Marseille vs Paris Prediction 23 August 2025

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Will Marseille secure their first points of the season in their clash against Paris? As part of the second round of Ligue 1, the southern side will host the visitors from the capital. Both clubs suffered defeats in their opening matches and are now determined to add points to their tally. Read our prediction for this encounter in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Marseille and Paris are gearing up for their first head-to-head clash.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    5.5
    Both teams scored
    100%
    3.5
    Total average
    2
    4.5
    Corner
    3
    2.5
    Yellow cards
    0.5
    12
    Fouls
    12
    Last matches
    31.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.43
    2.39
    4
    4
    12
    15
    1
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.43
    2.39
    4
    4
    12
    15
    1
    4
    23.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Paris
    Paris
    2.87
    0.97
    5
    2
    9
    12
    1
    0
    5
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2.87
    0.97
    5
    2
    9
    12
    1
    0
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    ⚪ Marseille had an impressive pre-season, remaining unbeaten with 3 wins and 3 draws. Under Roberto De Zerbi, everything seemed in place for them to step onto the field and start accumulating points. However, their first-round opponent, Rennes, had a different perspective.

    🔵 In the opening match of the French championship, the "white and blues" visited Rennes. Despite playing with a numerical advantage from the 31st minute, Marseille failed to score and conceded in stoppage time. The match ended in a 0-1 defeat, leaving them with zero points. It's worth noting that Roberto De Zerbi's side had a high expected goals (xG) figure of 1.78, but their finishing let them down.

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.66
    2.41
    4
    11
    11
    10
    3
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.5
    1.01
    3
    0
    20
    22
    4
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    D
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lorient
    Lorient
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.25
    1.95
    1
    7
    6
    10
    0
    3
    L
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    Paris Team Overview

    🔵 Paris have just made their way back to the top tier from Ligue 2 and are still adjusting to the demands of this new level of competition. Their preseason was quite promising, as Stéphane Gilli's squad suffered only one defeat in six matches. However, despite this encouraging record, the capital club couldn't secure any points in their opening round of the French championship.

    ⚫ Paris kicked off their Ligue 1 campaign away against Angers. By the 9th minute, the visiting team found themselves trailing 0-1, a scoreline that remained unchanged until the final whistle. Notably, Paris played with a numerical advantage from the 57th minute and applied significant pressure on their opponents, yet they couldn't find the back of the net. The Parisians generated an xG of nearly 0.73, suggesting they were close to scoring, but they ultimately failed to claim even a single point.

    Match Results: Paris

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.72
    3
    3
    8
    9
    2
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris
    Paris
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.54
    8
    2
    13
    11
    0
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Paris
    Paris
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.95
    1.36
    6
    5
    9
    8
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Olympique Marseille

    📄 Adrien Rabiot got into a fight with his teammate John Rowe following their Ligue 1 opening round defeat to Rennes. Marseille's management has put both players on the transfer list, a decision supported by head coach Roberto De Zerbi. Rumors suggest Rabiot might make a return to Juventus. Meanwhile, Rowe has found a new club, with Marseille agreeing to sell him to Bologna for 19.5 million euros.

    ❌ Brazilian forward Igor Paixão, who Marseille acquired from Feyenoord in early August for 30 million euros, will not be able to play in the match against Paris. He is still undergoing medical examinations and recovering from a minor muscle injury. Defender Facundo Medina's participation in the upcoming match is also uncertain; he missed the last round due to an accumulation of yellow cards and is now ready to play but awaiting medical clearance.

    Paris

    📄 Kevin Trapp has signed a contract with Paris FC. The 35-year-old German international has agreed to terms until 2028. Trapp, who trained at Kaiserslautern and played for Eintracht Frankfurt, has made over 287 professional appearances. He will join the goalkeeping squad alongside Obed Nkambadio and Rémy Riou.

    ❌ Paris have no injury concerns or suspensions affecting their lineup. The team approaches the match against Marseille at full strength. 

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The referee for the upcoming match is Marc Bollengier. Over his last 66 matches, he averages 3.29 cards per game, with 27 fouls. Marseille have averaged 1.8 yellow cards in their last 10 games, while Paris have averaged 1.9. Considering both teams receive relatively few bookings and Bollengier is not quick to hand them out, a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5 seems reasonable.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In the last ten matches, Marseille have averaged 2.2 goals per game, while Paris have averaged 1.6. Although neither team scored in their last outing, their expected goals were quite high. We anticipate a surge of goals in this game and suggest a bet on total over 2.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Over a span of 10 matches, Marseille have averaged 6.8 corners per game, compared to Paris' 4.6. The corner handicap (-1.5) for the "southerners" has come through in six of their last nine games. Our prediction for this encounter is Marseille with a corner handicap of -1.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both clubs have had excellent preparations for the current season and have been impressive in attack, scoring in almost every match. In the first round, both Marseille and Paris had chances to score but couldn't capitalize on them. We expect the same intensity from the opponents in the upcoming clash and predict that the match will end in a high-scoring draw - 2-2. Our bet for this game is both teams to score.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -111*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 August 2025, 09:36)

    Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Paris

    Olympique Marseille have won:
    olympique-marseille-1in 7 of last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille Win
    Bovada
    -256
    Paris have not lost:
    paris-fc-98-in 7 of last 8 games.
    Paris will not lose
    Everygame
    +179
    Olympique Marseille have not lost:
    olympique-marseille-1in 12 of last 13 home games.
    olympique-marseille-1in 11 of last 12 home games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille will not lose
    Everygame
    -909
    Olympique Marseille have scored:
    olympique-marseille-1in 13 of last 14 home games.
    olympique-marseille-1in 12 of last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
    Paris have conceded:
    paris-fc-98-in last 7 away games.
    Olympique Marseille will score goal
    -1250
    View more facts

    Marseille - Paris Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    12.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341091543-5539

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 12
    0
    +9
    19 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    19
    12
    Conceded
    10
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats