Paris vs Marseille Prediction 31 January 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Marseille extend their winning streak in Ligue 1? On Saturday, the southerners face a tough challenge as they travel to Paris, a team that has picked up points in their last two rounds. Both teams are highly motivated, promising us a thrilling and intense encounter. Read our detailed analysis and prediction for the outcome of this clash in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These opponents have faced each other only once, and that was in the first round of this season's Ligue 1. In that encounter, Marseille celebrated a commanding home victory with a 5-2 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    50%
    1 Draw
    50%
    1 Win
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    5.5
    Both teams scored
    100%
    2
    Total average
    3.5
    3
    Corner
    4.5
    0.5
    Yellow cards
    2.5
    12
    Fouls
    12
    Last matches
    31.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.43
    2.39
    4
    4
    12
    15
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.43
    2.39
    4
    4
    12
    15
    1
    4
    23.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Paris
    Paris
    2.87
    0.97
    5
    2
    9
    12
    1
    0
    5
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2.87
    0.97
    5
    2
    9
    12
    1
    0
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    Paris Team Overview

    🔵 Paris had a decent start to the championship, but they have since struggled due to a lack of depth on the bench. In the last two rounds, the capital club picked up four points, which allowed them to slightly distance themselves from the relegation zone. However, the threat of Stéphane Gilli's side dropping out of the top division still looms, so they need to focus on securing points even against the league leaders.

    ⚫ In the penultimate round of Ligue 1, Paris narrowly defeated one of the tournament's underdogs, Nantes (1-2). Following that, they played a home match against Angers, which ended in a goalless draw. Essentially, Paris has not resolved their main issue of low scoring and a lack of consistent forwards, and they only managed to earn points because their opponents were far from top-tier.

    Match Results: Paris

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris
    Paris
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Paris
    Paris
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    W
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    🔵 Recently, Marseille had a disappointing performance in the final round of the Champions League group stage against Club Brugge, suffering a 0-3 defeat to the Belgian side. The disheartening aspect isn't just the loss itself, but the scoreline that shut the door on the "southerners" progressing to the playoffs. They fell short of 24th place by just one goal scored or fewer goals conceded. Consequently, the "white and blues" concluded their Champions League campaign.

    ⚪ In Ligue 1, Marseille are faring much better, though they still face some challenges. For instance, why are Roberto De Zerbi's men only sitting in third place despite playing well? With a seven-point gap from the top spot, it will be tough for them to contend for the title. In the previous Ligue 1 round, Marseille delivered a stellar performance at home, defeating then-leaders Lens 3-1. It was a magnificent display by the "white and blues."

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    L
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    Latest news

    Paris

    ❌ Paris have a lengthy injury list ahead of this match, with several players sidelined. Among them are Sofiane Alakouch, Samir Chergui, Thibault De Smet, Pierre-Yves Hamel, and Pierre Lees-Melou. Most of these players have been out for some time, so the coaching staff hadn't been counting on their availability.

    Olympique Marseille

    ❌ Marseille face Paris with almost no significant absences. The only exceptions are injured Emerson (thigh injury), who has missed three games, and suspended Angel Gomes, who is out due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Roberto De Zerbi has the rest of his squad available, with all key players fit and ready to play.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for the upcoming match is Jeremie Pignard. On average, over a span of 100 matches, he hands out 4.3 yellow cards per game, with 23 fouls. In Ligue 1, over 19 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Paris averages 1.9 per game, while Marseille averages 2.1. Both teams haven't been receiving many cautions this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Paris averages 1.3 goals per match in the French championship, while Marseille averages 1.7. The scoring rate in matches involving these teams is high: 2.9 for the hosts and 3.4 for the visitors. Considering these stats and their head-to-head results, we recommend considering a bet on total match goals over 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In nineteen matches in the French championship, Paris averages 4.3 corners per game, while Marseille averages 5.1 over the same period. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner, showing league-average statistics, so we suggest betting on total corners over 8.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    Paris occasionally perform well, but mostly against mid-table teams and those in the lower half of the standings. Their results against the league leaders are less impressive, and recently, their scoring has dipped, while their opponent's has surged. Marseille, now free from Champions League commitments, no longer need to conserve energy. The visitors are expected to dominate this match and secure a 2-1 victory. We suggest placing a bet on Marseille to win.

    Our choice
    Olympique Marseille Win at odds of -111*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 January 2026, 10:39)

    Betting Tips: Paris - Olympique Marseille

    Paris have not won:
    paris-fc-98-in 7 of last 8 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-fc-98-in last 6 home games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille will not lose
    Everygame
    -500
    Over 2.5 goals scored:
    olympique-marseille-1in last 6 Olympique Marseille games.
    olympique-marseille-1in last 5 Olympique Marseille away games.
    in 9 of last 10 Jeremie Pignard games.
    in last 7 Jeremie Pignard games (in the Ligue 1).
    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Everygame
    -143
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    paris-fc-98-in last 8 Paris games.
    paris-fc-98-in last 6 Paris games (Ligue 1).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Olympique Marseille conceded in the 2nd half:
    olympique-marseille-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    2nd half, Paris will score goal
    +105
    View more facts

    Paris - Marseille Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    12.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341091543-5539

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 10
    +9
    0
    12 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    12
    10
    Conceded
    12
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats