Libertad vs Olimpia Prediction 28 September 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Libertad go into matchday 12 in first place, with motivation to pull clear of their nearest rivals. Olimpia Asunción sit third and have hit excellent form in the race for the top. Both sides have shown consistent form throughout the championship and are ready to fight in every match.

    Libertad lead the head-to-head against Olimpia Asunción.

    📊 In official matches between Libertad and Olimpia Asunción, the two sides have met 71 times. The hosts have won 30, the visitors 23, with 18 draws. Libertad also hold the edge in goals scored - 94 against 78. On average, first halves produce 1.31 goals and second halves 1.11, giving an overall match average of 2.42 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics Libertad - Olimpia

    42%
    30 Wins
    25%
    18 Draws
    32%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    71
    Total Goals Avg
    2.42
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.32
    Total average
    1.1
    Last matches
    26.07.26
    Primera Division
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    6
    7
    7
    9
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    7
    7
    9
    0
    1
    25.04.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    1
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    -
    -
    4
    8
    7
    13
    5
    4
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    8
    7
    13
    5
    4
    25.02.26
    Primera Division
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    2
    2
    01.11.25
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    9
    11
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    9
    11
    3
    2
    17.08.25
    Primera Division
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    15
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    15
    2
    3
    Empty
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    Libertad are showing a well-balanced approach, with both their attack and defense working in tandem.

    Libertad are having a consistent season, though their lead over the chasing pack is slim. In their last five matches they have won three, drawn one and lost one, which points to good momentum. Over the ten matches before that, Libertad won seven, lost just one and drew twice - averaging 1.4 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. At home they have gone ten matches in a row without defeat, a trend that has held throughout the season. The pressure from those behind them leaves no room to ease up: picking up points in every match is essential if they are to hold on to top spot until the very end.

    Match Results: Libertad

    Last matches
    23.09.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Club Fernando de La Mora
    Club Fernando de La Mora
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    4
    5
    9
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2
    3
    -
    -
    4
    5
    9
    3
    1
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    12
    10
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    12
    10
    3
    2
    D
    11.09.26
    Primera Division
    2 de Mayo
    2 de Mayo
    1
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    3
    13
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    13
    16
    3
    4
    W
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Rubio Nu
    Rubio Nu
    -
    -
    9
    5
    11
    6
    1
    2
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    5
    11
    6
    1
    2
    W
    02.09.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    17
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    17
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Olimpia Asunción: Third Place and the Battle for Top Spot

    Olimpia Asunción have been remarkably consistent throughout the championship and deservedly sit in the top three. In their last five matches, they have won four and drawn one, maintaining a high level of attacking output - over their last ten matches they have averaged 2.1 goals scored and just 1.2 conceded per game. Their season-long figures also highlight defensive reliability, with fewer than one goal conceded per match (0.81). The side are holding third place and fighting for the lead, so they cannot afford to ease off, with every point critical to the final standings.

    Match Results: Olimpia Asuncion

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    -
    -
    6
    7
    10
    11
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    7
    10
    11
    2
    2
    W
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    -
    -
    2
    4
    13
    5
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    13
    5
    2
    2
    W
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    1
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    -
    -
    6
    6
    16
    10
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    16
    10
    3
    3
    W
    02.09.26
    Primera Division
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Guarani
    Guarani
    -
    -
    7
    3
    14
    13
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    14
    13
    3
    2
    D
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Cd Recoleta
    Cd Recoleta
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    In 6 of their last 7 home matches, Libertad went into half-time level, which points to a cautious start in their home games. The average number of goals scored and conceded in the first half by both sides does not suggest high scoring. There are no clear trends that contradict this scenario. We're backing a half-time draw at 2.15*.

    Match Result Prediction

    Olimpia Asunción are unbeaten in their last 7 matches, winning 6 of those 7. Over the course of the season, Olimpia Asunción have lost only 3 away matches, while Libertad have lost just twice at home. Despite Libertad's solidity on their own ground, the visitors' recent form and reliable defence point in Olimpia's favour. The optimal bet is Olimpia Asunción not to lose, priced at 1.42*.

    Risky Bet

    Olimpia Asunción have scored more than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches, which points to a high attacking output in recent weeks. On top of that, their average goals scored over their last 10 matches stands at 2.1. This bet is riskier, but it is backed by a clear trend and the visitors' strong scoring record. Olimpia Asunción Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals at 2.35*.

    Reliable Bet

    Libertad have scored at least one goal in 12 of their last 13 home matches, which points to a strong trend. Their average of 1.94 goals scored at home this season also supports the selection. We expect the hosts to find the net at least once. Libertad Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.33*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-1 (11.72%), 0-1 (10.86%) and 1-0 (9.8%). All three results sit within a fairly narrow probability range, with 1-1 the most likely outcome. The distribution points to a tight, fairly even contest.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The trend data confirms that Libertad are a strong side at home, going 10 matches unbeaten on their own ground. That consistency is backed up by good recent form, with the team rarely losing and showing an organised defence. Olimpia Asunción are motivated too, but the home advantage factor could come into play here. Despite the visitors' overall strength this season, Libertad's established home run looks like the decisive argument. The main prediction is Libertad not to lose.
    Libertad will not lose
    Everygame
    Place a bet-200
    Published: 26/09/2026, 19:16
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    173
    16
    124
    313 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Libertad - Olimpia Asuncion

    Libertad have drawn in the 1st half:
    club-libertad-asuncionin 6 of last 7 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Olimpia Asuncion have won:
    olimpia-asuncionin 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    olimpia-asuncionin last 4 away games.
    Olimpia Asuncion to Win
    Bovada
    +145
    Olimpia Asuncion have not lost:
    olimpia-asuncionin last 7 games (Primera Division).
    olimpia-asuncionin last 5 away games.
    Olimpia Asuncion will not lose
    -238
    Libertad have not lost:
    club-libertad-asuncionin last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    club-libertad-asuncionin 9 of last 10 games.
    club-libertad-asuncionin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    Libertad will not lose
    -185
    View more facts

    Libertad - Olimpia Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    22154337-1749
    2.
    Nacional
    Nacional
    22109331-2239
    3.
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    22115630-2238
    5.
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    2288630-2432
    6.
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2294934-2631
    7.
    Guarani
    Guarani
    2278727-2329

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 10
    +4
    +9
    21 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    2
    1
    Lose
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    21
    10
    Conceded
    12
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3.3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats