Saint Etienne vs Montpellier Prediction 5 September 2026
🔊 Saint-Étienne have taken all 12 points in Ligue 2 and scored 13 goals - more than any other side in the division. Montpellier are third and also unbeaten, though their four matches have produced just four goals between the two teams. The head-to-head record meanwhile is entirely in the hosts' favour - five wins in a row. This Matchday 5 fixture takes place on 4 September at Geoffroy-Guichard.
Head-to-Head
Saint-Étienne and Montpellier have met 34 times in official matches. The hosts have won 20 of those, the visitors 10, with four draws. Saint-Étienne also lead on goals scored: 46 to Montpellier's 26.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Etienne - Montpellier

Saint Etienne Team Overview
Saint-Etienne are into a second consecutive season in Ligue 2, despite coming close to promotion last summer. They finished the previous campaign third on 60 points, beat Rodez in the play-offs, but were then stopped by Nice in the promotion/relegation play-off. The first leg at home ended goalless, and in the return fixture the Greens lost 1-4, conceding three goals late on. Philippe Montanier left after that, and on 8 June the club appointed Scotsman Ian Cathro as his replacement. Under the new manager, Saint-Étienne have yet to drop a point, with Thierno Ballo and Irvin Cardona both already on four goals. At home, the club have gone unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 2 matches.
Match Results: Saint Etienne

Montpellier Team Overview
Montpellier were relegated from Ligue 1 in April 2025, ending a run of 16 consecutive seasons in the top flight. Their first year down was a steady one: eighth place and 51 points. Zoumana Camara took charge before the relegation and is now into his second season in Ligue 2. The style hasn't changed much: across four matchdays Montpellier have scored three goals and conceded one. At home they drew with Dijon and Boulogne, while away at Nancy and Dunkerque they won 1-0. Away from home, Montpellier have kept clean sheets in six of their last seven Ligue 2 matches. They have also gone 13 of their last 14 second-division games without defeat.
Match Results: Montpellier
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than four goals have been scored in 14 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings. In Saint-Étienne the numbers are even lower: fewer than three goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches. On top of that, the hosts don't score much at home, and the visitors tend to manage just one goal per 90 minutes away from home. The pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14.74%), 2-0 (11.53%) and 1-1 (10.5%). A narrow home win by 1-0 is the most probable outcome, though a draw cannot be ruled out. The probabilities of the leading scorelines are fairly close, which reflects the tight contest expected in this match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Matches between these two at Geoffroy-Guichard tend to be tight: fewer than three goals have been scored in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings there. And it's not just about the opposition - in 17 of their last 18 away Ligue 2 matches, Montpellier have been involved in games with fewer than three goals. The visitors have also failed to score more than one goal in Saint-Étienne in 15 consecutive head-to-head matches, with the hosts needing just one goal in reply. We're not expecting an open game. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-0.