Metz vs Rodez Prediction 5 September 2026
π Rodez went 23 matches without defeat before Annecy ended that run in August. The sequence had begun the previous autumn and carried the club all the way to the second League 2 play-off, where Saint-Γtienne only went through on penalties. Metz, over the same period, made the opposite journey - down from Ligue 1 to the second division. They started the season unbeaten, but three of their first four matches ended in draws. The two sides meet in matchday 5 on 5 September at Saint-Symphorien.
Head-to-Head
Over five official meetings between Metz and Rodez, the hosts have won three and the visitors none, with two draws. The overall goal tally stands at 13 for Metz against 7 for Rodez.
Head-to-head statistics Metz - Rodez

Metz Team Overview
Metz spent just one season in Ligue 1 and finished it bottom, 18th, with 17 points. It was a record-breaking collapse: 22 consecutive matches without a win was the worst such run in last season's Ligue 1. In the summer, Luc Holtz took charge - the Luxembourger spent 15 years managing his country's national team and is working in France for the first time. He started well, with Metz beating Guingamp 2-1. Since then the hosts have only drawn, picking up six points from four matches and sitting seventh. They have not been prolific in attack, though: Metz have gone seven matches in a row without scoring more than two goals in a game.
Match Results: Metz

Rodez Team Overview
Rodez are in their eighth consecutive season in Ligue 2, and last season was their best yet: a fifth-place finish and a promotion play-off. Didier Santini took charge in November 2022 when the club were 18th. Since then the team have barely put a foot wrong, going unbeaten in 25 of their last 26 league matches. The attack has also stepped up: 10 goals in four matchdays, bettered only by Saint-Γtienne. Matchday three was particularly striking - Rodez were losing at Nantes at half-time but ended up winning 5-2. Ibrahima BaldΓ© scored a hat-trick that day, netting twice in the space of two minutes.
Match Results: Rodez
Total Prediction
No more than three goals have been scored in five consecutive Metz matches. On average, the hosts score 1.5 goals per game, while Rodez average 2.5. But Metz's defence is also leaking: at home they concede an average of one goal per 90 minutes. On that basis, a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 looks reasonable.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both sides have scored in each of the last five head-to-head meetings between Metz and Rodez. On top of that, Rodez are averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, while Metz are averaging 1.5 at home. This points towards a game in which both teams find the net. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.83%), 2-1 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.58%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though a narrow Metz win also features among the leading options. The probabilities are fairly close together, which points to a closely contested match.