Real Madrid vs KK Crvena Zvezda Prediction 12 November 2026
π Real Madrid BC host KK Crvena Zvezda MTS in a EuroLeague game. The hosts are only eighth and go into the game with significant problems in the backcourt. KK Crvena Zvezda MTS, meanwhile, are enjoying an excellent season and have climbed to second place, so their clear underdog status with the bookmakers is somewhat surprising. Letβs see whether Real Madrid BC can live up to their billing as favourites.
Head-to-Head
π Last EuroLeague season, the teams each won at home, but Real Madrid BC have had a clear edge over a slightly longer period, winning four of their previous five head-to-head games.
Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - KK Crvena Zvezda
Real Madrid: injuries limit rotation
Real Madrid BC lost to Panathinaikos in overtime (112:115) in their latest EuroLeague game. However, they bounced back domestically with a 90:71 rout of Murcia on Sunday, retaining top spot in their domestic league. Despite their injury problems, Real Madridβs offence remains one of the most productive in the EuroLeague (96.2 points per game), but without key perimeter players, their defence has slipped to 88 points conceded per game.
Five important players are on Real Madridβs injury list: Facundo Campazzo, ThΓ©o Maledon, Mikael Jantunen, Gabriel Deck and Usman Garuba. That leaves AndrΓ©s Feliz and Sergio Llull to organise the offence, making it more predictable. Still, they have superstar big man Walter Tavares. If Real Madrid find a way to exploit Tavaresβ advantage in the paint, KK Crvena Zvezda MTS could run into foul trouble.
Match Results: Real Madrid BC
Crvena zvezda: the best defence is the foundation of their success
KK Crvena Zvezda MTS come into the game on a five-game winning streak in the EuroLeague. As well as winning away at Olympiacos (62:57), the Belgrade side thrashed Maccabi (100:78) and Bayern (103:73). Their defence is the best in the competition, allowing just 75 points per game on average, and they have won two of their last three away games.
With aggressive pressure on the perimeter and control of the boards, particularly against Tavares, the Serbian club could force Real Madrid BC into a slower, half-court game that does not suit them. The key battle will be on the perimeter. If KK Crvena Zvezda MTS can contain Feliz and force him to pass under pressure, Real Madrid BC's offence could stall.
Match Results: KK Crvena Zvezda MTS
Prediction for the 1st quarter
First Quarter Prediction
The first quarter produced over 44.5 points in 8 of Real Madrid BC's last 9 EuroLeague games. In their recent away games, KK Crvena Zvezda MTS have averaged 22.6 points scored and 23.8 points conceded in the first quarter. We pick First Quarter Total Points Over 44.5 at odds of 1.96.
Match Result Prediction
Prediction on the Outcome
KK Crvena Zvezda MTS have covered a (+8.5) handicap in 10 of their last 11 EuroLeague away games. Real Madrid BC have won 9 of their last 10 games, so backing the visitors with a handicap does not require them to win. We pick KK Crvena Zvezda MTS (+8.5) handicap at odds of 1.64.*
Total Goals Prediction
Total Points Prediction
Fewer than 178.5 points have been scored in each of KK Crvena Zvezda MTSβs last 10 EuroLeague games, and fewer than 175.5 in their last six away games. Weβre backing Under 178.5 Total Points at odds of 1.59.*
Safer Bet
Reliable bet
KK Crvena Zvezda MTS have covered the (+8.5) handicap away from home in 10 of their last 11 EuroLeague games. The (+10.5) handicap wins for every result that covered (+8.5) and also allows for a defeat by 9 or 10 points. We pick KK Crvena Zvezda MTS (+10.5) handicap at odds of 1.43.*
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
β Editorial Prediction
With Real Madrid BC missing both of their main point guards, and KK Crvena Zvezda MTS in better form and boasting the best defence in the competition, the visitors can give the hosts a close game even in Madrid, where MartΓnezβs team usually play very well. Real Madrid BC can still win thanks to Tavaresβs individual quality and the squadβs decent chemistry, but a wide margin is unlikely. We therefore think it makes sense to back KK Crvena Zvezda MTS with a +8.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Real Madrid BC - KK Crvena Zvezda MTS
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