Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors Prediction 3 September 2026

Details
Key points

    📊 Vélez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors will contest the final place in the quarter-finals of the Copa Argentina. The match is being played on a neutral ground, so neither side will have the usual home advantage. At this stage the cost of a mistake is particularly high, but both teams have enough quality that the game is unlikely to be reduced to purely cautious play.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Vélez Sársfield and Boca Juniors have met 41 times in official matches. The hosts have won 10, the visitors 20, with 11 draws. Boca also hold the advantage in goals scored: Vélez have netted 43 to their opponents' 70. The average number of goals per game between the two sides is 2.76.

    Head-to-head statistics Velez Sarsfield - Boca Juniors

    24%
    10 Wins
    26%
    11 Draws
    50%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    42
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    45%
    1.02
    Total average
    1.67
    Last matches
    03.09.26
    Football Cup
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    -
    -
    1
    9
    6
    10
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    1
    9
    6
    10
    3
    2
    08.08.26
    Primera Division
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1.23
    0.33
    5
    4
    12
    10
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.23
    0.33
    5
    4
    12
    10
    2
    4
    09.02.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    1.21
    0.35
    3
    7
    10
    9
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.21
    0.35
    3
    7
    10
    9
    0
    1
    28.11.24
    Football Cup
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    1
    3
    4
    1
    2
    2
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    1
    14.06.24
    Primera Division
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    1
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    16
    11
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    16
    11
    4
    1
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    Velez Sarsfield Team Overview

    Vélez Sarsfield come into this cup match in good form, going five games unbeaten with one win and four draws. In the league they have 13 points from seven matches and sit fourth, so the start to their season has been reasonably solid as well. Over their last ten matches, Vélez have averaged 1.3 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game, showing a decent balance between attack and defence. They have also scored in each of their previous seven matches, which is worth noting ahead of a game on a neutral ground.

    Match Results: Velez Sarsfield

    Last matches
    21.09.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Tigre
    Tigre
    1.64
    1.4
    2
    7
    9
    9
    0
    0
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    1.64
    1.4
    2
    7
    9
    9
    0
    0
    W
    11.09.26
    Primera Division
    Newell´s Old Boys
    Newell´s Old Boys
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1.79
    0.42
    8
    2
    13
    13
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.79
    0.42
    8
    2
    13
    13
    0
    1
    D
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    1.52
    0.41
    5
    1
    16
    19
    2
    5
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.52
    0.41
    5
    1
    16
    19
    2
    5
    W
    03.09.26
    Football Cup
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    -
    -
    1
    9
    6
    10
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    1
    9
    6
    10
    3
    2
    L
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Riestra
    Deportivo Riestra
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1
    0.58
    0.69
    2
    6
    14
    9
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.58
    0.69
    2
    6
    14
    9
    2
    1
    D
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    Boca Juniors Team Overview

    Boca Juniors are also heading into the Round of 16 in good form: three wins and two draws from their last five matches. In the league they have collected 10 points from seven rounds and sit eighth, though their recent results look better than their table position suggests. Across their last ten matches, Boca have won five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and exactly 1 conceded per game. They are reasonably solid defensively while regularly creating chances going forward, so in terms of current form they are barely behind Vélez ahead of this decisive quarter-final qualifier.

    Match Results: Boca Juniors

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    0.15
    2.04
    2
    8
    15
    13
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.15
    2.04
    2
    8
    15
    13
    2
    3
    W
    16.09.26
    sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    0.87
    0.72
    4
    1
    8
    16
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.87
    0.72
    4
    1
    8
    16
    2
    1
    D
    12.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    Central Cordoba
    Central Cordoba
    1.48
    1.21
    2
    6
    15
    10
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.48
    1.21
    2
    6
    15
    10
    3
    2
    W
    09.09.26
    sudamericana
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.04
    0.49
    4
    2
    6
    9
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.04
    0.49
    4
    2
    6
    9
    1
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    1.73
    1.48
    5
    6
    3
    6
    1
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1.73
    1.48
    5
    6
    3
    6
    1
    4
    D
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    Boca Juniors have gone eight matches in a row without defeat, which supports the unbeaten run trend. This points to a strong likelihood that the visitors will at least avoid defeat in this fixture. That option is priced at 1.25*.

    Reliable Bet

    Boca Juniors to Score: Yes - they have scored in eight consecutive matches, and their average of 1.4 goals per game across their last 10 matches also supports the case for the visitors finding the net at least once. This option is priced at 1.28*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes are 0-0 (17.66%), 0-1 (16.82%) and 1-0 (15.3%). Our editorial team expects the scoreline to read 1-1 at the end of normal time, with the gap between the top three options being small, which points to a cautious match.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Boca Juniors are considered the more prestigious club, but Vélez Sarsfield come into this match in good form. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last seven matches and regularly create chances even against higher-quality opposition. On a neutral ground, Vélez will not be forced to sit back and should get their opportunities going forward. Our pick is Vélez Sarsfield Team Total - Over 0.5 goals.
    Velez Sarsfield will score goal
    Odds-149
    Published: 01/09/2026, 00:24
    Insaf Gataulin
    Insaf Gataulin
    Football expert
    154
    5
    98
    257 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Velez Sarsfield - Boca Juniors

    Velez Sarsfield have drawn:
    velez-sarsfieldin last 4 games.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +225
    Boca Juniors have not lost:
    boca-juniors-1in last 8 games.
    Boca Juniors will not lose
    Everygame
    -625
    Velez Sarsfield have not lost:
    velez-sarsfieldin 13 of last 14 games.
    Velez Sarsfield will not lose
    Everygame
    -110
    Boca Juniors have scored:
    boca-juniors-1in last 8 games.
    Boca Juniors will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 9
    +5
    +10
    16 - Scored
    6 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    5
    Draws
    4
    1
    Loses
    0
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    16
    9
    Conceded
    6
    2.3
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.6
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    58'
    View all stats