Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction 2 May 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 The match promises to be intriguing in terms of the league battle. Moreirense have struggled for consistency, showing weak form in recent games, while Estrela are trying to climb out of the danger zone. Both teams need to improve their performance to move up the standings.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams took place on 20 December 2025 and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Estrela were the home side):

    • possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corners: 3 vs 7;
    • fouls: 15 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 7.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Moreirense and Estrela:

    • 8 matches played;
    • home wins - 3, away wins - 1, draws - 4;
    • goals scored - 13 for Moreirense, 9 for Estrela;
    • average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.75;
    • average total goals per match - 2.75.

    Head-to-head statistics Moreirense - Estrela

    44%
    4 Wins
    44%
    4 Draws
    11%
    1 Win
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.78
    Total average
    1.22
    3.11
    Yellow cards
    2.89
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.98
    2.38
    1
    4
    18
    18
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1.98
    2.38
    1
    4
    18
    18
    4
    4
    20.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.1
    0.75
    3
    7
    15
    19
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.1
    0.75
    3
    7
    15
    19
    2
    1
    02.03.25
    Liga Portugal
    Moreirense FC
    Moreirense FC
    Estrela Amadora
    Estrela Amadora
    0.36
    1.1
    4
    1
    20
    13
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.36
    1.1
    4
    1
    20
    13
    2
    4
    28.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    -
    -
    2
    7
    26
    18
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    26
    18
    3
    3
    07.04.24
    Примейра-лига
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    14
    14
    3
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    6
    14
    14
    3
    2
    Empty
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    Moreirense Team Overview

    The team last took to the field on in a Primeira Liga fixture, with Benfica hosting Moreirense. The match concluded with a 4-1 victory for the home side.

    Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Benfica):

    • possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 14 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 8.

    Moreirense are currently positioned 8th in the standings, but their recent form is a cause for concern. Over the last five matches, the club have managed just one win and suffered three losses. They average only 1.1 goals per game, highlighting issues with their offensive output. Defensively, Moreirense also struggle, conceding an average of 1.45 goals per match. The trend indicates that the team seldom secures victories, a pattern reinforced by their ongoing challenges on the pitch.

    Match Results: Moreirense

    Last matches
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    L
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Braga
    Braga
    0.24
    1.12
    4
    2
    15
    20
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.24
    1.12
    4
    2
    15
    20
    4
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Felgueiras
    Felgueiras
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    Amarante
    Amarante
    -
    -
    1
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Estrela Team Overview

    The most recent official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring Estrela as the home side and Porto as the visitors. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Porto):

    • possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 6;
    • fouls: 15 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Estrela sit 15th in the standings, pushing them to find a way out of the danger zone. The team's form is far from ideal, with just one win and four losses in their last five matches. Estrela's average scoring rate is 1.1 goals per game, highlighting their lack of attacking efficiency. Defensively, the situation isn't much better, as they concede an average of 1.65 goals per match. Their current position demands an urgent turnaround in results to steer clear of a relegation battle.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 8;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 1, draws - 4.

    Statistics: Moreirense vs Estrela

    • matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
    • wins: 11 vs 6;
    • win percentage: 35% vs 19%;
    • losses: 14 vs 15;
    • draws: 6 vs 10.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 1;
    • losses: 5 vs 7;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    👉Prediction: Moreirense will not lose (odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.13;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.75;
    • both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Moreirense vs Estrela

    • average total in the tournament: 2.55 vs 2.74;
    • average total goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.1;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.52;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.58;
    • Moreirense: average total at home in the tournament -  1.13;
    • Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 0.87;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.4) vs 0.9 (away - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Moreirense have conceded in 11 of last 12 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Estrela will score goal (odds: 1.39)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 8;
    • both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Moreirense vs Estrela

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 14;
    • number of BTTS matches for Moreirense at home - 7 (47%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 7 (47%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Moreirense at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS matches for Estrela away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.83)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (28/279, 10%), 1:1 (28/279, 10%);
    • Moreirense at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/15, 20%);
    • Estrela away most often play: 0:0 (3/15, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.38% (odds 6)
    1:0 - 11.52% (odds 7)
    0:1 - 10.85% (odds 8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current trends and the form of both teams, it's clear that Moreirense are struggling both offensively and defensively. The trend suggests they rarely score more than 1.5 goals per match and often fail to secure victories. Estrela, despite their own challenges, have an opportunity to exploit the weaknesses of the hosts. Their motivation to climb out of the danger zone could be a decisive factor in the upcoming match. Based on this analysis, the most likely outcome is that Estrela will not lose the upcoming game.

    Estrela will not lose
    Published: 30/04/2026, 10:33

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    Betting Tips: Moreirense - Estrela

    Moreirense have not won:
    moreirense-fc-1in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
    Estrela will not lose
    Everygame
    -263
    Estrela have not won:
    cf-estrelain 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Moreirense will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Moreirense have scored under 1.5 goals:
    moreirense-fc-1in 14 of last 15 games (Primeira Liga).
    moreirense-fc-1in last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Moreirense Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Estrela have scored under 1.5 goals:
    cf-estrelain 12 of last 14 games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Estrela Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Moreirense - Estrela Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    3413111047-3850
    7.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    341271537-4943
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 17
    -9
    -2
    13 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    1
    3
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    13
    17
    Conceded
    15
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.8
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats