Bayern vs Union Prediction 18 September 2026
🔊 Bayern are back at the Allianz Arena after two away matches in the league and go into this game against Union on the back of two consecutive wins - over Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League and Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Union's situation is considerably more difficult: after an eye-catching 3-3 draw with Eintracht, they lost to Bayer and then to Schalke. The Berliners have conceded ten goals in their first three matches and currently sit 16th. Against that backdrop, a trip to Munich looks like a serious test for the visitors' defence.
🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.
Union have yet to find an answer to Bayern's relentless pressure.
📊 The head-to-head record is entirely in Bayern's favour. In 14 official Bundesliga meetings, Union have never beaten the Bavarians: nine matches ended in Bayern wins, with the other five drawn. The last game at the Allianz Arena ended in a 4-0 thrashing of Union.
🔗 Across the last five head-to-head meetings, Bayern have scored 13 goals and Union five. Four of those five matches produced over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in three of them.
Head-to-head statistics Bayern - Union
Bayern have rediscovered their attacking rhythm.
Bayern started the season by thrashing Stuttgart 5-1, then surprisingly drew 0-0 with Schalke before beating Elversberg 2-1. In the Champions League, Kompany's side also had no trouble, hammering Bodø/Glimt 5-0. Across those four matches, Bayern scored 12 goals and conceded just two.
Their numbers in the league are particularly telling. Bayern registered 63 shots across three matchdays, averaged 65% possession and completed 89.6% of their passes. They have also picked up just three yellow cards.
Harry Kane failed to score in the first two matchdays, but in the previous game against Elversberg it was his 72nd-minute goal that won the match. He also provided the assist for Lennart Karl's first goal.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Union allow far too many chances around their own goal.
Union started the season with an entertaining 3-3 draw against Eintracht, but their results have dropped off sharply since then. They lost 0-4 in Leverkusen and then conceded three at home to Schalke, going down 1-3. In each of those last two matches, Union managed just one goal.
The underlying numbers reflect Union's difficulties. They have had 43 shots, scored four goals, and average just 41-47% possession. They have also picked up seven yellow cards already - more than Bayern have received across three matchdays.
Union head coach Mauro Lustrinelli will need to find a way to contain one of the most active attacks in the Bundesliga. That task will become considerably harder if Bayern score first and force their visitors to open up.
Match Results: Union
Latest news
Bayern Munich
✅ According to preliminary information, all Bayern players are listed without "out" or "doubtful" status.
🔁 Update, 18 September, 5:40 UTC:
- According to Sky Sport, Serge Gnabry could make his first appearance since April. The Bayern player was already in the squad for the Elversberg match but did not play. For the game against Union, Kompany intends to bring Gnabry on during the match. A notable fact: in 24 consecutive matches for Bayern and the German national team in which Gnabry took part, his team scored at least two goals. That said, in the upcoming match bookmakers already have little doubt that the hosts will score at least twice regardless.
Union
❌ Oliver Burke and Andrej Ilić are both out - through injury and post-surgery recovery respectively - while Marvin Friedrich, Stanley Nsoki, Kastriot Imeri and Mekhi Gray are also carrying fitness concerns. Josip Juranović is a doubt after missing training through illness.
🔁 Update, 18 September, 10:23 UTC:
- The most likely option to replace the ill Juranović at right-back is Christopher Trimmel. The defender has not started a single match this season and has played just 32 minutes since August.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Bayern predicted starting XI: Neuer - Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Davies - Kimmich, Pavlovic - Olise, Musiala, Díaz - Kane.
📋 Union predicted starting XI: Raab - Trimmel, Querfeld, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Rothe - Aebischer, Kemlein, Khedira, Burcu - Skarke, Latte.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Union will spend much of the match without the ball, having to break up Bayern's attacks in central areas and out wide. The Berliners have already picked up seven yellow cards in three rounds, while Bayern have just three. Bayern themselves are not inclined to turn matches like this into a physical battle. So an extremely high number of bookings is unlikely. The bet: Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Bayern have a significant attacking advantage and will take the initiative from the off at home. Union have already conceded 10 goals, and now face a side that put five past Stuttgart and Bodø/Glimt. That said, the Berliners are capable of creating at least a few dangerous moments on the counter-attack. They scored three against Eintracht in the first round, so ruling out a goal for the visitors entirely would be unwise. Bet: Total Goals - Over 3.5 at 1.43.*
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Bayern will spend most of the match in Union's half. In the previous meeting at the Allianz Arena, Bayern earned 12 corners to their opponents' one. Union will sit deep, so Bayern's high volume of positional attacks will lead to cutbacks, crosses and blocked shots. This creates good conditions for another high corner total. I'm going with Bayern to win the corner count with a handicap of -2. The odds are 1.51*.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Harry Kane didn't score in the first two matchdays but got the winner against Elversberg. With his rivals in the top scorer race pulling ahead, he'll need to catch up, and with the hosts expected to dominate territorially, the striker should have plenty of opportunities to shoot from inside the box. Bet: Harry Kane to score with his right foot at 1.57.*
😱 Risky Bet
Union are conceding too much. Against Bayern, those problems could become even more pronounced, especially if the hosts score early and force their visitors to abandon a compact shape. For a higher price, Bayern Munich - Handicap (-4.5) is worth considering. The odds are 3.4*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
The gap in current form and squad quality is clear. Bayern have also traditionally done well against Union at the Allianz Arena, with the most recent meeting there ending in a 4-0 win. It is hard to imagine a low-scoring outcome in Munich. Reliable bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.15.*
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
If Union manage to hold it at 0-0 in the first half while Bayern create chances but fail to convert them, a more aggressive option could be worth considering in the second half.
If the score is still 0-0 around the 55th-60th minute and Bayern are clearly dominant in shots and possession, an interesting option would be Bayern Team Total - Over 1.5 goals in the second half. The depth of their squad will allow Kompany to strengthen the attack through substitutions, and it will become increasingly difficult for Union to withstand the sustained pressure.
If Bayern score early, Union will be forced to open up, which will create more space for Kane, Musiala, Olise and Luis Díaz. Live bet: Bayern Team Total - Over 1.5 goals in the second half.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bayern are clearly superior to Union in terms of squad quality, attacking statistics and current form. The Munich side have already scored 18 goals in their first six matches of the season, while the Berliners have conceded 12 in four games, including the DFB-Pokal match. The most logical scenario therefore looks like a Bayern-dominated game with at least three or four goals. Final selection: Bayern Munich - Handicap -2.5. Predicted score: 5-0 to Bayern.
No comments
Betting Tips: Bayern Munich - Union
in last 5 home games against Union (Bundesliga).in 8 of last 9 games.in 7 of last 8 home games (Bundesliga)..svg)
in 9 of last 10 home games (Bundesliga).
in 9 of last 10 home games.
in last 15 games against Union.in last 14 games against Union (Bundesliga).in last 7 home games against Union (Bundesliga).in 30 of last 31 games.in 29 of last 30 games (Bundesliga).in 21 of last 22 home games.in 13 of last 14 home games (Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
