Atl. Mineiro vs Atletico PR Prediction 5 April 2026

    🔊 Atlético Mineiro host Atlético Paranaense in what promises to be a tactical showdown. Both clubs showcase intriguing styles of play and have their own strengths. Mineiro display defensive stability but struggle with scoring. Paranaense, on the other hand, thrive on the road and find the back of the net frequently. This encounter could prove pivotal for both teams in the league standings.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 08 December 2024 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparison of the statistics from that encounter (with Atlético Mineiro as the home side):

    • possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Atlético Mineiro and Atlético Paranaense:

    • 40 matches played;
    • home victories - 20, away victories - 16, draws - 4;
    • goals scored - 55 to 37;
    • average total goals in the first half - 0.93, in the second half - 1.38;
    • average total goals per match - 2.3.

    Head-to-head statistics Atl. Mineiro - Atletico PR

    51%
    21 Wins
    10%
    4 Draws
    39%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    41
    Total Goals Avg
    2.32
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.39
    Total average
    0.93
    1.68
    Yellow cards
    1.83
    Last matches
    05.04.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.42
    0.48
    2
    8
    9
    13
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.42
    0.48
    2
    8
    9
    13
    0
    1
    08.12.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    15
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    15
    3
    3
    16.11.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    9
    9
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    9
    9
    2
    2
    02.09.23
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    12
    7
    14
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    12
    7
    14
    12
    2
    3
    23.05.23
    Copa Libertadores
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    8
    0
    6
    12
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    0
    6
    12
    4
    5
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Chapecoense hosting Atletico Mineiro. The game ended in a 0-4 defeat for the home side.

    Here are the match statistics (Atletico Mineiro vs Chapecoense):

    • possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
    • fouls: 5 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 4.

    ⚫ Atlético Mineiro currently sit in 9th place on the table, a reflection of their inconsistent form. Their last five matches include three wins and two losses, highlighting a certain level of instability. Despite this, the team boasts a solid defense, conceding less than one goal per game on average over the last ten matches. However, their attacking line doesn't always deliver - the trend shows that Mineiro rarely scores more than 1.5 goals.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    2.36
    1.29
    11
    2
    11
    11
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.36
    1.29
    11
    2
    11
    11
    2
    1
    D
    16.09.26
    sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Santos
    Santos
    1.61
    1.78
    4
    6
    13
    10
    0
    2
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1.61
    1.78
    4
    6
    13
    10
    0
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    W
    09.09.26
    sudamericana
    Santos
    Santos
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.19
    0.37
    6
    2
    9
    8
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.19
    0.37
    6
    2
    9
    8
    0
    0
    L
    05.09.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.82
    0.69
    16
    2
    17
    12
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.82
    0.69
    16
    2
    17
    12
    1
    1
    L
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    Atletico Paranaense Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Serie A, with Bahia hosting Atlético Paranaense. The match concluded with a 3-0 scoreline.

    Here are the game stats (Atlético Paranaense vs Bahia):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corners: 1 vs 3;
    • fouls: 19 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    🔴 Athletico Paranaense hold a higher position, sitting at fifth place, thanks to their solid performances both at home and away. In their last five matches, they've secured three victories and suffered two defeats, demonstrating decent attacking prowess with an average of 1.56 goals per game this season. Notably impressive is their ability to find the back of the net regardless of location, having scored at least once in most of their away fixtures.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    D
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    D
    24.08.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 40;
    • First-half wins for home team - 7; for away team - 2; draws - 11;
    • Average first-half total: 0.93;
    • Today's home side averages 0.48 goals, while the visitors average 0.45.

    First-Half Statistics: Atlético Mineiro (home) vs Atlético Paranaense (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • Wins: 1 (25%) vs 1 (25%);
    • Losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (75%);
    • Draws: 3 (75%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.75;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.25.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 3 vs 4;
    • Losses: 2 vs 5;
    • Draws: 5 vs 1;
    • Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.9 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1).
    Trends
    • Atlético Paranaense have conceded in the first half in their last 5 away matches.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Atletico Mineiro to score goal(odds: 1.88)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Matches played - 40;
    • Home wins - 20, Away wins - 16, Draws - 4.

    Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Atlético Paranaense

    • Matches in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • Wins: 3 vs 5;
    • Win percentage: 33% vs 56%;
    • Losses: 4 vs 3;
    • Draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 4;
    • Losses: 4 vs 4;
    • Draws: 1 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro remain unbeaten at home in 21 of their last 22 matches.
    • Atlético Mineiro remain unbeaten at home in 14 of their last 15 Serie A matches.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Mineiro will not lose(odds: 1.25)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head (average total):

    • Home team - 1.38, Away team - 0.93;
    • In head-to-head matches - 2.3;
    • Both teams scored: all time - 17 times; at home team's ground - 10 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Atlético Paranaense

    • In the tournament: 2.56 vs 2.78;
    • Goals scored: 1.33 vs 1.56;
    • First half: 0.67 vs 0.89;
    • Second half: 0.67 vs 0.67;
    • Atlético Mineiro: at home in the tournament - 1.75;
    • Atlético Paranaense: away in the tournament - 1;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1) vs 1.5 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro score less than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Mineiro Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.7)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Matches played - 40;
    • Both teams scored all time - 17 times;
    • At home team's ground - 10 times.

    Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Atlético Paranaense

    • Played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 3 vs 5;
    • Atlético Mineiro: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
    • Atlético Paranaense: BTTS away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • Matches with BTTS: 3 vs 6;
    • Atlético Mineiro: BTTS at home - 1 (33%);
    • Atlético Paranaense: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes)(odds: 1.88)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Frequent score statistics (current season):

    • Most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (14/87, 16.1%);
    • Atlético Mineiro most frequently finishes matches at home with: 1-0 (2/4, 50%);
    • Atlético Paranaense's most common away scores are: 0-1, 1-1, 3-0, and 3-2 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:

    1-1 - 13.06% (odds: 6.5)
    1-0 - 11.07% (odds: 6.5)
    2-1 - 9.46% (odds: 8.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams bring their strengths to the table: Mineiro are known for their organized defense, while Paranaense consistently showcase a strong away attack. Considering recent trends and statistics from both teams' games, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable strategy for this match-especially given the home side's low scoring rate and the overall performance metrics of the clubs.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 03/04/2026, 19:35

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Atletico Paranaense

    Atletico Mineiro have not lost:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 21 of last 22 home games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 14 of last 15 home games (Serie A).
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    Everygame
    -333
    Atletico Mineiro have scored:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 11 of last 12 home games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 7 home games.
    Atletico Paranaense have conceded:
    atletico-paranaensein 10 of last 11 games.
    atletico-paranaensein 9 of last 10 away games.
    Atletico Mineiro will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    atletico-paranaensein 9 of last 10 Atletico Paranaense away games.
    atletico-paranaensein last 6 Atletico Paranaense games (Serie A).
    in 10 of last 11 Matheus Delgado Candancan games.
    in last 8 Matheus Delgado Candancan games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Atletico Paranaense have scored:
    atletico-paranaensein 10 of last 11 away games.
    Atletico Paranaense will score goal
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Atl. Mineiro - Atletico PR Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    28169347-2157
    3.
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    28147743-3249
    4.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    28139644-3648
    6.
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    28136942-4045
    7.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    27117936-3240
    8.
    Santos
    Santos
    27108941-4038

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 13
    +2
    0
    17 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    4
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    17
    13
    Conceded
    17
    2.8
    Match goals average
    3.4
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats