Olimpia vs Zalgiris Prediction 12 November 2026
π In a EuroLeague regular-season game, Milano will play BC Zalgiris Kaunas. The teams come into the game in different frames of mind, but both defend well. This game is unlikely to produce many points. Both sidesβ defensive abilities should come to the fore.
Head-to-Head
π The teams last met in January, when BC Zalgiris Kaunas won 86:82 away from home. The Lithuanian club have a slight edge over the last five head-to-head games (3:2), and in four of those five games, the teams combined for fewer than 170 points.
Head-to-head statistics Olimpia - Zalgiris
Olimpia Milano: a bet on a slow tempo
The hosts are going through a difficult spell, having lost 3 of their last 5 games across all competitions. Milano have lost 3 straight in the EuroLeague, with their drop in offensive output particularly noticeable: 75 points against Panathinaikos, 78 against Olympiacos and just 73 in their recent game against Valencia. Milano average 83.2 points in the competition, with a modest field-goal percentage (45.8%) and limited success on the offensive glass (9.4 offensive rebounds).
Defensively, Milano are fairly well organised and concede 84.5 points per game, placing them in the middle of the defensive rankings. They take great care of the ball, committing just 11.4 turnovers per game, which denies opponents easy points on fast breaks. At home against one of the league leaders, the hosts will almost certainly opt for a physical, half-court game with tight control of the pace.
Match Results: Milano
Ε½algiris: the visitors are ready for a scrappy game
BC Zalgiris Kaunas are in phenomenal form, having won their last five games across all competitions. In the EuroLeague, the Lithuanian side are firmly established in the upper half of the table, relying above all on exemplary defence. The visitors concede just 79.8 points per game, one of the best defensive records in the league. Opponents shoot only 44.6% from the field against them and just 32.1% from three-point range.
In attack, BC Zalgiris Kaunas take a pragmatic approach, averaging 85.4 points with good three-point shooting (37.8%) and effective ball movement (18.9 assists). In away EuroLeague games, however, the Lithuanians traditionally play even more cautiously and with greater discipline, looking to slow the game down through tight marking. Away from home, BC Zalgiris Kaunas will not force the pace and will be comfortable with the hostsβ measured tempo.
Match Results: BC Zalgiris Kaunas
Match Result Prediction
Prediction on the Winner
Milano have lost 12 of their last 13 EuroLeague games. BC Zalgiris Kaunas have won 8 of their last 10 games, including 4 away wins. We pick BC Zalgiris Kaunas to win the game at odds of 1.67*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Points Prediction
In 8 of BC Zalgiris Kaunasβs last 9 away games in the EuroLeague, the total was under 169.5 points. Milanoβs recent home games have averaged 179.67 total points, so the 180.5 line calls for caution. Weβre backing Under 180.5 Total Points at odds of 1.31*.
Safer Bet
Reliable bet
At home, Milano have covered a first-quarter handicap of +2.5 in 19 of their last 21 games. We pick Milano +2.5 in the first quarter at odds of 1.5*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
β Editorβs prediction
Both teams base their game on defensive reliability. Milano are currently having clear difficulties scoring, while BC Zalgiris Kaunas have one of the toughest defences in the EuroLeague. It is hard to imagine either side opting for an open, attacking game. We expect a close, hard-fought game and therefore recommend betting on Total Points Under 172.
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Betting Tips: Milano - BC Zalgiris Kaunas
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