Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional promises to be an exciting event. The hosts are eager to solidify their position among the leaders, while the visitors aim to improve their standing and steer clear of the relegation zone. Vitória have been strong at home, but there are questions surrounding the consistency of their attacking line. Nacional, on the other hand, have shown decent scoring ability on the road, making this encounter particularly intriguing.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 May 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (with Nacional de Madeira as the home side):

    • possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corners: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 15 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional de Madeira:

    • 14 matches played;
    • home wins: 5, away wins: 6, draws: 3;
    • goals scored: 22 for the home side, 19 for the visitors;
    • average goals in the first half: 1.5, in the second half: 1.43;
    • average total goals per match: 2.93.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    6 Wins
    19%
    3 Draws
    44%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    16
    Total Goals Avg
    2.88
    Both teams scored
    63%
    1.5
    Total average
    1.38
    1.94
    Yellow cards
    2.56
    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.35
    2
    6
    17
    13
    4
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.13
    1.35
    2
    6
    17
    13
    4
    3
    02.01.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    0.98
    1.32
    2
    3
    20
    18
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0.98
    1.32
    2
    3
    20
    18
    1
    3
    03.05.25
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    0.76
    0.88
    6
    3
    15
    13
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.76
    0.88
    6
    3
    15
    13
    2
    3
    23.12.24
    Примейра-лига
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.29
    0.63
    7
    1
    15
    11
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.29
    0.63
    7
    1
    15
    11
    1
    1
    26.04.21
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Vitoria Guimaraes
    Vitoria Guimaraes
    -
    -
    -
    -
    20
    15
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    20
    15
    -
    -
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    Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview

    The last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Casa Pia hosting Vitoria Guimaraes. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia):

    • possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corners: 3 vs 2;
    • fouls: 11 vs 23;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    Vitória Guimarães are currently seventh in the league and aim to solidify their position among the top teams. They have been strong at home, but their attacking line raises some concerns. In their last five matches, Vitória have secured one win, drawn twice, and suffered two losses, averaging one goal per game. Their most recent encounter against Nacional ended in a 2-1 victory. Known for their well-organized defense, Vitória sometimes struggle to create chances in the final third. They need to improve their consistency to achieve better results.

    Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.35
    2
    6
    17
    13
    4
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.13
    1.35
    2
    6
    17
    13
    4
    3
    L
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    1.41
    0.76
    6
    4
    11
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.41
    0.76
    6
    4
    11
    16
    2
    1
    L
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    L
    25.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    1.46
    0.45
    3
    5
    7
    13
    4
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.46
    0.45
    3
    5
    7
    13
    4
    4
    W
    18.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.16
    1
    10
    3
    11
    16
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.16
    1
    10
    3
    11
    16
    2
    2
    W
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    Nacional de Madeir Team Overview

    The visiting team last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga (home team - ABC, away team - Nacional de Madeira). The match ended in a 2-2 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs ABC):

    • possession: 64% vs 36%;
    • corners: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 11 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    Nacional de Madeira currently sit in 13th place in the league standings. The team is eager to improve their position and steer clear of the relegation zone. Over their last five matches, they have recorded one win and three losses, indicating a lack of consistency in their form. However, their attack has shown decent productivity, averaging 1.6 goals per game away from home. Nacional consistently look to exploit counterattacks to create chances in front of the opponent’s goal. In their most recent encounter with Vitória, they suffered a 2-1 defeat, which might fuel their motivation for a comeback.

    Match Results: Nacional de Madeir

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    1.13
    1.35
    2
    6
    17
    13
    4
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.13
    1.35
    2
    6
    17
    13
    4
    3
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.83
    0.88
    4
    6
    10
    16
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.83
    0.88
    4
    6
    10
    16
    1
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1
    AVS Futebol Sad
    AVS Futebol Sad
    1.73
    1.66
    8
    6
    8
    14
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.73
    1.66
    8
    6
    8
    14
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Tondela
    Tondela
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.93
    1.73
    8
    7
    16
    15
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.93
    1.73
    8
    7
    16
    15
    2
    1
    W
    18.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Alverca
    Alverca
    0.78
    0.49
    4
    8
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.78
    0.49
    4
    8
    15
    15
    2
    1
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 14;
    • home team wins - 5, away team wins - 6, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional de Madeir

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 15;
    • wins: 6 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 38% vs 27%;
    • losses: 6 vs 7;
    • draws: 4 vs 4.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 3;
    • losses: 3 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Nacional de Madeir have not won in 7 of last 8 games.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose(odds: 1.21)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.57, the guests - 1.36;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
    • both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 5.

    Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional de Madeir

    • average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 2.53;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.13;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.47;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.67;
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament -  1.5;
    • Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria SC Guimaraes Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.71)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 14;
    • both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 5 times.

    Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional de Madeir

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 15;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 9;
    • number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 5 (63%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 4 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 8;
    • BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 1 (17%);
    • BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 5 (83%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.88)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/142, 11.3%);
    • Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/8, 25%);
    • Nacional de Madeir away most often play: 1:1 (3/8, 37.5%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.64% (odds 6.1)
    1:0 - 11.65% (odds 6.1)
    2:1 - 9.17% (odds 8.4)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6.1)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Vitoria Guimaraes' form is raising concerns, with the team securing just one win in their last five matches. However, their defensive organization remains solid. Nacional de Madeira, despite their inconsistency, boast a strong scoring record on the road. Historically, their encounters have often been high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals recorded in six of the last seven head-to-heads at Guimaraes' ground. Considering both teams' ambitions to climb the standings and several trends pointing towards goal-heavy matches, an open game with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities is anticipated. Our prediction is over 2.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of +100*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (31 December 2025, 07:16)

    Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Nacional de Madeir

    Nacional de Madeir have not won
    cd-nacionalin 7 of last 8 games.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes will not lose
    Everygame
    -455
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 12 of last 14 Vitoria SC Guimaraes games (Primeira Liga).
    in 6 of last 7 Andre Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso games (in the Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    in 19 of last 21 Andre Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -2500
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 14 of last 16 Vitoria SC Guimaraes home games.
    vitoria-guimaraes-1in 12 of last 13 Vitoria SC Guimaraes home games (Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Guimaraes - Nacional Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    13.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    34991632-4136
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 16
    -5
    0
    9 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draw
    1
    6
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    9
    16
    Conceded
    9
    2.7
    Match goals average
    1.8
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    3
    Both teams scored
    2
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats