Akhmat vs FC Dynamo-Makhachkala Prediction 13 September 2026
🔉 A Caucasian derby with contrasting motivations. Akhmat have gone three matches without a win when the Russian Cup is taken into account. Dinamo ended a run of four consecutive defeats last round by beating Rodina 2-0. In the RPL table, the visitors are sitting in the leading group, while the hosts are close to the relegation zone. Both sides need points and both will be playing to win.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the RPL, the two sides have met four times, and Akhmat are yet to win: two draws and two defeats. Both draws came in Grozny, both finishing 1-1. Dynamo have won twice - both times at home, both times by the minimum margin of 1-0. This fixture has stayed low-scoring throughout, and Total Goals - Over 2.5 has not landed in any of those four meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Akhmat - FC Dynamo-Makhachkala
Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
Stanislav Cherchesov's side have been inconsistent. After seven rounds they have seven points and sit 12th, just two places above the relegation play-off zone. They have lost twice, but both times to top opposition: Spartak (1-2) and Krasnodar (0-1). In their other five matches they picked up seven points. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw with Rubin, having equalised in the second half. They created an xG of 1.55 from 23 shots - they dominated the statistics and deserved to salvage a point.
The numbers show that Akhmat neither create a great deal (1.14 xG per game) nor concede much more (1.35 xG), yet matches tend to be fairly open in terms of goals, even if the quality of chances suggests they should produce fewer. At home, games involving the Grozny side are physical - at least 26 combined fouls have been recorded in 9 of their last 10 home RPL matches.
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Dynamo-Makhachkala Team Overview
The Makhachkala side have made the best start in the club's history. After seven rounds they sit sixth, with 12 points and four wins. The schedule has been tough, though, and they have lost to Zenit (0-3) in the Cup, Krasnodar (0-1) and Rubin (1-3) in the RPL. A run of three consecutive defeats was ended only by a 2-0 win over Rodina - their first clean sheet of the season. They produced 28 shots, 70% possession and an xG of 2.12, and were the better side throughout, though they did play the majority of the match with a numerical advantage after a red card on the eighth minute.
Away from home, the visitors have scored in 9 of their last 10 RPL matches, but scoring more than once has been rare. Their xG figures are modest: 1.5 created and 1.1 conceded. In 5 of their 7 matches, xG suggested no more than two goals would be scored. Vadim Evseev's side perform well against mid-table opposition but struggle against the top clubs.
Match Results: Dynamo-Makhachkala
Latest news
Akhmat Grozny
Maxim Samorodov is staying at Akhmat. The club had agreed a transfer fee with Spartak and personal terms were in place, but the deal fell through after the medical. The forward has played eight matches this season and scored one goal.
Dynamo-Makhachkala
The club failed to reach an agreement with Dynamo Moscow over the transfer of midfielder Ulvi Babayev. The two sides could not agree on the compensation figure in the event of the purchase option being activated at the end of the loan. Defender Idar Shumakov is in the treatment room.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
At least four cards were shown in 3 of the 4 head-to-head meetings between these sides. Akhmat reached that mark in 2 of their last 3 matches this season. The referee for this match is Rafael Shafeev - across 16 RPL games he averages 28 fouls and 4.3 yellow cards per match. Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.75* looks a reasonable selection.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Both teams scored in 9 of Dinamo's last 10 away matches in the RPL. Akhmat have seen both teams score in all three of their home matches in the current season. The Grozny side concede regularly, and the Makhachkala side almost always find the net away from home. The pick here is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.82*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Akhmat have not taken more than five corners in 8 of their last 10 home RPL matches. They also stayed under that total in both head-to-head meetings last season. Grozny tend to play through the centre and use the flanks for crosses less often, and Dinamo's style does not generate a high volume of set pieces either. The prediction is Akhmat Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.80*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides have been scoring freely this season: Akhmat's average match total is 2.72, while Dynamo's is 3.14. The Grozny side score 1.43 goals per game and rarely go without a goal at home. The Makhachkala side can also find the net away from home, though they rarely score more than one - in 8 of their last 10 away matches they scored no more than one goal. Given the statistics, a bet on two goals in the match looks interesting. Total Goals - Over 2.5 feels risky, so the main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo-Makhachkala
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