Sao Paulo vs Bahia Ba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between São Paulo and Bahia promises to be an intriguing contest. São Paulo have been impressive at home, as evidenced by their recent performances. Meanwhile, Bahia also display consistency on the road. However, both teams have their vulnerabilities, which could impact the outcome of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 26 October 2025 and ended with a 2-0 victory. Here's a comparative look at the stats from that encounter (São Paulo were the home side):
- possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Bahia:
- 29 matches played;
- home team victories - 14, away team wins - 9, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 37 for São Paulo, 24 for Bahia;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.76, in the second half - 1.34;
- average total goals per match - 2.1.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Bahia Ba
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Copa Sudamericana, with Millonarios hosting São Paulo. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Millonarios):
- possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 5 vs 9;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
⚪ São Paulo are in excellent form, particularly in home fixtures. They've secured victories in 9 of their last 10 games at home, underscoring their dominance on familiar turf. In their last five matches, the team has claimed three wins and drawn once. With an average of 1.31 goals per match, their attacking play remains consistently strong.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Bahia Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, where Bahia hosted Santos. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Santos):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
🔵 Bahia are currently sixth in the standings and boast a solid away record. In their last ten matches, they've scored at least once in 13 out of 14 occasions. However, their defense is a concern, conceding on average 1.5 goals per game.
Match Results: Bahia
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 29;
- First-half wins at home - 5; away - 1; draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.76;
- Today's home team averages 0.55 goals, visitors - 0.21.
First-Half Stats: São Paulo (home) vs Bahia (away)
- Played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Wins: 2 (33.33%) vs 3 (50%);
- Losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Draws: 3 (50%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 3;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.8).
- Bahia have conceded in the first half for five consecutive matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 29;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 9, Draws - 6.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Bahia
- Matches in tournament: 13 vs 12;
- Wins: 7 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 54% vs 50%;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- São Paulo have won at home in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- São Paulo have won at home in 7 of their last 8 Série A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home side - 1.28, Away side - 0.83;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.1;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 10 times; at home - 5 times.
Average Total Statistics: São Paulo vs Bahia
- In tournament: 2.15 vs 2.58;
- Goals scored: 1.31 vs 1.42;
- First half: 0.31 vs 0.83;
- Second half: 1 vs 0.58;
- São Paulo: at home in tournament - 1.83;
- Bahia: away in tournament - 1.17;
- Last 10 matches: 1.1 (home - 1.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matches at the home ground.
- Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Série A).
- Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 6 of São Paulo's last 7 home matches.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 6.38; at home - 7.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 8.3; at home - 9.2.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 5.08, away - 4.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.5; away - 3.75.
- São Paulo have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in the last five head-to-head matches (Série A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 29;
- Both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- At the home ground - 5 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Bahia
- Played in tournament: 13 vs 12;
- Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
- São Paulo: BTTS at home - 2 (33%);
- Bahia: BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 3 vs 6;
- São Paulo: BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Bahia: BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (17/127, 13.4%);
- São Paulo most often finishes matches at home: 2-0 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Bahia most often plays away: 0-1, 1-2 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 13.19% (odds: 6.5)
1-0 - 12.31% (odds: 6.5)
0-0 - 9.91% (odds: 8.3)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match is expected to be quite cautious with limited chances. The hosts traditionally perform stronger at home, striving to control the game through possession, but they often struggle with finishing. Bahia take a more pragmatic approach, focusing on defense and quick transitions, especially in away games.
Both teams lack consistency in attack, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. The game is likely to be a tight contest in midfield with minimal open spaces.
Considering current trends and team form, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable prediction. This bet has come through in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings at the hosts' ground, as well as in 6 of São Paulo's last 7 home games.
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Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Bahia
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