Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction

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The main thing

    πŸ”Š On May 19, Chelsea host Tottenham in their final home fixture of the season, setting the stage for a high-stakes London derby. For both sides, this evening could prove decisive. The Blues, fresh off the announcement of Xabi Alonso’s appointment and still reeling from a heartbreaking defeat in the FA Cup final, now risk suffering a fifth consecutive home loss in the Premier League for the first time in their history. Such a result would all but end their hopes of European football next season. Spurs, meanwhile, make the short trip across town knowing that a single point will be enough to secure their top-flight status for another year.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š Chelsea have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning eight of the last ten Premier League meetings. The Blues are currently riding a five-match winning streak. A crucial detail: in four of the past five clashes at Stamford Bridge, both teams have not scored, and Tottenham have failed to beat their London rivals away from home since 2018. This history heaps immense psychological pressure on Roberto De Zerbi’s squad.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    56%
    27 Wins
    25%
    12 Draws
    19%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    48
    Total Goals Avg
    2.98
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.88
    Total average
    1.1
    1.98
    Yellow cards
    2.04
    Last matches
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    01.11.25
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.16
    2.53
    6
    5
    14
    12
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.16
    2.53
    6
    5
    14
    12
    4
    2
    03.04.25
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    1.11
    0.76
    4
    6
    7
    16
    5
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.11
    0.76
    4
    6
    7
    16
    5
    5
    08.12.24
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    2.88
    2.84
    5
    10
    17
    11
    2
    3
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    3
    2.88
    2.84
    5
    10
    17
    11
    2
    3
    02.05.24
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    -
    -
    4
    9
    12
    17
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    9
    12
    17
    0
    1
    Empty
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    Chelsea Team Overview

    Chelsea head into the match still clinging to hopes of European qualification. They currently sit ninth in the table with 49 points, but are mired in a seven-game winless streak in the Premier League. The only bright spot during this bleak run was a hard-fought away draw against Liverpool (1-1) last time out, which snapped a humiliating six-match losing skid. Mathematically, their chances of securing a spot in Europe remain alive, but the Blues must finally claim a victory and overturn a three-point deficit to Brentford to keep their hopes alive.

    Their defeat to Manchester City (0-1) in the FA Cup final just three days before the London derby summed up their season perfectly. Chelsea did not collapse, but once again fell short at a crucial moment, conceding to Antoine Semenyo in the 72nd minute. Callum MacFarlane fielded his strongest possible lineup, welcoming back Sanchez, Colwill and Reece James from injury, while Neto and Garnacho came off the bench in the second half. Despite this, Chelsea offered little going forward, registering just one shot on target and suffering their fifth FA Cup final defeat in the last decade.

    Match Results: Chelsea

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    6
    2
    15
    12
    5
    3
    L
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    FAC
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.87
    1.19
    4
    4
    15
    13
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    04.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    L
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    Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview

    It’s fair to say that Tottenham have finally achieved the impact they were hoping for with their second managerial change of the season. The appointment of Igor Tudor proved to be a misstep, but under Roberto De Zerbi, Spurs have found their rhythm, putting together an impressive four-match unbeaten run. Now, a dramatic campaign could end on a high note-right in the derby. At present, Spurs sit two points clear of 18th-placed West Ham, boasting a goal difference (-9 compared to -22) that puts them out of reach of the Hammers.

    In their previous outing, the Lilywhites let victory slip through their fingers against Leeds United (1-1), despite taking the lead with a stunning strike from Mathys Tel. A tragicomic moment saw the young Frenchman attempt an overhead kick in his own box, gifting Leeds a penalty and costing his side two valuable points. Nevertheless, De Zerbi publicly backed his player, highlighting the positive spirit within the squad. Tottenham also remain one of the Premier League’s strongest sides away from home-only the title contenders have collected more points on the road than Spurs’ tally of 26 and several betting sites now rank Spurs among the most dangerous teams to face away from home.

    Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Everton
    Everton
    1.15
    0.43
    7
    7
    15
    18
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.15
    0.43
    7
    7
    15
    18
    3
    2
    W
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    1.73
    3
    4
    11
    18
    4
    3
    L
    11.05.26
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1.94
    1.49
    14
    2
    12
    7
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.94
    1.49
    14
    2
    12
    7
    3
    1
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.46
    0.84
    5
    5
    12
    12
    2
    5
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.84
    5
    5
    12
    12
    2
    5
    W
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    0.67
    1.04
    5
    5
    8
    14
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.67
    1.04
    5
    5
    8
    14
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Chelsea

    🚫 Four wingers are set to miss out: Mykhailo Mudryk is suspended, while injuries have sidelined Jesse Derry, Jamie Gittins, and Estevao.

    ❓ The biggest potential blow, however, is the possible absence of Joao Pedro. The Brazilian felt unwell during the match against Man City, putting his availability for the upcoming fixture in doubt. Should Pedro be ruled out, Liam Delap is likely to step in as his replacement.

    Tottenham Hotspur

    ❌ The injury list remains lengthy, but there is some encouraging news. Ben Davies, Mohammed Kudus, Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert, Cristian Romero, and Xavi Simons are all ruled out due to injuries and will miss the match.

    ❔ However, there is hope that Dominic Solanke could return to action after recovering from a hamstring injury. Goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario remains a doubt for this fixture.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    Stuart Attwell-widely regarded as the Premier League's strictest referee-has been appointed for this clash. The Englishman has already handed out 110 yellow cards in 24 matches this season, averaging 4.6 per game. The derby atmosphere alone suggests a flurry of bookings, and with both European ambitions and survival on the line, backing over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.60* seems a logical play. One more crucial detail: Stamford Bridge will host two of the league’s most aggressive sides, both averaging more than 2.3 bookings per match.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    The stats paint a clear picture: under 3.5 goals has landed in six of Chelsea’s last seven Premier League fixtures. Tottenham show an identical trend. Head-to-head history also points to a low-scoring affair-three of the last four derbies have seen fewer than three goals, with no matches featuring both teams scoring. Encounters at Stamford Bridge are typically tense and cagey, where the fear of a costly mistake outweighs the urge to take risks. That makes the above bet at 1.57* one of the most appealing options on offer.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Chelsea rank among the league leaders not just in yellow cards, but also in corners, averaging 7.06 per home match. Tottenham are no slouches on the road either, registering 4.78 per away game. With both sides expected to push for victory, attacking intent should translate into plenty of set pieces. Over 9.5 total corners at 1.58* stands out as a strong pick-this bet has landed in six of Spurs’ last seven outings.

    πŸš€ Player Stats Bet

    Enzo Fernandez has emerged as Chelsea’s creative heartbeat amid an injury crisis and Palmer’s poor form. The Argentine is now carrying much of the attacking responsibility, with his long-range efforts becoming a key weapon for the Blues. In the previous round, he registered two shots on target, one of which found the net against Liverpool. With Tottenham conceding an average of 13.2 shots per away match, there’s every chance Enzo Fernandez manages at least one shot on target, priced around 1.80*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    With Chelsea on the brink of an unwanted record and Tottenham fighting for survival, the stakes could not be higher. Given both teams’ precarious situations, a draw at odds of roughly 3.90* looks like a likely outcome-a result that would suit both camps: Chelsea keep their European hopes alive, while Spurs secure top-flight safety.

    🎯 Safe Bet

    Since 2021, these teams have met in 12 official fixtures. Chelsea have failed to score in just one of those games, while their scoring streak at Stamford Bridge in this derby stands at five matches. Tottenham’s defensive frailties have persisted under De Zerbi, with their only clean sheet coming against struggling Wolverhampton (1-0). All signs point to a Chelsea goal, making this selection at around 1.20* an ideal safe bet.

    πŸ‘€ If the Match Doesn’t Go to Plan

    No one expects fireworks here, but there’s always a chance this derby turns ultra-cautious. If there’s no early goal to open things up, we could see a tight contest that ends goalless. In that scenario, live bettors should keep an eye on under 1.5 goals. Bookmakers give this outcome little chance, offering odds of 4.80*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

    Editors' Prediction

    Chelsea boast a huge historical edge and the backing of their home crowd, but they are likely to be feeling the effects of the recent FA Cup final, with fatigue a real concern. A run of seven league matches without a win means it’s hard to see the Blues as clear favourites here-especially if Joao Pedro misses out, which would leave Cole Palmer, currently a shadow of his former self, as their only real attacking threat. Tottenham, despite a lengthy injury list, have found their rhythm again and arrive in high spirits, looking to extend their unbeaten streak. Our well-founded prediction at Scores24 is a 1-1 draw: Spurs will take a crucial point in their survival battle, while Chelsea will at least halt their home losing skid. The recommended bet is the visitors not to lose.

    Our choice
    Tottenham Hotspur will not lose at odds of -132*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 May 2026, 20:55)

    Betting Tips: Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur

    Chelsea have lost
    chelsea-fcin 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 5 of last 6 home games.
    chelsea-fcin last 4 home games (Premier League).
    Tottenham Hotspur Win
    MyBookie
    +625
    Tottenham Hotspur have not won
    tottenham-hotspur-1in 16 of last 18 games (Premier League).
    Chelsea will not lose
    Everygame
    -312
    Chelsea have not won
    chelsea-fcin last 7 games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin last 6 home games (Premier League).
    Tottenham Hotspur will not lose
    MyBookie
    +180
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    chelsea-fcin 19 of last 21 Chelsea games (Premier League).
    chelsea-fcin 14 of last 16 Chelsea home games (Premier League).
    tottenham-hotspur-1in 20 of last 22 Tottenham Hotspur games.
    tottenham-hotspur-1in 15 of last 17 Tottenham Hotspur games (Premier League).
    in 25 of last 27 Stuart Attwell games.
    in 22 of last 24 Stuart Attwell games (in the Premier League).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -333
    View more facts

    Chelsea - Tottenham Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3814111355-5253
    10.
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    3814101458-5252
    11.
    Fulham
    Fulham
    381571647-5152
    16.
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3811111648-5144
    17.
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    3810111748-5741
    18.
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    381091946-6539

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    -1
    12 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    12
    15
    Conceded
    13
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats