FC Dynamo-Makhachkala vs Akhmat Prediction
🔊 Who will come out on top in the Caucasus derby set for the third round of the Russian Premier League? There is no clear favorite in this upcoming clash. Dynamo Makhachkala haven't really strengthened their squad and have lost some key players. Akhmat, on the other hand, have revamped their roster almost beyond recognition, which brings its own challenges. As a result, both teams find themselves at the bottom of the standings and are desperate for points. In such a scenario, it's worth considering various options to make a well-founded prediction. Note that the match will take place in Kaspiysk, at the Anzhi Arena.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history features two matchups from last season. In the first round, Dynamo hosted Akhmat and secured a win thanks to Mohammadjavad Hosseinnezhad's goal in the 87th minute. At that time, the Russian Premier League newcomer also managed to avoid defeat in Grozny (1-1). Serder Serderov's penalty was quickly answered by Maksim Samorodov right after the break.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Dynamo-Makhachkala Team Overview
⚪️ Dynamo Makhachkala are considered one of the underdogs in the championship, at least on paper. However, last season they defied expectations with their tactical organization, which helped them succeed in their battle to stay in the league. In the opening round of the RPL, the "White-Blues" had a stroke of luck. They narrowly lost to Spartak by just one goal (0-1), although the match could have ended in a rout. Meanwhile, they rued a missed victory against Orenburg away (1-1), despite managing to impose their game with battles across every part of the field.
🔵 Dynamo Makhachkala's first win came in the Russian Cup. They faced Pari NN, who had announced a shift to an attacking style. However, the Makhachkala side easily dismantled their opponent's play, preventing any threats near their goal. They seized their opportunity in the 80th minute, with Gamid Agalarov scoring shortly after coming off the bench.
Match Results: Dynamo-Makhachkala
Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
🟢 Akhmat have made some impressive moves in the transfer market and continue to seek ways to strengthen their squad. However, with limited time for pre-season training, the players are in varying conditions, which is evident in their early matches. This challenging start puts significant pressure on the team. In the opening round, they fell to Rubin, even though the Grozny side seemed to have control of the game (0-2). In the second round, they deservedly took the lead against CSKA, but suffered a lapse just before halftime, conceding twice in injury time. The second half saw no goals, resulting in Akhmat's second defeat of the season (1-2).
⚪️ The third setback came in the Russian Cup. Akhmat hosted Zenit and could hardly expect success, even considering the opponent's squad rotation. They had a disastrous first half, conceding two goals by the eighth minute. Recovering from such a deficit is always tough. Nevertheless, Akhmat created chances and completely pinned Zenit in their own half after the break, not allowing a single shot on their goal. Ultimately, they only managed to narrow the gap by converting a penalty (1-2).
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Latest news
Dynamo-Makhachkala
🎙 Dynamo Makhachkala's head coach Hasanbi Bidzhiyev on squad rotation in the Russian Cup match against Pari NN: "I believe the strategy was spot on... It's clear that we experimented with different options and combinations during the game. Some worked, some didn't. The most important thing is that we achieved the result, and now there's room for improvement, adjustments, and growth."
📝 Dynamo Makhachkala announced their first signing of the season. The new addition is defender Imadeddin Azzi, who is the elder brother of Mohammed Azzi, playing for Makhachkala since the beginning of the year.
❌ Dynamo Makhachkala's injury list still includes Yan Dapo.
Akhmat Grozny
🎙 Akhmat's head coach Alexander Storozhuk admitted that the team was outmaneuvered tactically by Zenit: "Credit to our guys-they tried to turn the game around and created a decent number of chances against such a strong team. We almost scored a second goal-the ball hovered near the goal line several times, but there was no one to put it in. We need to start playing right from the kickoff, not just find our rhythm during the match. We should have played like we did in the second half from the very beginning. Tactical errors are our issue."
❌ In the upcoming match, Darko Todorović will not play as he was sent off in the last round for two yellow cards. Akhmat have no other absences.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Kirill Levnikov. Last season, he officiated 20 RPL matches, averaging 5.05 yellow cards per game with 26.3 fouls. He remains consistent this season. In the Krasnodar vs. Lokomotiv match, he recorded 26 fouls and issued five yellow cards.
This season, Dynamo Makhachkala have the upper hand in yellow cards (3 versus 1.7). Their matches average five warnings, while Akhmat's games see even more at 5.3. Considering the referee's statistics, a bet on total yellow cards over 4.5 seems reasonable.
⚽️ Goal Predictions
Akhmat play a fairly attacking style of football. They didn't score against Rubin but managed to find the net against CSKA and Zenit. Their league position and season objectives push them to aim for victory in the upcoming match. It's not that Dynamo Makhachkala are solely defensive. The "White-Blues" create chances but struggle with finishing. Nonetheless, considering total goals over 1.5 is worth a look, especially since this has occurred in 12 of Akhmat's last 14 away RPL matches.
🚩 Corner Predictions
Akhmat have the edge in corners this season (3.3 compared to 2.7). Their opponents deliver a similar number. Meanwhile, Dynamo Makhachkala face an average of six such set pieces at their goal. We expect the visitors to take the initiative, though breaking down the hosts' defense will require effort. In this scenario, a bet on Akhmat to win on corners appears quite promising.
Editorial Prediction
The upcoming clash doesn't feature a clear favorite, with bookmakers offering similar odds for both sides to win. In such scenarios, a draw often becomes the outcome, which is why we're suggesting a potential scoreline of 1-1, a result seen in three of Dynamo Makhachkala's last four RPL matches.
We anticipate a more aggressive approach from Akhmat, which typically translates into an advantage in several attacking metrics, such as corners. Storozhuk's squad has only lost the corner count to CSKA, whereas Dynamo Makhachkala hasn't led in this metric in any of their matches this season. Last season, the "White-Blues" delivered at least two fewer corner kicks in their head-to-head encounters. Therefore, our key bet is on Akhmat to win the corner count.
Betting Tips: Dynamo-Makhachkala - Akhmat Grozny
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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