Atletico PR vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 8 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Athletico Paranaense take on Atlético Mineiro late in the season. The hosts are sitting in the upper part of the table and fighting for every point. The visitors are closer to mid-table but with clear motivation heading into the final stretch of the campaign. Both sides have been reasonably consistent in form, though recent results suggest there is no obvious favourite and the match could be a balanced affair.

    The main storyline in the head-to-head clashes between Athletico Paranaense and Atlético Mineiro

    📊 Athletico Paranaense and Atlético Mineiro have met 41 times in official matches. The hosts have won 16, the visitors 21, with four draws. In terms of goals scored, Atlético Mineiro have the advantage - 57 against 38. On average, the two sides score 0.93 goals per first half and 1.39 per second half. The average total goals per match is 2.32.

    Head-to-head statistics Atletico PR - Atl. Mineiro

    39%
    16 Wins
    10%
    4 Draws
    51%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    41
    Avg. total goals
    2.32
    Both teams scored
    44%
    0.93
    Average total
    1.39
    Last matches
    05.04.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.42
    0.48
    2
    8
    9
    13
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.42
    0.48
    2
    8
    9
    13
    0
    1
    08.12.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    15
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    15
    3
    3
    16.11.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    9
    9
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    9
    9
    2
    2
    02.09.23
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    12
    7
    14
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    12
    7
    14
    12
    2
    3
    23.05.23
    Copa Libertadores
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    8
    0
    6
    12
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    8
    0
    6
    12
    4
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Atlético Paranaense: attack and defense in perfect balance

    Atlético Paranaense remain in the top three after the recent rounds, though they are 11 points behind the leaders. Over their last ten matches they have won four, drawn four and lost two - a run that shows consistency without any pronounced dips or peaks. Their average over that period is 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, which points to a tendency for matches to feature goals at both ends. In their last five matches they have won twice, drawn once and lost twice.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    D
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    D
    24.08.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Atlético Mineiro are chasing a win against Athletico Paranaense

    Atlético Mineiro sit seventh and have a clear motivation to push up the table, holding a firm position in mid-table given the current standings. In their last ten matches they have won five, drawn three and lost two; their averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game point to a pragmatic approach at both ends of the pitch. Their last five matches have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    03.10.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    0.53
    1.3
    5
    10
    16
    9
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.53
    1.3
    5
    10
    16
    9
    1
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    2.36
    1.29
    11
    2
    11
    11
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.36
    1.29
    11
    2
    11
    11
    2
    1
    D
    16.09.26
    sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Santos
    Santos
    1.61
    1.78
    4
    6
    13
    10
    0
    2
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1.61
    1.78
    4
    6
    13
    10
    0
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    W
    09.09.26
    sudamericana
    Santos
    Santos
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.19
    0.37
    6
    2
    9
    8
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.19
    0.37
    6
    2
    9
    8
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Athletico Paranaense have scored in the first half in five consecutive matches, which supports the current trend. Their home scoring record is also strong: an average of 2 goals per match across their last 10 home games. The price on the hosts to score in the first half is 1.94*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Atlético Mineiro have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in five consecutive away matches, which is backed up by a clear recent trend. Their average goals scored away from home this season stands at just 0.93, and over their last 10 away matches that figure drops to 0.25. No significant arguments against this bet have been identified, so the selection looks solid for this match. The bet is Atlético Mineiro Team Total - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.36*.

    Corners Prediction

    Athletico Paranaense Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at home in 6 of their last 7 Série A matches. This is a consistent trend in the team's home games, and no contradictions have been found in the available statistics. The odds for this bet are 1.70*.

    Risky Bet

    In each of their last four matches, Atlético Paranaense have scored and conceded in the first half, which points to a high likelihood of an early goal or two. The team's overall scoring record also supports a scenario where at least two goals are scored in the first half. However, the sample size behind this trend is limited, which increases the level of risk. The bet is 1st Half Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 2.90*.

    Reliable Bet

    Athletico Paranaense have scored in 11 of their last 12 Série A matches, reflecting consistent attacking output both at home and overall. Their average goals scored at home this season is also 1.79. The bet is Athletico Paranaense to Score: Yes, which looks solid at odds of 1.22*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct scores in this match are 1-1 (13.96%), 1-0 (11.8%) and 0-0 (9.99%). The 1-1 result has the highest probability, but the other two are close behind. None of these options stands out as a clear dominant favourite, which points to a closely contested match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The match is shaped by a clear trend: Total Goals - Under 2.5 has consistently landed in all of Atlético Mineiro's recent away matches, and the overall scoring levels of both sides are far from high, even accounting for the home team's regular involvement in goal exchanges. The table situation gives neither side any reason to take risks in pursuit of a big result - both teams can afford a more cautious approach without overcommitting going forward. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 06/10/2026, 18:13
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    33
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    65 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 17
    0
    +3
    14 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    4
    Draws
    3
    2
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    14
    17
    Conceded
    11
    3.4
    Average total per match
    2.5
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats