Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction 23 August 2026
🔊 In the third round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga, Vitória Guimarães take on Nacional da Madeira. The two sides have had very different starts to the season, but both are likely to create a fair number of chances around the box. This could be a high-scoring match.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between these two sides took place in mid-May. Nacional were at home and won 2-0. Looking at the last five head-to-head matches, it's worth noting the perfect balance: two wins each and one draw.
Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Nacional
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Sporting Lisbon, away team - Vitoria SC Guimaraes). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 21 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Vitória Guimarães have lost both of their opening matches - first to Arouca (0-1), then to Sporting (2-3). It's worth noting that those results don't fully reflect the team's potential, at least in attack. Take the first-round match against Arouca: according to advanced statistics, they generated 2.38 xG. They were simply unlucky with finishing - the kind of thing that happens at the start of a season. Against Sporting, the attack looked reasonably solid too. It was the defence that let them down, and that's something that takes considerably more time to fix. Against Nacional, then, Vitória will look to settle things through their attacking play.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Nacional de Madeir, away - Estoril Praia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Nacional de Madeir vs Estoril Praia):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Nacional have made a decent start to the season - four points from two games is a solid return. They drew with Santa Clara (2:2) before beating Estoril (2:0). It's hard to imagine they'll continue to look this assured defensively, though. Away from home in particular, they have had real problems at the back, and the first round was a clear example of that. It's not out of the question that the Madeira side will try to play with a degree of boldness - they have the ability to control the ball and create chances going forward. But complete dominance isn't on the cards. The pressure of the crowd will make things difficult, and this won't be a straightforward outing.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.38;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 6.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Vitoria SC Guimaraes home games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 4.25.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 4.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 1 (20%).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
⭐ Editor's Pick
The attacking options on both sides could be the defining factor here. Yes, both teams may look to play pragmatically, but the start of the season is when defensive organisation tends to lag behind. The attack, as recent results have shown, is already functioning well for both sides. Vitória need their first points of the campaign, while Nacional are looking to stay in the leading group. Our editorial team expects this match to produce plenty of goals. A 2-1 scoreline looks likely. We're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Nacional de Madeir
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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