Penarol vs Wanderers Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers both head into this Clausura round 13 fixture without a win in their recent matches. There is still enough motivation to finish the stage higher up the table, particularly for the hosts, who - despite three poor results in the league and elimination from the Copa Uruguay - still have a chance of finishing top.
Fatal First Half
📊 In the last meeting between the two sides, Penarol thrashed Montevideo Wanderers in the Primera on 05 August 2026, winning 5-1 and scoring four of their goals before half-time. Montevideo Wanderers had more possession in that match and launched more dangerous attacks - 79 to 37.
Across 42 official meetings, Penarol have won 24, Montevideo Wanderers eight, with ten draws. Penarol's dominance is reflected in the goals too: 66 to 34.
Head-to-head statistics Penarol - Wanderers
Attacking threat gone
In their most recent Copa Uruguay match on 27 October 2026, Penarol lost at home to Montevideo City 0-2. After a goalless first half, the hosts conceded twice; across the full match they managed just one shot on target compared to five for their opponents.
Penarol had an inconsistent October: three matches without a win in the league were compounded by elimination from the Copa Uruguay. In the autumn they are averaging a modest 1.1 goals per game. That is a significant contrast with the summer period, when their conversion rate was considerably higher. Defensively the team have been solid (0.9 goals conceded per match across 10 games), but their attacking output has dropped - six consecutive matches with at most one goal confirm the dip in scoring.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Defence Allowing Too Much
Montevideo Wanderers lost their previous Primera División match on 25 October 2026, going down 1-0 at home to Progreso. Wanderers had more possession and launched more dangerous attacks - 78 to 60 - but the two sides were level on shots on target, 3-3.
Montevideo Wanderers have lost three matches in a row and are now in the bottom half of the table, though a win could improve their position slightly. That said, it won't make a significant difference to where they stand. Over their last ten matches, Wanderers have been averaging 1.1 goals per game, which is in line with their season-wide figures, so this isn't a collapse as such. Their defence is considerably weaker than their opponents', with the team conceding close to two goals per match recently.
Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers
Prediction for the 1st half
Montevideo Wanderers have lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 away head-to-head meetings with Penarol. In those same 6 of their last 7 home head-to-head matches, Penarol have scored before half-time. We're going with Penarol to Win the First Half at 1.94.
Total Goals Prediction
Penarol have conceded in 15 of their last 17 home matches. Over their last 10 home games, they have conceded an average of 1.25 goals, while Montevideo Wanderers have scored an average of 1.2 goals per game over their last 10 away matches. These figures support a bet on Montevideo Wanderers to Score at 1.80.
Corners Prediction
Penarol have had no more than five corners in six consecutive matches. We're backing Penarol Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.87.
Safer Bet
Penarol have scored no more than two goals at home in 6 of their last 7 matches. We're going with Penarol Team Total - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.35.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (12.29%), 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (10.27%). The highest probability belongs to 1-0, with the other two options standing at 10.81% and 10.27% respectively.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Penarol have won 6 of their last 7 home meetings with Montevideo Wanderers. The hosts have slightly more motivation - a team in the upper part of the table can ill afford such a lengthy run without a win. We're going with a Penarol win. We also expect a high-scoring match - both sides have nothing to lose at this point, so the emphasis from both teams will be on attack.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers
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