Leverkusen vs Nuremberg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 Last weekend, both sides saw their respective runs come to an end. Nürnberg failed to score for the first time this season and lost to Kaiserslautern (0:1). A day later, Bayer came away empty-handed from Hoffenheim - their first time without points since August. The DFB-Pokal will show whose setback was a one-off.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between the sides took place in April 2019 in the Bundesliga, with Bayer winning 2-0 at home. Leverkusen have not lost in their last five head-to-head matches, and Nuremberg have failed to score more than one goal in any of those games. The biggest win in that run came in 2014, when Bayer won away with four goals.
Head-to-head statistics Leverkusen - Nuremberg
Bayer: Rotation That Failed to Deliver
Until Sunday, Bayer had been comfortably managing two competitions at once. From 20 September, Martínez's side won five consecutive matches. Both away games in the Europa League ended with clean sheets. At the BayArena, Bayer had not dropped a point in any competition this season, winning every official home match and conceding just one goal. In the Bundesliga, the team sit fourth on 13 points, four behind Bayern and Dortmund.
Heavy rotation at Hoffenheim did not pay off. With the Europa League workload in mind, Martínez made six changes to the starting XI. Hoffenheim created chances worth 3.19 expected goals, compared to 0.62 for Bayer. Leverkusen conceded three and failed to score. The evening came at a high cost: defender Loïc Badé was carried off on a stretcher, and Moussa Diaby went off injured before half-time. Three days after the cup match, Bayer host Stuttgart, and Martínez now faces the question of whether to risk rotating again.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Nürnberg register 27 shots without Zomah
Nürnberg sit second in the 2. Bundesliga with 18 points, seven behind leaders Hertha. Third-placed Kaiserslautern have the same tally, and Saturday's head-to-head exposed a weakness in Miroslav Klose's side. Nürnberg had 27 shots to Kaiserslautern's 12 and held 65% of the ball, but were repeatedly thwarted by opposing goalkeeper Král. The only goal of the match settled it: substitute Erençan Yardımcı headed home for Kaiserslautern.
Nürnberg's attack was missing Mohamed Ali Zoma. The team's top scorer has had shoulder surgery and is out until at least the new year. Klose is not panicking: "We have players with different qualities. We just couldn't bring them into the game this time." Asked whether Nürnberg can compete with the best without Zoma, the manager's answer was brief: "Absolutely yes." A Bundesliga club will put that to the test as early as Wednesday.
Match Results: Nuremberg
Latest news
Bayer Leverkusen
❓ Moussa Diaby has injured his right hamstring, and the club do not expect the winger back until after the November international break. Loïc Badé suffered a head contusion and a cut following a collision on Sunday. The defender underwent a neurological examination on Monday, and no timeframe has been given.
Nuremberg
❓ Alongside Zoma, Klose will also be without midfielder Finn Becker and defender Christian Mandić. Mikayil Faye is not yet fit to play. Finn Otto is a doubt after injuring his knee against Kaiserslautern and going off in the first half. The defender was working on an individual programme on Sunday, and the club are not expecting a lengthy absence.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted Bayer starting XI: Flekken - Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutierrez - Aleix Garcia, Ezequiel Fernandez - Tillman, Maza, Tella - Schick.
📋 Predicted Nürnberg starting XI: Reichert - Janisch, Kalogeropoulos, Otto, Porstner - Markhiyev, Javier Fernandez - Justvan, Ghrieb, Scobel - Lubach.
Total Goals Prediction
Nürnberg have scored in 13 consecutive away matches. The only blip in their last 15 came last Saturday at home, without their top scorer. Across nine matchdays in the 2. Bundesliga, Klose's side have scored 21 goals in total. Bayer, meanwhile, have conceded in five of their last ten official matches, letting in three each at Mainz and Hoffenheim. We expect the visitors to score at the BayArena as well. The pick is Nürnberg to Score: Yes at 1.63*.
Corners Prediction
More than eight corners were recorded in 7 of Nürnberg's last 8 matches. Klose's side are also generous with corners themselves: across their last 10 official matches they have taken 62 corners to their opponents' 52. On Saturday, Nürnberg took 11 corners while Kaiserslautern managed just three. Over the same period, Bayer have taken 68 corners to their opponents' 36. We expect Wednesday's match to reach nine corners. The bet is Total Corners - Over 8.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Referees have shown at least four yellow cards in 14 of the last 20 matches involving Bayer and Nürnberg. It happens more often in Klose's side's matches - eight times out of ten. Over that same ten-match span, Nürnberg players have received 20 bookings, while their opponents collected 25. Bayer's players have picked up 17 yellows across their last ten matches, with opponents receiving 18. On Saturday, the referee showed five cards, all of them to Kaiserslautern. We expect this cup knockout tie to also produce at least four yellow cards. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Bayer are favourites, but beating Nürnberg heavily is no easy task. Miroslav Klose's side have not lost by three or more goals in 30 consecutive matches. Away from home the picture is the same: the visitors have conceded that kind of margin in just one of their last 25 matches. Even their first slip of the season, against Kaiserslautern, was a one-goal defeat. We expect Bayer to win, but Nürnberg will keep the gap to fewer than three goals in Leverkusen too. The bet is Nürnberg - Handicap +2.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Bayer Leverkusen - Nuremberg
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