Progreso vs Defensor Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 October 2025

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Progreso and Defensor Sporting. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 18:30 19 October. The tournament match will take place at the Parque Abraham Paladino stadium in the city of Montevideo. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Defensor Sporting):

    • ball possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Progreso and Defensor Sporting:

    • played 20 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 11, draws - 5;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 22 against 42;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.2.

    Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Defensor

    22%
    5 Wins
    22%
    5 Draws
    57%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    23
    Avg. total goals
    3.04
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.04
    Average total
    2
    2.39
    Yellow cards
    2.09
    Last matches
    27.04.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    5
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    5
    6
    12.01.26
    UCL
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19.10.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    20.04.25
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    8
    3
    0
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    8
    3
    0
    0
    2
    3
    14.11.24
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 10 October 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Plaza Colonia, away team - Progreso). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Plaza Colonia):

    • ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 0.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Progreso delighted their fans with 5 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 3 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.2, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.8, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.9.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    10
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    10
    3
    2
    W
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    W
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    D
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Defensor Sporting Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 16 October 2025 as part of the Copa Uruguay tournament (home team - Defensor Sporting, away - Penarol Montevideo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here are the match stats (Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Montevideo):

    • ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Defensor Sporting gifted its fans with 5 victories, played to a draw 1 times, and finished 4 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 9;
    • average goals scored - 0.9;
    • average goals conceded - 0.8.

    Match Results: Defensor Sporting

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    9
    3
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    9
    3
    2
    D
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    1
    2
    -
    -
    7
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    -
    -
    7
    1
    L
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    2
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    L
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Albion
    Albion
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    2
    9
    -
    -
    5
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    2
    9
    -
    -
    5
    2
    L
    30.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Plaza Colonia
    Plaza Colonia
    -
    -
    6
    1
    9
    9
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    9
    9
    0
    1
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Progreso (Home) vs Defensor Sporting (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • Number of wins: 4 (25%) vs 3 (18.75%);
    • Number of losses: 7 (43.75%) vs 4 (25%);
    • Number of draws: 5 (31.25%) vs 9 (56.25%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 0.75;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.69 vs 0.44.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 2 vs 1;
    • Number of draws: 4 vs 8;
    • Average first half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 1.99)

    Match Result Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 20;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 11, draws - 5.
    👉Prediction: Defensor Sporting will not lose (odds: 1.35)

    Total Goals Prediction

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 2.1;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.2;
    • both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 5.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Defensor Sporting

    • average total in the tournament: 2.48 vs 2.09;
    • average total goals scored: 1.03 vs 1.09;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.47;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.58 vs 0.63;
    • Progreso: average total at home in the tournament -  1.25;
    • Defensor Sporting: average total away in the tournament - 0.63;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.8) vs 0.9 (away - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Progreso have scored in 9 of last 10 games against Defensor Sporting.
    • Progreso have scored in last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Progreso will score goal (odds: 1.39)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 8 Defensor Sporting games (Primera Division).
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 7 Defensor Sporting games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5) (odds: 1.62)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 20;
    • both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 5 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.91)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Progreso games (Primera Division).
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Defensor Sporting away games.
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Defensor Sporting away games (Primera Division).

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 17/10/2025, 19:24

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    Betting Tips: Progreso - Defensor Sporting

    Defensor Sporting have drawn in the 1st half:
    defensor-sportingin 8 of last 9 games.
    defensor-sportingin last 6 games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +105
    Progreso have drawn in the 2nd half:
    ca-progresoin last 5 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +130
    Progreso have won:
    ca-progresoin 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    Progreso to Win
    Everygame
    +205
    Progreso have not won:
    ca-progresodefensor-sportingin 8 of last 9 home games against Defensor Sporting.
    ca-progresodefensor-sportingin 7 of last 8 games against Defensor Sporting.
    Defensor Sporting will not lose
    Everygame
    -286
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 12
    +1
    -3
    13 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    13
    12
    Conceded
    16
    2.5
    Average total per match
    2.9
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats