Valencia vs Bayern Prediction 12 November 2026
🏀 Valencia host Bayern Munich in the next round of EuroLeague games. The hosts are firmly among the leaders and look like one of the strongest teams this season. The visitors, meanwhile, are going through a difficult spell and sit in the bottom half of the standings. Home advantage and the difference in current form make the Spanish side clear favourites for this game.
Head-to-Head
📊 In last season’s EuroLeague, the teams split their two games, each winning at home. Valencia have a narrow 3-2 edge over their last five meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Valencia - Bayern
Valencia: a strong start with entertaining football
Valencia have made a strong start to the EuroLeague season, with 7 wins and 3 defeats. They sit third and have one of the league’s best scoring records, averaging almost 96 points per game. Valencia are confident on their home court, shoot well from beyond the arc and rarely suffer major defensive lapses. A win in this game would bring them closer to the best EuroLeague start in the club’s history.
The Spanish side play fast, aggressive basketball, focusing on early shots and pressure on the boards (13.8 offensive rebounds per game). Their driving force is T.J. Shorts, who averages 16.9 points and 5.6 assists while shooting 53.8% from three-point range. But the club have injury problems. Mirotic and Rivers will miss the game against Bayern Munich, significantly weakening the rotation.
Match Results: Valencia
Bayern Munich: underdogs again
Bayern Munich have a 3-7 record and sit 17th. They concede a lot of points (around 94-95 per game) and struggle to limit turnovers. Although Bayern Munich sometimes make life difficult for opponents on the road and have already picked up several away wins, they look inconsistent overall and often lose to more organised teams.
The German club traditionally rely heavily on their leaders, including Vladimir Lučić and other key rotation players. Bayern Munich try to create opportunities through pick-and-rolls and individual plays, but their weak defence often allows opponents to score easy points, and they struggle to control the pace.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Prediction for the 1st quarter
First-quarter prediction
In 20 of Valencia's last 21 home games, fewer than 49.5 points were scored in the first quarter. Across their last ten home games, Valencia averaged 25 points scored and 18 conceded in that period. We pick first-quarter total points under 49.5 at odds of 1.39.*
Total Goals Prediction
Total Points Prediction
Under 182.5 total points landed in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head games, while six consecutive meetings between these teams at Valencia's home court finished with fewer than 178.5 points. Meanwhile, nine of the Spanish club's last 10 games produced more than 174.5 points, a result that is compatible with the selected under. We pick Under 182.5 Total Points at odds of 1.97.*
Safer Bet
Reliable bet
Valencia have scored more than 19.5 points in the first quarter in 16 of their last 17 games. They have averaged 25 first-quarter points over their last ten home games. We pick Valencia Team Total Points Over 19.5 in the first quarter at odds of 1.22.*
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Valencia will look to set a high pace and make the most of home-court advantage. Bayern Munich will try to slow the game down and make it a battle. However, the difference in offensive organisation and defensive efficiency tips the balance in the hosts’ favour. Valencia have also historically played with great confidence against German clubs at home. The Spanish side’s pace and aggression on the perimeter, together with Shorts’ excellent form, could offset their personnel difficulties. We’ll pick Valencia to win with a -6.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Valencia - Bayern Munich
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