Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction
🔊 Which team, Tottenham or Chelsea, will enter the London derby in better physical shape? Both sides played energy-draining matches in the English League Cup midweek, but the level of their opponents was vastly different. Consequently, the lineups from both managers appear unequal. Will Tottenham's higher position in the table influence the result? Or can the Blues close the three-point gap on their neighbors with a single victory? Our editorial team will address these and other questions in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Tottenham have a dismal record against Chelsea in the Premier League. In their last 13 encounters, the Spurs have managed just one victory. They have drawn twice, while the most common scoreline has been 2-0, occurring five times. Currently, the Blues are on a four-match winning streak.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview
Thomas Frank's team has hit a rough patch. In their first ten games of the season, Tottenham suffered just one defeat-to Bournemouth (0-1). However, in their last four matches, they've already faced two losses. The first came against Aston Villa (1-2). The game was evenly matched overall, although the Spurs were more dangerous in terms of chances (0.94 xG vs. 0.44 xG). Their recent League Cup debacle against Newcastle (0-2) was well-deserved. Despite having similar stats, the Londoners only began to focus on attacking after conceding two goals, and even then, they managed to create just one clear scoring opportunity.
Recently, the main threat from the Spurs has come from deep in the field. Over the last four games, Micky van de Ven and Rodrigo Bentancur have been standout performers. The central defender scored a brace against Everton in the 9th round of the Premier League, earning him the Man of the Match award. Midfielder Bentancur contributed with two decisive actions (1 goal and 1 assist) over the same period.
Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea Team Overview
The "Blues," much like the "Spurs," are still struggling with consistency, especially in defense. Yes, after their slump before the second round of the Champions League, Chelsea managed to secure four consecutive wins, with two of those being clean sheets. However, in their last two games, Enzo Maresca's side conceded five goals. Two of these came in the 9th round of the Premier League, where the "Blues" suffered a home defeat to Sunderland (1-2). Even more goals were conceded against Wolverhampton in the English League Cup (4-3). In that match, the Londoners also remembered their penchant for red cards. They lead Europe in this dubious category with seven dismissals in nine matches.
Despite their disciplinary and defensive issues, Chelsea's youthful squad offers some leeway. The average age of the "Pensioners" is just 23.8 years. Moreover, the individual performances have been impressive. Standouts over the last five matches include Tyrique George (3 goals and 1 assist) and Estevao (three goals). Summer signing Jamie Bynoe-Gittens made his mark with his debut contributions for the club, earning Man of the Match honors against Wolverhampton in the cup with a goal and an assist.
Match Results: Chelsea
Latest news
Tottenham Hotspur
🔝 With Tottenham's attacking play lacking consistency, their depth players, particularly in the defensive lines, have stood out. One of the key figures is Guglielmo Vicario. His recent performances have earned him a nomination for Premier League Goalkeeper of the Month. Notably, among the six nominees, only Vicario and Rufs (Sunderland) represent teams from the top four of the league.
❌ If any team can rival Chelsea in terms of injured players, it's Tottenham. The Spurs have an even longer list: James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, Dominic Solanke, Cristian Romero, Radu Dragusin, Ben Davies, Yves Bissouma, and Destiny Udogie.
Chelsea
🎙 Chelsea's head coach addressed the team's discipline issues following another red card in the English League Cup match against Wolverhampton. This time, it was Liam Delap, who had just recovered from an injury, making headlines. "I understand the red cards we received in matches against Brighton and Manchester United. However, the dismissals against Nottingham and Wolverhampton were avoidable-and we must avoid them. After the first yellow card, I told Delap four or five times to stay calm. But he's a footballer. When he's on the pitch, he probably plays for himself, and it was difficult for him to realize that and listen to those around him," said Enzo Maresca.
❌ A major achievement for Chelsea is that the team has gone four matches without any new injuries. However, the list of players in the treatment room remains significant: Levi Colwill, Dario Essugo, Cole Palmer, and Benoît Badiashile.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by the main referee, Jarred Gillett. His average for yellow cards over the last 20 Premier League matches stands at 3.9. In the London derby, the Australian will likely have his work cut out for him. In their last five encounters combined, the teams averaged 5.6 cautions per game. Additionally, let's not forget the disciplinary struggles of the Blues, with their endless dismissals. Given that only three points separate the rivals in the table, they are sure to battle for every inch of the pitch. Our prediction: over 4.5 yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In the last three matchups between these teams at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a total of 15 goals were scored. Neither club boasts a stable defense. Tottenham have conceded in 5 out of 7 matches, while Chelsea have let in goals in 9 out of 11. But for neutral viewers and die-hard fans alike, this scenario is advantageous. Fans in the stands and at home are unlikely to be bored. We anticipate that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in London.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Chelsea tend to favor positional play more than Thomas Frank's side. The Spurs' head coach might well switch to a counter-attacking strategy during the match, not hesitating to cede territorial advantage even to teams like Everton or Leeds. Chelsea and Tottenham rank in the top three in the Premier League for corners won, sharing an average of 6.22 over nine rounds. Given that the Lilywhites achieve such results even with modest possession, we'll steer clear of betting on individual totals. However, collectively, the teams are quite capable of earning over 10.5 corners.
Editor's Prediction
Predicting the outcome of this London derby is more challenging than usual this time around, even considering Tottenham's poor track record in head-to-heads with Chelsea. However, Thomas Frank's side's position in the table speaks volumes for itself. While the gap from the "Blues" is just three points, the competition is fierce, with Enzo Maresca's protégés sitting as far down as ninth place.
Neither Chelsea nor Tottenham give the impression of being stable teams, particularly in defense. The "Pensioners" have exchanged goals in six of their last seven away games, while the "Spurs" have failed to keep a clean sheet in five out of seven matches. The least risky option, in our view, would be to bet on both teams to score. Considering the scoring form of the young talents, we give Chelsea the edge with a scoreline prediction of 3-2.
Betting Tips: Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
