Estrela vs Moreirense Prediction 20 December 2025

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Estrela and Moreirense promises to be thrilling. Both teams have shown inconsistent form, adding an element of intrigue. Estrela are currently 14th in the standings and are eager to improve their results, while Moreirense sit in 8th place, aiming to solidify their position in the top half of the table. A key factor will be the attacking strategies of both sides: they have high scoring potential but are also prone to conceding goals. Their last head-to-head encounter ended in a 1-1 draw. Given this context, an active match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities can be expected.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 02 March 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Moreirense were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
    • corners: 4 vs 1;
    • fouls: 20 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 1.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Estrela and Moreirense:

    • 7 matches played;
    • home wins - 1, away wins - 3, draws - 3;
    • goals scored - 9 for Estrela, 13 for Moreirense;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.14, in the 2nd half - 2;
    • average total goals per match - 3.14.

    Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Moreirense

    11%
    1 Win
    44%
    4 Draws
    44%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.78
    2.89
    Yellow cards
    3.11
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.98
    2.38
    1
    4
    18
    18
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1.98
    2.38
    1
    4
    18
    18
    4
    4
    20.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.1
    0.75
    3
    7
    15
    19
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.1
    0.75
    3
    7
    15
    19
    2
    1
    02.03.25
    Liga Portugal
    Moreirense FC
    Moreirense FC
    Estrela Amadora
    Estrela Amadora
    0.36
    1.1
    4
    1
    20
    13
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.36
    1.1
    4
    1
    20
    13
    2
    4
    28.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    -
    -
    2
    7
    26
    18
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    26
    18
    3
    3
    07.04.24
    Примейра-лига
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    14
    14
    3
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    6
    14
    14
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Estrela Team Overview

    The last official match for the team took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Porto hosting Estrela. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.

    Here are the match stats (Estrela vs Porto):

    • possession: 35% vs 65%;
    • corners: 0 vs 4;
    • fouls: 17 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 7.

    Estrela sit 14th in the standings, eager to climb higher. Their form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses highlighting their vulnerabilities. In their last five matches, they've secured two victories, drawn once, and suffered two defeats, with their most recent outing ending in a loss. The "Stars" average 1.5 goals per game, but their defense is leaky, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match. With such form, Estrela have the potential to trouble any opponent, particularly on home turf.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
    Empty
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    Moreirense Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Moreirense away while representing Benfica. The game concluded with a 4-0 victory for the visitors.

    Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Benfica):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corners: 4 vs 4;
    • fouls: 19 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.

    Moreirense, currently sitting in 8th place on the table, are showcasing more consistent results compared to their opponent. Over their last five matches, they have secured one win, drawn twice, and suffered two losses, with their most recent outing ending in defeat. The "Greens" average 1.3 goals per match, but their defense can be shaky, conceding around 2 goals per game. Despite this, Moreirense have the potential for dangerous attacking plays thanks to their speed and teamwork up front. The previous head-to-head between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting their ability to fight until the end.

    Match Results: Moreirense

    Last matches
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    L
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Braga
    Braga
    0.24
    1.12
    4
    2
    15
    20
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.24
    1.12
    4
    2
    15
    20
    4
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Felgueiras
    Felgueiras
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Amarante
    Amarante
    -
    -
    1
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
    • Average first-half total: 1.14;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.57.

    First-Half Stats: Estrela (home) vs Moreirense (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 2 (28.57%);
    • losses: 3 (42.86%) vs 1 (14.29%);
    • draws: 1 (14.29%) vs 4 (57.14%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.14;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.43.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 6;
    • Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Moreirense conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Estrela to score goal(odds: 2.14)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 3, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Moreirense

    • matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • wins: 3 vs 6;
    • win percentage: 21% vs 43%;
    • losses: 6 vs 6;
    • draws: 5 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 2;
    • losses: 5 vs 6;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Moreirense have not won in 7 of last 8 games.
    👉Prediction: Estrela will not lose(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.86;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.14;
    • both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Moreirense

    • average total in the tournament: 2.79 vs 3.21;
    • average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 1.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.57;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.93;
    • Estrela: average total at home in the tournament -  1.43;
    • Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 1.33).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 9 Estrela games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 6 Estrela home games (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Moreirense games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Moreirense away games (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Moreirense away games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.36; at home field - 4.43;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 4.25.

    Moreirense: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.93, away - 3.14;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 4.5.
    Trends
    • Under 8.5 corners in last 5 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    • Under 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Moreirense away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (8,5)(odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Moreirense

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
    • number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 4 (57%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 3 (43%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 3 (50%).
    Trends
    • Estrela have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.87)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/126, 12.7%);
    • Estrela at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 3:1 (1/7, 14.3%);
    • Moreirense away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 3:0 , 3:2 , 3:3 (1/7, 14.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.19% (odds 5.55)
    1:0 - 9.22% (odds 6.5)
    2:1 - 8.35% (odds 9.1)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 5.55)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given the inconsistent form of both teams and their propensity for high-scoring games, we can anticipate an active match with plenty of chances. Estrela, despite their defensive struggles, have shown decent scoring ability at home. Moreirense, while also not always reliable at the back, possess the potential for quick attacking plays. Considering recent trends and statistics, betting on both teams to score seems like a reasonable choice. This is supported by the fact that in recent meetings, both teams have frequently exchanged goals.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 18/12/2025, 11:55

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    Betting Tips: Estrela - Moreirense

    Moreirense have not won:
    moreirense-fc-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    Estrela will not lose
    Everygame
    -238
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    cf-estrelain last 9 Estrela games.
    cf-estrelain last 8 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain last 6 Estrela home games (Primeira Liga).
    moreirense-fc-1in 12 of last 13 Moreirense games.
    moreirense-fc-1in 9 of last 10 Moreirense away games (Primeira Liga).
    moreirense-fc-1in 6 of last 7 Moreirense away games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Moreirense have conceded:
    moreirense-fc-1in 11 of last 12 games.
    moreirense-fc-1in 10 of last 11 games (Primeira Liga).
    Estrela will score goal
    Everygame
    -250
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    in 11 of last 12 Claudio Petrella games (in the Primeira Liga).
    in 10 of last 11 Claudio Petrella games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -625
    View more facts

    Estrela - Moreirense Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    3413111047-3850
    7.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    341271537-4943
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    4 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    -9
    8 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    2
    4
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    8
    15
    Conceded
    17
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats