with Milan ended in a 1-1 draw, but this time the Nerazzurri look like favorites on their home turf.
In Serie A's 33rd round, Inter suffered a 0-1 defeat to Bologna, conceding a decisive goal in the 94th minute. This loss allowed Napoli to draw level on points with the Nerazzurri in the league. Nonetheless, Simone Inzaghi's side continue to fight on three fronts: Serie A, the Coppa Italia, and the Champions League. The team will put in every effort to be among the finalists in these competitions.
However, the squad's injury situation is concerning, with several key players from the first team sidelined. Marcus Thuram and Denzel Dumfries are out with muscle injuries until early May. The absence of the Frenchman is particularly felt, as he regularly features in the starting lineup and is one of Inter's main attacking threats. Piotr Zielinski's availability remains uncertain, which could also impact the midfield dynamics. Valentin Carboni is out until early June with a cruciate ligament injury, affecting squad depth and rotation options.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Milan Team Overview
🎁 AC Milan have hit a rough patch in their recent fixtures, securing just three victories out of their last ten matches while suffering five defeats. Despite this, their average goal tally remains impressive at about 3.33 goals per game, thanks to the individual brilliance of their attacking leaders. However, their defense leaves much to be desired, as they frequently make errors that could cost them valuable points.
In Serie A's 33rd round, Milan fell to Atalanta with a 0-1 defeat, complicating their quest for European competition spots. Head coach Sérgio Conceição remarked, "Our motivation stems not from the opponent but from our daily efforts. Unfortunately, we no longer have a shot at even a Champions League spot in the league, so our focus is solely on the upcoming match."
The Rossoneri's absences are less severe. Ruben Loftus-Cheek, a key midfielder, is sidelined until early May. Emerson Royal, who isn't a regular starter, has already resumed training.
Match Results: Milan
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 13, draws - 10.
- Inter Milano have won in 9 of last 10 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.54, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.59;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Inter Milano vs Milan
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 4.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 3.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 2;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 1.33;
- Inter Milano: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Milan: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.4) vs 1.6 (away - 2).
- Milan have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Inter Milano (Coppa Italia).
Prediction on corners
Inter Milano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 6.2.
Milan: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 7.2.
- Milan have taken over 3.5 corners in last 11 away games.
- Milan have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.78 (2.39 for home team and 2.39 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.95 (2.95 for home team and 3 for away team).
Inter Milano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.67; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 1.4.
Milan: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
- Inter Milano have scored and conceded in last 6 games against Milan.
- Inter Milano have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
- Inter Milano have scored and conceded in last 5 home games.
Editor's Prediction
The second leg between Inter and Milan is likely to be an open affair, despite the high stakes involved. Both clubs are accustomed to playing derbies with maximum intensity, and recent head-to-heads confirm this: Inter have both scored and conceded in their last six encounters with Milan. This trend continues in the recent performances of the Nerazzurri - in six of their last seven matches, they have not only found the net but also allowed their opponents to score. With the aggregate score level after the first leg and both teams needing to push forward, the game promises to be filled with chances on both sides. In light of these trends, betting on both teams to score appears to be a reasonable prediction.
Betting Tips: Inter Milano - Milan
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Other predictions
