Casa Pia vs Sporting Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 October 2026
🔊 All seven of Casa Pia's Primeira Liga points this season have come away from home. At their own ground, Filipe Coelho's side have lost all four matches and scored just once. Now Sporting are coming to town, needing to settle their supporters after suffering their first league defeat of the season. Can Casa Pia pick up their first home points of the campaign against the Lions?
Head-to-Head
📊 Sporting have won nine consecutive matches against Casa Pia. The most recent meeting took place in January at the Alvalade and ended 3-0. At home, Casa Pia have lost five consecutive head-to-head matches against Sporting, conceding after half-time in all five. For Coelho, this will be his first such match, having only taken charge of the club in the summer.
Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Sporting
Casa Pia: all their points earned away from home
Casa Pia have been two different teams this season depending on the venue. Away from home, Coelho's side have beaten Estoril and Estrela and picked up a draw at Vitória Guimarães. At home, though, they have taken zero points and conceded 13 goals. That leaves them 16th, a position that leads to the relegation play-offs.
The season started even harder: four opening rounds without a point or a goal scored. The first back-to-back wins came in October. Casa Pia first got past Alpendorada in the Taça de Portugal, then took three points away at Estrela. The score was sealed in added time by Lawrence Ofori: the home goalkeeper played a poor pass, and the midfielder lobbed him from the centre of the pitch. "We felt the points would come," Coelho said after the match.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Sporting: 28 shots and their first defeat
Sporting are third in the table, nine points behind Porto. The gap widened after a home defeat to top-flight newcomers Académico de Viseu (1-2). Sporting dominated the game - 71% possession and 28 shots to the opposition's nine - but Académico's both goals were scored by João Guilherme, and Luís Suárez hit the post in stoppage time.
White handkerchiefs appeared in the stands at Alvalade - a sign of dissatisfaction with Rui Borges, who has been in charge since December 2024. When asked about his future, the manager kept his answer brief: "Tomorrow there's training at 11:30, because on Tuesday we have a match." On Tuesday, in the League Cup, Borges named an entirely new starting XI. The fringe players delivered: Sporting beat Marítimo and advanced to the Final Four.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Latest news
Casa Pia
❓ André Gomes is nursing a muscular injury. Seba Pérez went off with a physical complaint in the match against Estrela, but Coelho does not believe it will be a problem ahead of the Sporting match. If the midfielder does miss out, Selvi Clua is most likely to take his place in midfield.
Sporting Lisbon
❓ Zeno Debast, Rodrigo Salazar and Nuno Santos are all out injured. In goal, the last to play in the league was Caique, while in the League Cup it was Rui Silva.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Casa Pia: Sequeira - Geraldes, David Sousa, Khaly, Rosas - Ofori, Seba Perez - Salah, Rego, Pauwels - Cassiano.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Sporting: Kaique - Fresneda, Inacio, Ibrahima Ba, Maxi Araujo - Altimira, Doumbia - Irankunda, Flavio Goncalves, Luis Guilherme - Suarez.
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than four goals have been scored in six of Casa Pia's last seven Primeira Liga matches. The hosts have managed just five league goals in total. Sporting, meanwhile, have not scored more than three times in any of their last nine matches across all competitions, including the Champions League. We are not expecting a fourth goal here. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.52*.
Corners Prediction
Casa Pia have had more than five corners in just one of their last eight matches. Across their last 10 official games, the hosts have earned 43 corners while their opponents have had 60. Sporting give opponents very little room to win corners: over 10 matches they have conceded just 29, and Académico de Viseu managed none at all. We expect Casa Pia to fall short of six. The bet is Casa Pia Team Total Corners - Under 5.5.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Casa Pia have received more than three yellow cards in just one of their last 10 official matches - at home against Porto. Across those 10 games, Coelho's side have collected 19 bookings in total. Sporting's opponents have picked up 25 across their own last 10 matches, but even four cards in a game is unusual for Casa Pia. The bet is Casa Pia Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Sporting have won their last five Primeira Liga meetings with Casa Pia by a margin of at least two goals. The hosts have little to offer here either: in four home league rounds this season, Coelho's side have conceded 13 goals. Sporting, meanwhile, have scored in 32 consecutive league matches. Casa Pia have found the net just once at home this season, so two goals from the visitors should be more than enough to win. The bet is Sporting - Handicap -1.5. Predicted score: 0-2.
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Betting Tips: Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon
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