Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 Moreirense and CF Estrela are separated by just one place and one point in the Primeira Liga table. A week ago their paths diverged. Moreirense won comfortably away at Estoril (3-1), while CF Estrela lost at home to Casa Pia and have not scored in the league since mid-September. Can the visitors end that run on Saturday?
Head-to-Head
Moreirense beat CF Estrela 3-2 in their most recent Primeira Liga meeting, despite trailing 1-2 at half-time. Moreirense had the edge in possession and shots, yet CF Estrela generated more expected goals - 2.38 to 1.98.
In nine head-to-head meetings, Moreirense have won four and CF Estrela one, with four draws. CF Estrela have yet to win at Moreirense's ground, where the record stands at two home wins and three draws.
Head-to-head statistics Moreirense - Estrela
Moreirense Team Overview
In their previous match, Moreirense beat Estoril 3-1 in the Primeira Liga, scoring all three goals before half-time. Estoril had twice as many shots - 26 to 13 - and outperformed their opponents in expected goals: 2.06 to 1.23.
Before their trip to Estoril, Moreirense had lost twice by the same 0-1 scoreline, to Gil Vicente and ABC in the Taça de Portugal. The response was convincing. Manager Vasco Botelho da Costa calls Estoril his club, but his side showed no sentiment: Moreirense were three goals up by half-time. After the match, Botelho da Costa tempered expectations: "We are still far from what we want to be." The weakness is clear from the numbers: in nine league matches, Moreirense have conceded 16 goals and sit only tenth with 11 points.
Match Results: Moreirense
Estrela Team Overview
CF Estrela lost their last Primeira Liga match 0-2 to Casa Pia. They had more shots - 18 to 10 - and a higher expected goals figure, 1.77 to 0.93, but failed to score.
CF Estrela have failed to score in three consecutive Primeira Liga matches, losing all three. The most recent defeat was a particularly painful one. The team played at home for the first time in almost two months but lost to Casa Pia, conceding their second goal from a shot from the centre circle in stoppage time. Manager Pepa admitted after the match: "We understand what the problem is, but we haven't been able to solve it yet." The defensive picture is no better: CF Estrela have conceded before half-time in seven consecutive Primeira Liga matches. The team currently sit 12th with ten points.
Match Results: Estrela
Prediction for the 1st half
CF Estrela have conceded in the first half in seven consecutive league matches. We're expecting Moreirense to score in the first half here. The bet is Moreirense to Score in the First Half.
Corners Prediction
Moreirense have taken four or fewer corners in each of their last eight consecutive league matches. We are not expecting the hosts to reach five. The bet is Moreirense Team Total Corners - Under 4.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10.87%), 2-2 (7.42%) and 0-1 (7.08%), with 1-1 having the highest probability among these options.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
CF Estrela's away matches are rarely dull: at least three goals combined have been recorded in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures. Their defence is a big part of that: the visitors have conceded in 19 of their last 20 away matches. Moreirense are no more reliable at the back, having failed to keep a clean sheet in seven consecutive matches. We expect CF Estrela to end their run of three matches without a goal, but to concede at least twice themselves. Our bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Moreirense - Estrela
in 12 of last 13 away games (Liga Portugal).
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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