Racing vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 Racing Montevideo sit ninth in the Clausura - a modest return for the best side of the Apertura. Cerro Largo FC are at the bottom of the table with no realistic chance of climbing into the top half. A key factor is the visitors' low scoring rate - the trend across their recent matches points to Cerro Largo FC being involved in low-scoring games.
One shot = one goal
📊 Racing Montevideo beat Cerro Largo FC 1-0 in their last Primera meeting on 17 May 2026. The only goal came before half-time: the hosts needed just one shot on target, while the visitors, despite having 54% possession, failed to register a single shot on target.
Across 13 official meetings, Racing Montevideo have won six, Cerro Largo FC four, with three draws. The difference is particularly pronounced at Racing Montevideo's ground: in five such matches they have gone unbeaten, with Cerro Largo FC scoring just one goal.
Head-to-head statistics Racing - Cerro Largo
Clausura has been a real struggle
In their last Primera match on , Racing Montevideo drew 3-3 away to Defensor Sporting, having trailed 1-2 at half-time. Racing had twice as many shots - 16 to 8 - and more shots on target: 6 to 4.
Racing Montevideo sit ninth in the table - there is still a chance to climb higher, but a serious push forward seems unlikely for the Apertura's best side. In their last five matches they have suffered three defeats, with one win and one draw. Their average over that period is 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, while their season-long figures are slightly better: 1.24 scored and just 0.91 conceded per match. The drop-off in the second half of the season is clear.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo's dip in form is clear too
Cerro Largo FC's most recent Primera División match on was a 2-0 home win over Boston River. There were no goals at half-time, and by the end of the match the hosts were outplayed in terms of possession and attacks, but had the edge in shots - 9-7.
Cerro Largo FC are finishing the season with nothing much to play for - they sit in 14th place. Dropping to the bottom of the table would take some doing, but climbing into the top half is virtually impossible. Over their last five matches, the visitors have won once, lost three times and drawn once. Their average goals scored stands at just 0.6 per game over that run, while they have conceded exactly one goal per game. In 8 of their previous 9 matches, fewer than three goals were scored.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of Cerro Largo FC's last 9 matches, no more than three goals have been scored. The team are averaging 0.5 goals per game in their recent away matches, and their away average for the season stands at 0.71. We're going with Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.54, without a high level of confidence.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Cerro Largo FC have averaged 0.5 goals per game in their recent away matches and 0.71 away goals per game across the season. Racing Montevideo have conceded an average of 0.75 goals per home game this season, which supports the case against the visitors scoring. That said, in their recent home matches Racing have been conceding 1.75 goals per game on average - a significant caveat. We're going with Both Teams to Score - No at 1.65.
Safer Bet
Cerro Largo FC have scored no more than one goal in each of their last 19 matches. In their recent away matches they are averaging 0.5 goals, and 0.71 per away match across the season. These figures support Cerro Largo FC Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.18.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14.09%), 1-1 (12.2%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The 1-0 result has the highest probability of the three. Two of the three scorelines point to a Racing Montevideo win.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The form of both sides does not point towards a high-scoring match: Racing Montevideo have dropped off in attack, while Cerro Largo FC's forward line has struggled throughout the season and rarely manages more than one goal per game even against less organised opponents. The case for the under is backed by the visitors' consistently low-scoring numbers - 8 of their last 9 matches have ended with no more than two goals. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo
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