Werder Bremen vs St Pauli Prediction 4 October 2025
π Who will suffer their third consecutive defeat? Werder are set to host St. Pauli at the Weserstadion in the 6th round of the Bundesliga. The Bremen side have started the season with squad changes, resulting in three losses and conceding the most goals after five rounds. Meanwhile, St. Pauli kicked off impressively, remaining unbeaten in their first three matches but then suffered back-to-back defeats. Which team will manage to break out of their slump? Letβs delve into our prediction.
Head-to-Head
π Last season, Werder Bremen proved stronger on the road with a 3-2 victory, while their encounter at the Weserstadion ended in a goalless draw.
Head-to-head statistics Werder Bremen - St Pauli
Werder Bremen Team Overview
π’ In the fifth round, the "musicians" traveled to Munich to face Bayern at the Allianz Arena, where they suffered a heavy defeat (0-4). Bremen conceded two goals in each half and left empty-handed. This marked their second consecutive heavy defeat without scoring - earlier, they lost at home to Freiburg (0-3). Under Horst Steffen's leadership, Bremen are still searching for their form, but their main weakness remains defense: they've conceded 14 goals in 5 rounds, the worst record in the league. Currently, Werder sit 15th with 4 points.
Match Results: Werder Bremen
St. Pauli Team Overview
π€ The "Browns" experienced their best start in history with 7 points from the first three rounds, but have since suffered two consecutive defeats. They lost away to Stuttgart (0-2) and then at home to Bayer Leverkusen (1-2). Alexander Blessin's side played bravely, quickly equalizing after conceding the first goal, with Hauke Wahl scoring from a set piece. However, in the second half, St. Pauli's defense faltered, allowing the opponents to net the decisive goal. Although they posed some challenges for Leverkusen, the "Browns" failed to create clear-cut chances after the break. Currently, St. Pauli sit 9th with 7 points and a goal difference of 8:8.
Match Results: St. Pauli
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Werder Bremen
π Horst Steffen at the pre-match press conference: "St. Pauli defend very well, so we'll need to be extremely precise, even in our short passes. The game will reveal whether we're currently on the same level as them. Of course, the start of the season was challenging due to late signings, but now the squad is complete, and we aim to achieve better results by paying closer attention to details. We want to bring energy to the field and the stadium, to inspire the fans. Every game is unique, so it's important not to focus too much on individual moments."
β Injuries: Mitchell Weiser (torn cruciate ligament), Maximilian WΓΆber (muscle injury), Olivier Deman (fractured outer ankle), Niklas Stark (hip issues), and Mio Backhaus (shoulder injury).
St. Pauli
π Alexander Blessin ahead of the trip to Bremen: "We and Werder are on equal footing. And I say this without any gloom or arrogance - we've earned this status as well. Last year was different when we were newcomers. Now we're more balanced. It's one thing to have self-confidence, but another to prove it on the field. That will be the decisive factor. We need a good day. With the level of play we showed last week, we can take points from Bremen."
β "Brown" captain Jackson Irvine is gradually regaining form and is on schedule for recovery. Ricky-Jade Jones is also on the mend - he'll be able to return to team training in two weeks. David Nemeth remains sidelined with a groin injury.
π¨ Referee and Yellow Cards
SΓΆren Storks is set to officiate at the Weserstadion. This will be his third Bundesliga match this season. Over his last 10 games, he has averaged 4.7 yellow cards per match. This season, both Werder and St. Pauli average 2.2 yellow cards per game. A smart bet would be on over 3.5 yellow cards, a result that has hit in 4 out of St. Pauliβs last 5 matches.
β½ Goal Prediction
All five of Werder's matches this season have been high-scoring, albeit often not in their favor. They face significant defensive challenges, having conceded the most goals. St. Pauli play an attractive brand of football and are well-positioned to exploit these vulnerabilities, likely netting at least once. The "Brown-and-Whites" have scored in 4 out of their 5 league games. Thus, we predict that both teams will score (yes).
π© Corner Prediction
Werder rarely earns corners, averaging just 3.2 per match. In contrast, St. Pauli average a much higher 6 corners per game. We recommend betting on Werderβs individual total under 5.5 corners-a bet that has won in 13 of the Musicians' last 15 matches.
Editor's Prediction
Werder have failed to score in their last two matches and conceded seven goals in the process. Horst Steffen's side are unlikely to challenge for a top-six finish in the Bundesliga, yet they also don't appear to be in immediate danger of a relegation battle. St. Pauli are primarily focused on maintaining their league status but play an attractive attacking brand of football. We predict over 2.5 goals in this match-a bet that has come through in all five of Werder's games so far. Moreover, St. Pauli have found the net in four out of five rounds. Given Bremen's defensive frailties, a high-scoring draw, such as 2-2, is a plausible outcome.
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Betting Tips: Werder Bremen - St. Pauli
in last 5 Werder Bremen games against St. Pauli.in 15 of last 17 St. Pauli away games (Bundesliga).in 14 of last 16 St. Pauli away games.in 6 of last 7 St. Pauli games.
in last 6 games against St. Pauli.in 10 of last 11 home games (Bundesliga).in last 5 games against Werder Bremen.
in 6 of last 7 games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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