Rockets vs Warriors Prediction 12 November 2026

Houston are among the Western Conference leaders, with a 73% win rate. They recently beat Denver 110-100. Their defence looks decent, allowing an average of 106.4 points per game. However, much depends on the opposition. For example, they had plenty of problems at the defensive end against Minnesota (107-117). And against one of the league's leaders in three-point shooting, Houston are unlikely to post flawless defensive numbers. In these circumstances, their offence becomes even more important. It averages 115.5 points per game, but with all their key scorers available, there is reason to expect improvement in that area.

Houston also look more than capable on the perimeter. They do not rely on long-range attempts particularly often, taking just 34.2 three-point shots per game on average. But they make a respectable 37.4% of them. Their ball movement is also worth noting: 27 assists per game. With Durant, VanVleet and Şengün, they can consistently break down the Warriors' defence. Home support should be particularly helpful: even their secondary options could find their shooting touch.

Golden State have been in much better form lately, with eight straight wins. They recently routed New Orleans 138-87. Before that, they had a tough game against Orlando, winning 126-119 after overtime. They have scored 120 or more points in three consecutive games. Their season average is almost identical at 120.4, the second-highest scoring average in the NBA. Unsurprisingly, the visitors’ greatest strength is their three-point shooting. Stephen Curry and his teammates are shooting 40.4% from beyond the arc. As results show, the Warriors have no trouble even against top opponents: they recently shot 39% against the Heat.

There are far more questions about Golden State’s defence than their offence. Curry himself is a weak link at the defensive end. Playing a small lineup with Green at centre may not be a good solution against Houston’s offence. Someone has to contain Şengün, but there is simply no suitable player for the job on the roster. Horford is no longer as mobile. The team concede an average of 111.2 points per game. Their chances of success are good, but their winning streak could still end against Houston.