Montpellier vs Saint Etienne Prediction 16 March 2025
🔊 The upcoming match between Montpellier and Saint-Étienne promises to be very intense. Both teams are in the relegation zone and are eager for points to improve their standings. Montpellier, having lost the last six matches, will be looking to break their losing streak. Saint-Étienne, on the other hand, picked up points away in the last round and will try to do it again. Can the visitors take advantage of their opponent's weaknesses and take points from Montpellier?
Head-to-Head
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between Montpellier and Saint-Étienne:
- 31 matches played;
- number of victories for the home team - 10, for the away team - 17, draws - 4;
- number of goals (home/away) - 26 against 41;
- average total goals per match - 2.16.
The last time the sides met was on the field of Saint-Étienne. The match took place on 23 November 2024 and ended with a score of 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Montpellier - Saint Etienne
Montpellier Team Overview
🟠 Montpellier is experiencing very tough times in the current Ligue 1 season. The team occupies the last position in the table, with only two victories in the last ten matches. Their attacking line, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game, clearly needs strengthening.
🔗 With each round, Montpellier fans are losing hope for salvation. Their beloved team has lost six matches in a row, and the last three without scoring. The 7-point gap to the safe 15th spot seems like a sentence for the "Paladins."
❌ The situation in the infirmary is also bleak. Christopher Jullien and Glen Ngosso have been recovering since last year, while Nikola Maksimović, Issiaga Sylla, Becir Omeragic, and Otman Maamma were injured in the winter. Additionally, Jordan Ferri is suspended (52% of matches in the starting lineup).
Match Results: Montpellier
Saint Etienne Team Overview
🟢 Saint-Étienne also cannot boast stability in the current Ligue 1 season. The team is at the lower part of the table but shows a more diverse game compared to the home team. Saint-Étienne averages 1.3 goals per match, however, defensive shortcomings lead to conceding 2.3 goals per game.
🔗 Support from Hollywood star Timothée Chalamet doesn't help the "Saints" deliver good results. However, they do manage to earn points in matches against direct competitors, as seen in the last round away at Le Havre (1:1).
📢 The coach of the "Greens," Eirik Horneland, emphasizes the importance of the upcoming match: “We and Montpellier play at the same level and are in our rightful place in the table. Nothing will be decided after this match, but it is certainly very important. We will strive for victory.”
❌ The visitors cannot count on two players: Benjamin Aude and Ibrahima Wadji. But this is already a familiar situation - due to serious injuries, the guys haven't played since last year.
Match Results: Saint Etienne
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 17, draws - 4.
Statistics: Montpellier vs Saint Etienne
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- win percentage: 16% vs 20%;
- number of losses: 18 vs 15;
- number of draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 1;
- number of losses: 8 vs 5;
- number of draws: 0 vs 4.
- Montpellier has lost the 1st half in 5 of the last 6 Ligue 1 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.84, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.16;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Montpellier vs Saint Etienne
- average total in the tournament: 3.2 vs 3.28;
- average total goals scored: 0.84 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.32 vs 0.32;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.52 vs 0.68;
- Montpellier: average total at home in the tournament - 1.23;
- Saint Etienne: average total away in the tournament - 0.77;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in each of the last 15 Montpellier in the Ligue 1 home games against Saint Etienne.
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 11 of the last 12 Montpellier games against Saint Etienne in the Ligue 1.
Prediction on corners
Montpellier: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.92; at home field - 5.54;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.8.
Saint Etienne: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.28, away - 3.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.4.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in 9 of the last 10 Montpellier games against Saint Etienne in the Ligue 1.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in each of the last 5 Montpellier in the Ligue 1 home games against Saint Etienne.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 Montpellier home games in the Ligue 1.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.48 (1.74 for home team and 1.74 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.13 (1.53 for home team and 1.6 for away team).
Montpellier: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.6; at home - 2.31;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 1.8.
Saint Etienne: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.88, away - 1.85;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; away - 1.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Montpellier vs Saint Etienne
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Montpellier at home - 9 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Saint Etienne away - 8 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Montpellier at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Saint Etienne away - 5 (100%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, the match between Montpellier and Saint-Étienne promises to be tense. The home team is struggling both in attack and defense, having lost six matches in a row and scoring less than 1.5 goals in recent games. Saint-Étienne, despite having issues on the road, shows a more productive game. The trend that Montpellier has not won in six consecutive matches supports confidence in the prediction for a double chance in favor of the visitors. Our bet: Saint-Étienne will not lose with a success probability of about 70%.
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Betting Tips: Montpellier - Saint Etienne
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