Progreso vs Defensor Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Matchday 13 brings CA Progreso and Defensor Sporting together with contrasting motivation and form. The hosts sit sixth and are pushing for a higher position, while the visitors are rooted in second-bottom place. CA Progreso stand out in terms of recent form: both sides have had their difficulties throughout the season, which could lead to an open game.
Разница мячей говорит сама за себя
Defensor Sporting won the most recent Primera División meeting between these two sides against CA Progreso - 1-0 ({27 April 2026}). After a goalless first half, the hosts scored the only goal of the game; they had 64% possession and led the shots on target count 6-4.
Across 23 official meetings, Defensor Sporting have won 13 times, CA Progreso five, with five draws. The goal difference also favours Defensor Sporting - 46:24.
Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Defensor
Team in search of stability
In their previous Primera División match, CA Progreso beat Montevideo Wanderers away from home 1-0 (25 October 2026). With shots on target level at 3-3, the visitors scored the only goal after the break.
CA Progreso have won three, lost one and drawn one across their last five matches. Over their last ten games they have won five, averaging 1.3 goals scored per match. Over the course of the tournament, however, their scoring rate drops to 0.91 goals per game, while opponents have averaged 1.38 goals against them per match, which represents a relatively high level of defensive vulnerability. Their motivation is high, as they need to close the gap in the race for a play-off place and cannot afford to wait.
Match Results: Progreso
The team are looking to turn things around and break out of their slump.
Defensor Sporting's last Primera match was a 3-3 draw with Racing Montevideo (24 October 2026). Playing at home, they led 2-1 at half-time, despite taking half as many shots as their opponents across the whole match - 8 compared to 16. Both sides were awarded a penalty, and Defensor Sporting had a player sent off.
Defensor Sporting head into this fixture on the back of a tough run, having suffered four straight defeats and managing just one draw in their last five outings. Their overall form across the last ten matches paints a similar picture: only two wins, five losses, and three draws. Defensively, they've struggled, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game during this stretch, but their attack remains productive-matching the hosts with an average of 1.3 goals scored per match. While Defensor Sporting aren't under pressure from league standings, the squad remains highly motivated for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Defensor Sporting
Match Result Prediction
Defensor Sporting are winless in their last 18 away matches. This season, their away record stands at zero wins, eight draws, and seven losses. Meanwhile, CA Progreso have claimed victory in five home games. However, Progreso have failed to win in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head clashes with Defensor Sporting, which tempers confidence in this pick. Still, considering the visitors’ prolonged away struggles, the value is on Progreso Double Chance at odds of 1.47*.
Total Goals Prediction
Defensor Sporting have scored under 1.5 goals in 16 of their last 18 away fixtures. Their average output on the road this season stands at 0.73 goals per match, while their recent away form shows a slight increase to 1.2 goals per game. At home, CA Progreso are conceding an average of 1.25 goals over their latest stretch. The pick here is Defensor Sporting Under 1.5 Team Goals at odds of 1.38*.
Corners Prediction
Defensor Sporting have won fewer than 5.5 corners in eight of their last nine Primera fixtures. This is a clear and sustained trend for this particular line. With no recent average corner stats available, the assessment relies on this ongoing run. The pick here is Defensor Sporting under 5.5 individual corners at odds of 1.47*.
High-Risk Bet
In four consecutive home head-to-head clashes with Defensor Sporting, CA Progreso have both scored and conceded after the break. Additionally, Progreso have let in at least one second-half goal in ten straight meetings between these sides. The trend of the visitors finding the net after half-time is even longer than the run of both teams scoring in the second half; however, there’s no comparable data for Progreso’s other recent fixtures. As a result, backing both teams to score in the second half (yes) at odds of 3.28* appears to be a high-risk option.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
CA Progreso have found the net in nine of their last ten matches. At home, they average 1.25 goals per game in recent outings, while Defensor Sporting have conceded an average of 1.8 goals on the road over their last few away fixtures. Progreso’s season-long home average stands at 1.07 goals per match. Backing Progreso to score over 0.5 goals at odds of 1.33* looks like a solid pick.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.2%), 0-1 (9.98%), and 1-0 (9.95%). The 1-1 draw stands out as the most probable outcome. The difference in probability between a 0-1 away win and a 1-0 home victory is just 0.03 percentage points.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This fixture comes with heavy pressure for the hosts, while their recent form has been stronger. The trend suggests that Defensor Sporting have failed to win on the road in 18 consecutive matches. Our prediction: CA Progreso will avoid defeat.
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Betting Tips: Progreso - Defensor Sporting
in 7 of last 8 games against Defensor Sporting (Primera Division).
in last 18 away games.in last 16 away games (Primera Division).in 10 of last 11 games against Defensor Sporting.in 9 of last 10 home games against Defensor Sporting.in 8 of last 9 home games against Defensor Sporting (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 games against Defensor Sporting (Primera Division).in 25 of last 27 Progreso games.in 22 of last 24 Progreso games (Primera Division).in 11 of last 12 Progreso home games.in 10 of last 11 Progreso home games (Primera Division).in 14 of last 16 Defensor Sporting away games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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