St Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction 22 February 2026
🔊 At the Millerntor Stadium, a clash between relegation battlers awaits as St. Pauli host Werder. While neither team has been dazzling in recent weeks, the hosts come into this matchup in slightly better form. St. Pauli have collected five points from their last five matches, compared to Werder's mere two. Given the current standings and the nature of their recent head-to-head encounters, this game could be a low-scoring affair. However, both clubs are less concerned with the scoreline and more focused on securing a win. Our editorial team aims to provide an insightful prediction for this showdown.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round match at the Weserstadion, Werder secured a narrow victory over St. Pauli (1-0). The only goal of the game came as early as the second minute, scored by Samuel Mbangula.
Head-to-head statistics St Pauli - Werder Bremen
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 After their home victory over Stuttgart (2-1) in the 21st round, the "Pirates" headed to Leverkusen last weekend, aiming for revenge following their German Cup quarter-final defeat to Bayer (0-3). However, Alexander Blessin's squad delivered an even weaker performance, suffering a heavier loss (0-4).
⚪ This marked their fourth defeat in seven league matches in 2026 (1 win, 2 draws, 4 losses). St. Pauli sit in 17th place, four points ahead of Heidenheim and two points behind Werder. To maintain their survival hopes, they need to maximize points in their home fixtures. On the road, St. Pauli have managed just five points across 12 rounds, while at home, they've secured 12 points from 10 matches.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Werder Bremen Team Overview
🟢 After a home defeat to Bayern (0-3), Werder remain in the relegation zone, trailing the safety spot by just a single point. Their winless streak has now stretched to 12 matches. Their away form is equally concerning: one win, three draws, and seven losses - a mere six points from a possible 33, with a goal difference of 10:21.
⚪ Squad issues have significantly impacted the "Green-Whites." Werder struggle both defensively and offensively, failing to score in seven of their last ten league outings. During the winter break, on January 4th, the teams already faced off in Hamburg in a friendly match, which ended in a 0-0 draw.
Match Results: Werder Bremen
Latest news
St. Pauli
🎙️ Alexander Blessin on the upcoming match: "Call it a six-pointer, nine-pointer, or even a twelve-pointer - whatever you prefer. We understand its significance. This is the first of 12 finals we have to play. I don't want to overstate it, but the importance of this game is clear. We aim to win, but after this, we still have 11 more finals ahead of us."
❌ Andreas Untondji, Ricky-Jade Jones, and David Nemeth remain sidelined due to injuries.
Werder Bremen
🎙️ Daniel Thioune on the opponent: "Despite their rough patch at the end of last year, St. Pauli remain true to their style. I think they consistently play quality football. They're dangerous when given space in midfield. To some extent, they face the same challenges as we do. We need to be prepared to endure, defend reliably, and capitalize on our attacking opportunities."
❌ Victor Boniface, Amos Pieper, Karim Coulibaly, Mitchell-Elijah Weiser, and Maximilian Wöber continue their recovery from injuries.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Sören Storks is set to officiate the match at the Millerntor. Over his last 10 games, he has averaged around four yellow cards per match. The teams' averages are 1.4 for St. Pauli and 2.1 for Werder. Given the tournament context and the intensity of the match, a bet on over 3.5 yellow cards seems reasonable. This mark has been hit in their last three head-to-head encounters.
⚽ Goal Predictions
After 22 rounds, St. Pauli have netted 20 goals while Werder have scored 22. However, the visitors' attacking form raises serious concerns. Considering their scoring struggles, a bet on Werder's individual total under 1.5 goals appears optimal, as it has come through in 8 of their last 9 matches.
🚩 Corner Predictions
The average corners for both teams are nearly identical: 4.9 for the hosts and 4.6 for the visitors. Despite the home advantage, it's wise to rely on St. Pauli's consistent stats: the Pirates' individual total under 5.5 corners has been successful in 13 consecutive matches, as well as in their last five head-to-head games.
Editor's Prediction
In the 2nd Bundesliga, St. Pauli have proven to be a tough opponent for Daniel Thioune. As Hamburg's manager, he has only managed to secure one point in two derbies and has just one win in nine encounters against the "Buccaneers" while coaching at Holstein Kiel and Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Considering both teams rank second and third in the league for the fewest goals scored, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems reasonable-it has been successful in five consecutive head-to-head matches.
As for the outcome, St. Pauli appear to have the upper hand due to their current form and higher motivation levels. Much like their match against Stuttgart, the "Buccaneers" might secure a result through sheer determination. The expected scoreline is a 1-0 victory.
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Betting Tips: St. Pauli - Werder Bremen
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in last 12 games (Bundesliga).in last 9 away games (Bundesliga).in last 6 games against Werder Bremen.in 8 of last 9 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).in 8 of last 9 St. Pauli home games (Bundesliga).in last 5 St. Pauli home games.in 6 of last 7 Werder Bremen away games (Bundesliga).in last 5 Werder Bremen games (Bundesliga).
in last 9 Soren Storks games.in last 7 Soren Storks games (in the Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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