Milano vs Zalgiris Prediction 22 January 2026
🔊 Olimpia Milan host Zalgiris in another EuroLeague regular season clash, with the outcome potentially having a significant impact on both teams' standings. For the hosts, it's a chance to boost their play-in hopes, while the visitors are just two wins away from breaking into the Top 6. With both sides evenly matched, a tight contest is expected, likely to be decided in the clutch moments. Let's break down the matchup and offer an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Olimpia Milano and Zalgiris Kaunas:
- played 23 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 10 for today's home team and 13 for the guests;
- the home team averages 76.61 points per match, the guests - 79.13;
- average total match points - 155.74.
The last confrontation took place on 16 October 2025 at the venue of Zalgiris Kaunas and ended with a score of 78:89.
Head-to-head statistics Milano - Zalgiris
Olimpia Milano Team Overview
Olimpia Milan are navigating a challenging stretch this season, with a mixed bag of results: 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five games. Currently sitting in 12th place in the standings, the team shows an average record of 11 victories against 12 defeats. Their offensive output is underwhelming, averaging 85.1 points (14th), and their once formidable defense has recently faltered, conceding 86.3 points (14th).
Moreover, Olimpia tend to play low-scoring games at home, with the total staying under 171.5 points in six of their last seven matches. In their recent outing, the Italian side visited Real Madrid and suffered a heavy defeat (77-106). Milan need to regain their rhythm soon, as they have several EuroLeague matchups approaching where they will be considered favorites.
Match Results: Olimpia Milano
Zalgiris Kaunas Team Overview
Zalgiris are in slightly better form with three wins in their last five games. The team currently sits ninth, thanks to their consistency: 13 victories against just 10 losses this season highlight their competitiveness both on the road and at home. Zalgiris are known for their pragmatic style of play, focusing on defense (82 points allowed, 3rd), but they also boast a potent offense (88.1 points, 6th). It's no surprise that the total over 161.5 points has hit in all eight of their consecutive away games.
In the previous round, Masiulis' squad had no trouble on the road against underdogs ASVEL (96-77). Wright and Francisco once again led Kaunas' attack, scoring 18 and 20 points, respectively. The absence of another key player, Goss, went unnoticed. Now, they need to maintain this impressive offensive rhythm and defensive intensity, as facing Milan on Thursday will be significantly tougher.
Match Results: Zalgiris Kaunas
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 23;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 5; for the visitors on the road - 5;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 37.7;
- Today's home team averages 19.17, while the visitors average 18.52.
First Quarter Stats: Olimpia Milano (home) vs Zalgiris Kaunas (away)
- Tournament matches played: 11 vs 12;
- Number of wins: 4 (36.36%) vs 6 (50%);
- Number of losses: 6 (54.55%) vs 6 (50%);
- Number of draws: 1 (9.09%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 20.36 vs 23.75;
- Average points conceded: 21.45 vs 22.92.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 8 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44 (scored - 20.8, conceded - 23.2) vs 43.6 (scored - 22.9, conceded - 20.7).
- Olimpia Milano lost the 1st quarter in last 7 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 23;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 13.
Statistics: Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas
- number of tournament matches played: 23 vs 23;
- number of wins: 11 (47.83%) vs 13 (56.52%);
- number of losses: 12 (52.17%) vs 10 (43.48%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 7;
- number of losses: 4 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
- Zalgiris Kaunas won with a +3.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 76.61, for the away team - 79.13;
- average total points in H2H matches - 155.74.
Statistics: Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas
- average total in the tournament: 171.43 vs 170.09;
- average total points scored: 85.13 vs 88.13;
- average total points conceded: 86.3 vs 81.96;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.7 vs 42.7;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.39 vs 45.43;
- Olimpia Milano: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 86.91;
- Zalgiris Kaunas: average total points scored away in the tournament - 91.08;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 86.4 (home - 89.75) vs 91.5 (away - 88.33).
- Under 171.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Olimpia Milano home games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming game promises to be a showcase of tactical maneuvers from both sides. Considering the trends of both clubs, we anticipate a high-paced encounter on the court due to their evenly matched strengths. However, we have doubts about the game being high-scoring. Olympiacos tend to secure victories at home through their solid defense, which is particularly effective on their own court. It's unlikely that Žalgiris will find much freedom or easy shots on the opponent's half. We foresee a low-scoring battle and are placing our bets on under 169.5 total points.No comments
Betting Tips: Olimpia Milano - Zalgiris Kaunas
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