Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 A London derby awaits all fans of English football. Chelsea host Tottenham in the eighth round of the Premier League. The two sides have had very different starts to the season. The hosts are sitting in the top four, while the visitors are barely keeping themselves above the relegation zone. Matches between London clubs attract a huge amount of attention from supporters, and with good reason - these fixtures are full of passion, a fierce battle for three points, and tension that lasts right to the final whistle.
🔁 Don't miss the key pre-match news: we'll be adding information on line-ups, injuries and other developments that could affect the balance of the game.
Chelsea’s extended winning streak
📊 Chelsea have won six consecutive meetings against Tottenham. Spurs have been losing to this particular rival year after year. It is also worth noting that in four of those matches Chelsea scored at least two goals, and in three of them the total went over 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Chelsea - Tottenham
Chelsea: attacking style of play
In the first half of the season, Chelsea have shown an uncompromising attacking intent, hovering on the edge of the top three. Going into the eighth matchday, they sit fourth with 13 points. The football under Xabi Alonso has been eye-catching: the Blues are averaging an impressive 2.40 goals per game. The argument against calling them fully reliable, though, is their rather open defensive style - they are conceding close to two goals per game on average, which has regularly cost the Londoners points.
In recent rounds, however, Chelsea have managed to maintain a winning rhythm, as their home record shows - they have been consistently picking up points at Stamford Bridge, taking seven from a possible nine. Now they face a significant London derby against a struggling Tottenham. The case for the hosts going into this match is the strong form of their attacking line, while Spurs are down near the bottom of the table. If the coaching staff can minimise the positional errors in defence, Chelsea have every chance of staying in the top four.
Match Results: Chelsea
Tottenham: struggles in front of goal
Tottenham made a dreadful start to the season and are now having to drag themselves off the bottom of the table. After seven rounds played, the visitors have collected just six points and sit 16th, barely a step above the relegation zone. Roberto De Zerbi's side are hampered by a catastrophic vulnerability to opponents' positional attacks, conceding regularly and having already suffered three league defeats. Their first Premier League win only came in the seventh round, against modest Coventry, which says everything about the scale of the crisis.
The team's fundamental problems on the pitch are compounded by a complete lack of cohesion in attack and an alarmingly low conversion rate. The statistics show that Tottenham lead the bottom half of the table for sterile possession, but that possession creates virtually no danger - the side convert just 6% of all the chances they create into goals. The forwards are disconnected from the midfield, and the absence of any creative spark in the final third makes Spurs' attack predictable for any opponent.
Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur
Latest news
Chelsea
❌ Jamie Gittens will be out for several weeks with an injury. Emmanuel Emegha has been sidelined since pre-season with a hamstring injury and will have to wait for his official debut for Chelsea. Emiliano Martínez has successfully undergone surgery following a broken jaw.
❓ Malo Gusto was absent from Chelsea's squad for the match against Everton, and his involvement in the derby remains in doubt. Reece James has no confirmed return date after suffering another injury recurrence, and his participation in the match is also in doubt.
Tottenham Hotspur
❌ Wilson Odobert is expected to return in November and is unavailable until then. Xavi Simons remains out while he continues his rehabilitation. Mykhailo Mudryk picked up a "stupid injury" in training and may not return until the end of October - he would have been a useful option in an undermanned attack, but it looks like he is still several weeks away. Rodrigo Bentancur was shown a straight red card against Manchester United and will miss three consecutive matches. Sávio is out for several weeks after suffering a muscular injury in training.
❓ Tosin Adarabioyo avoided a serious injury, but his participation in the derby is currently in doubt. Andrew Robertson has no injury and is expected to be back in contention for the next match. Pedro Porro has made encouraging progress in his recovery from the hamstring injury sustained against Aston Villa - initially expected to take around a month, he could be available on Monday.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted Chelsea starting XI: Penders - Lacroix, Colwill, Acheampong - Neto, Caicedo, Henderson, Hato - Palmer - Rogers, Pedro.
📋 Predicted Tottenham starting XI: Kinsky - van Hecke, van de Ven, Senesi, Davies - Tonali, Gray, Maddison - Marmoush, Solanke, Kudus.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Both sides place a clear emphasis on attack, which means their defensive lines regularly come unstuck. Tottenham tend to leave a lot of space in behind their defence, and Chelsea will be happy to exploit it. Given the attacking approach of both teams, the hosts' high scoring rate and the defensive problems on either side, at least three goals in this match seems a reasonable expectation. The prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5, priced at 1.5*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both teams play attacking, vertical football with a high press. Chelsea will look to exploit space between the lines through Cole Palmer's creativity, often driving attacks into blocked shots. End-to-end counter-attacks between two sides playing this way always generate a huge number of balls driven out for corners. The prediction is Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.49*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Both teams use high-intensity pressing. Spurs traditionally leave large spaces in behind their defensive line when they lose the ball, which forces their defence into cynical tactical fouls when Chelsea break forward. At Stamford Bridge, the Blues will also look to disrupt the visitors' quick transitions with persistent fouling. Our prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5 at 1.52*.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Cole Palmer is the creative hub of Chelsea's attack. The attacking midfielder has already contributed two goals and three assists at the start of the season, and also scored twice in the cup match against Leeds. He is the main reason behind the Pensioners' high scoring output. The prediction is Palmer to score or assist, priced at 1.80*.
😱 Risky Bet
We have an interesting option for those looking for a higher price. With the visitors lacking consistency in attack, it is hard to expect them to win, and given Chelsea's current form, the probability of the hosts losing is minimal. A high-scoring tradition in this fixture and Chelsea's attacking play are the key factors pointing towards 3-4 goals in the match. The risky bet is Chelsea not to lose + 3-4 goals in the match, priced at 3*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Tottenham have not won any of their away matches so far this season. Their best result on the road has been a draw, against Nottingham (0-0) and Manchester United (1-1). Across three away games in total, they have scored just one goal. Taking into account how many goals Chelsea have scored at home, you can conclude that Chelsea will at least avoid defeat in this match. The reliable bet here is Double Chance - Chelsea, priced at 1.25*.
👀 If the match doesn't go to script
If Tottenham, buoyed by their last win, start converting chances more effectively and keeping them at the other end, it's quite possible that Spurs could cause a surprise - ending their run of defeats in this fixture and taking something from Chelsea at their own ground. The alternative bet is Tottenham not to lose, priced at 2.19*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Going by the hosts' attacking style, another high-scoring match from them looks likely. Xabi Alonso's side consistently rack up goals while sacrificing defensive solidity. The visitors' finishing problems mean they are unlikely to convert even a couple of clear chances. In their three home league matches, the Blues have scored a remarkable 11 goals without losing. There is every reason to think Chelsea will beat opponents who have obvious problems in attack at home. The main prediction is a Chelsea win. Predicted score: 3-1.
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Betting Tips: Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur
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