Union vs Bayern Prediction 3 December 2025
🔊 On Wednesday, Union will host Bayern in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16. The hosts aim to capitalize on their home advantage and continue their tradition of challenging cup ties, where they often put strong opponents in difficult situations. Can Union once again prevent Bayern from securing a victory? Just recently, on November 8, the teams faced off at the "An der Alten Försterei" in the 10th round of the Bundesliga, where the Berlin side managed to halt Bayern's 16-match winning streak with a 2-2 draw. The visitors enter the game as clear favorites: they are consistent, attack with power, and are accustomed to controlling such encounters. The match promises to be intense, with the outcome potentially decided by details and counterattacking moments.
Head-to-Head
On November 8, Union Berlin nearly claimed three points against Bayern Munich. Danilho Doekhi opened the scoring from a set-piece, but Luis Díaz equalized before halftime. In the second half, Doekhi put the Berlin side ahead again, once more from a set-piece, but Harry Kane had the final say in stoppage time, setting the final score at 2-2.
Head-to-head statistics Union - Bayern
Union Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga, where Union hosted Heidenheim. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the game statistics (Union vs Heidenheim):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
🏆 Steffen Baumgart's squad faced last season's finalist, Arminia Bielefeld, in the previous round of the DFB-Pokal, with Bielefeld currently competing in the 2. Bundesliga. After a 1-1 draw in regular time, Danilho Doekhi put Union ahead in the 106th minute of extra time, securing the Berliners' passage to the next round. Leopold Querfeld scored the opening goal.
🔴 Union then played four Bundesliga matches, with three at home and one away. At home, they drew with Freiburg (0-0) and Bayern Munich (2-2). On the road, they narrowly defeated St. Pauli (1-0). Last Saturday, they seemed set for a win against the league's bottom side, Heidenheim. Rani Khedira's goal had them on track, but Union conceded twice in stoppage time and lost 2-1. After 12 rounds, the team sits in 11th place in the standings.
Match Results: Union
Bayern Munich Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga, where they faced Bayern Munich away. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory for Bayern.
Here's the match statistics (Bayern vs St. Pauli):
- possession: 81% vs 19%;
- corners: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 5 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
🏆 The Munich side advanced in the German Cup after a trip to Cologne, where they initially conceded a goal midway through the first half. However, they quickly leveled the score and took the lead thanks to Luis Diaz and Harry Kane. After the break, Vincent Kompany's squad added two more goals early in the second half-Kane and Goretzka found the net again-and comfortably secured a commanding 4-1 victory.
⚫ Following that, Bayern thrashed Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 in the league, triumphed over PSG in the Champions League with a 2-1 win, and encountered resistance in Berlin with a 2-2 draw. A dominant 6-2 home victory over Freiburg followed, but then they suffered their first defeat of the season: a 3-1 loss to Arsenal in North London during the Champions League. Returning to Munich, Bayern hosted St. Pauli, conceding first but equalizing before halftime through Guerreiro. They clinched all three points in injury time with goals from Diaz and Jackson, ending 3-1. In the league, Bayern hold an 8-point lead over second-placed RB Leipzig, though it's worth noting they've conceded in five consecutive matches, totaling nine goals.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Latest news
Union
🎙 Steffen Baumgart after the disappointing defeat: "Looking at the flow of the game, at 1-1, there's always a chance you might lose. At 1-2, we already felt deflated, but we need to deal with that now. In the second half, we could have executed one or two attacks better, but overall, I can't fault my team. These situations are an integral part of football, and we'll learn from them."
❌ Midfielder Robert Skov and defender Andrik Markgraf remain sidelined.
Bayern Munich
🎙 Vincent Kompany shares his expectations for the upcoming game: "Of course, I want to return to Berlin after this match [the final will be held in the capital at the Olympiastadion]. It's easy to say you want to win everything, but it takes work and the right mindset. If tomorrow we can show how hungry we are for the final, then we have a good chance. It's a positive pressure. By the end of the season, we'd like it to be just as strong or even stronger. We want to play well and win-we're ready for anything, whether it's 90 minutes or an additional 30. This is positive pressure."
❌ Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala will not play in this match. Everyone else is fit, and the team looks good.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- First-half wins at home - 1; away - 3; draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.62;
- Today's home team averages 0.31 goals, while the visitors average 1.31.
First-Half Stats: Union (home) vs Bayern (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 2 (100%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 1 vs 0;
- Draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5) vs 2.2 (scored - 1.6, conceded - 0.6).
- Bayern have both scored and conceded in the first half of their last four matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- Home wins - 0, Away wins - 8, Draws - 5.
- Union have covered the +1.5 handicap in 7 consecutive matches.
- Union have covered the +1.5 handicap at home in 6 straight games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 0.77, away team - 2.38;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.15;
- Both teams scored: overall - 8 times; at the home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Union vs Bayern
- Average total in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
- Average goals scored: 3.5 vs 3.5;
- Average first-half total: 2 vs 1.5;
- Average second-half total: 1.5 vs 2;
- Union: Average home total in the tournament - 2;
- Bayern: Average away total in the tournament - 3.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.33) vs 3 (away - 2.4).
- Bayern have scored under 3.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
Corners Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total corners in head-to-head matches - 10.77 (3.54 for the home team and 7.23 for the away team);
- Average total corners at the home ground - 11.14 (4.57 for the home team and 6.57 for the away team).
Union: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 7.5; at home - 11;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.1; at home - 6.33.
Bayern: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 6, away - 6;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.6; away - 4.
- Total over 9.5 corners hit in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total over 9.5 corners hit in Union's last 7 matches.
- Total over 9.5 corners hit in Union's last 5 home matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.08 (1.54 for the home team and 1.54 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.14 (1.43 for the home team and 1.71 for the away team).
Union: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.5; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.9; at home - 3.67.
Bayern: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.5, away - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- Both teams scored overall - 8 times;
- At the home team's ground - 6 times.
- Union score and concede at home in all of their last 6 head-to-head matches with these teams.
- Bayern score and concede in their last 5 consecutive matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Union Berlin approach the match with fighting spirit: the Berliners have already shown they can challenge the favorites, having drawn with Bayern in the Bundesliga (2-2). However, their form is inconsistent - after a series of draws and losses in the league, they sit only in 11th place.
Bayern, despite a recent Champions League defeat and conceding goals regularly in recent matches, remain the favorites. The Munich side boasts a significant advantage in player quality, attacking prowess, and cup experience. Given the disparity in class, experience, and squad depth, Union's chances of an upset are minimal, though tension and a hard-fought battle on the pitch are guaranteed. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes) - Union have both scored and conceded at home in their last 6 head-to-head matches against Bayern. We anticipate a Bayern victory in regular time - 2-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Union - Bayern Munich
in 19 of last 21 games.
in last 13 games against Bayern Munich.in last 7 home games against Bayern Munich.in 20 of last 21 games.in 10 of last 11 away games.in last 13 games against Bayern Munich.in last 7 home games against Bayern Munich.in last 21 games.in last 11 away games.in last 21 Bayern Munich games.in last 11 Bayern Munich away games.
in 10 of last 11 Matthias Jollenbeck games.in last 6 Matthias Jollenbeck games (in the DFB Pokal)..svg)
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
