Nacional vs Guimaraes Prediction
🔊 Nacional Madeira come into this fixture on the back of three defeats in their last five outings and currently sit 14th in the standings. Vitória Guimarães are better placed in eighth, but their form remains inconsistent with just three wins from their previous ten matches. Both sides have struggled to pick up points recently, and there is little to separate them in terms of average goals scored. With relegation still a threat, the hosts will be highly motivated to secure a result and strengthen their position outside the drop zone.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 02 January 2026 and ended in a 2-1 victory. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Vitória Guimarães were the home team):
- Possession: 57% vs 43%;
- Corners: 2 vs 3;
- Fouls committed: 20 vs 18;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Nacional da Madeira and Vitória Guimarães:
- 15 matches played;
- both sides have claimed 6 wins each, with 3 draws;
- goals scored: 20 for the hosts, 24 for the visitors;
- average first-half goals - 1.4, average second-half goals - 1.53;
- average total goals per match - 2.93.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Santa Clara hosting Nacional da Madeira. The match ended in a 2-0 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Nacional da Madeira vs Santa Clara):
- Possession: 59% vs 41%;
- Corners: 6 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 16 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 2.
In their last five matches, Nacional da Madeira have suffered three defeats and picked up two wins, with the team struggling in attack-averaging just 0.8 goals per game over their last ten league outings. Their season average is only slightly better at 1.06 goals per match, which remains low even by the standards of teams near the bottom of the table. Defensively, they have shown relative stability, conceding 1.36 goals per game-a marginally better figure than their attacking output, but still not enough to consistently earn points against more organised opponents. Heading into the final round, the team are in desperate need of points, as their top-flight status is still far from secure.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, taking on Vitória Guimarães away from home. Casa Pia came out on top, securing a 1-0 victory.
Key match stats (Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia):
- Possession: 71% vs 29%;
- Corners: 6 vs 4;
- Fouls: 11 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Vitória Guimarães have won two of their last five matches, lost two, and drawn once. They average slightly more goals than the hosts, netting 1.2 per game, but their defensive record is a concern-conceding 1.5 goals on average over the past ten rounds, their worst stretch of the season at 1.48 per match. Sitting eighth in the table with nothing left to play for, the visitors are unlikely to pose much of a challenge, as their campaign objectives have long been settled.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 15;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.4;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.53, while the visitors net 0.87.
First-Half Stats: Nacional de Madeir (home) vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 3 (18.75%) vs 4 (25%);
- losses: 4 (25%) vs 7 (43.75%);
- draws: 9 (56.25%) vs 5 (31.25%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.44;
- Average goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.94.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.8).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 6, draws - 3.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 8 vs 12;
- win percentage: 24% vs 36%;
- losses: 18 vs 15;
- draws: 7 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have not won in 8 of last 9 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- average total in the tournament: 2.42 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.18;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.67;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total at home in the tournament - 1.31;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total away in the tournament - 0.81;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 0.6).
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45; at home field - 4.94;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 5.4.
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes away - 5 (31%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/297, 10.1%), 1:1 (30/297, 10.1%);
- Nacional de Madeir at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (4/16, 25%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes away most often play: 2:0 (4/16, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.04% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.2% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 9.29% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides have struggled for consistency in recent rounds, and it's clear that attacking firepower is in short supply. Nacional da Madeira rarely score more than once per match and have posted modest numbers in front of goal over their last ten outings. Vitória Guimarães have also failed to impress going forward, with their defensive lapses a recurring issue. The season-long averages for goals scored and conceded by both teams hardly inspire confidence. While the hosts’ motivation in the league could push them to attack, the overall trend this campaign points to both clubs finding it tough to convert chances. The main prediction here is under 2.5 goals.
Betting Tips: Nacional de Madeir - Vitoria SC Guimaraes
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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