Memphis vs Nuggets Prediction 12 November 2026
🔊 Memphis are unexpectedly ahead of Denver in the Western Conference standings, although the balance of power looked very different before the season began. The Grizzlies have been excellent on the road but regularly slip up at home. Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets, who have also lacked consistency so far, now visit FedExForum. The teams come into this game with different problems but the same desire to climb the standings.
Head-to-Head
📊 Denver have won 8 of their last 10 games against Memphis, including 3 of 4 in last season’s regular season. The teams last met in April: the Nuggets won at home (136-119), and the two teams scored a combined 255 points.
Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Nuggets
Memphis: worrying home form
The Grizzlies opened the new season with six straight wins, but their first extended home stand brought trouble. Memphis lost three times on their own court, with the 134-135 defeat to New Orleans particularly frustrating. Tuomas Iisalo’s team put on an attacking show but could not contain their opponents. A 118-102 win over Toronto ended the losing streak and helped the Grizzlies strengthen their position near the top of the Western Conference. The hosts now have seven wins in 10 games, although a return to their home court does not promise an easy time.
Memphis have no shortage of attacking firepower. They average 117.9 points, while Ty Jerome has unexpectedly become their leading scorer with 26.7 points per game. Young Cameron Boozer adds variety to the attack, and a strong frontcourt gives the Grizzlies extra opportunities through rebounds: 48.3 per game. The downside of that activity is occasional defensive lapses. Oklahoma City recently scored 128 points against Memphis, while absences have made the rotation more difficult to manage. Still, the hosts’ ability to keep scoring heavily even in games they lose remains one of their main strengths.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies
Denver: Jokic and Murray ready for a shootout
The Nuggets have yet to find championship-winning form. David Adelman’s team have won five of their nine games, alternating impressive performances with unexpected setbacks. For example, Denver comfortably beat Toronto (128-109), showing the full strength of their offence, but then lost to Houston (100-110). Even excellent performances from their leaders could not save the visitors: Jamal Murray scored 38 points and Nikola Jokic added 25, while the rest of the team managed just 37 between them. The Nuggets’ main problem is not a lack of attacking potential, but their inability to realise it consistently as a team.
Even with their current inconsistency, Denver are averaging 113.6 points and shooting almost 49% from the field. Jokic remains the driving force behind the offence, averaging 9.1 assists, while Murray, with 25.8 points per game, can spark a scoring run on his own. The Nuggets prefer carefully constructed half-court offence, but can also play a more open game when needed. That flexibility is especially important against Memphis: the hosts do not always recover quickly after turnovers and give opponents chances for open shots. If Jokic’s teammates shoot better than they did in Houston, Denver are quite capable of producing one of their highest-scoring games.
Match Results: Denver Nuggets
Latest news
Memphis Grizzlies
⛔ Pippen Jr., Post and Saunders are sidelined for Memphis. Stewart is doubtful.
📋 Projected starting five: Jerome, Coward, Wells, Boozer, Edey.
Denver Nuggets
⛔ Strawther is sidelined for Denver.
📋 Projected starting five: Murray, Brown, Johnson, Gordon, Jokic.
First-Quarter Prediction
Denver have scored at least 27 points in the first quarter in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head games against Memphis. They have also started other games strongly, reaching the same mark in 6 of their previous 7 NBA games. The Nuggets know how to get their key players involved in the offence early, which is particularly important against an opponent with an unsettled rotation. Our pick: Denver Nuggets First-Quarter Team Total Points Over 26.5 at 1.49*.
Prediction on the outcome
Memphis have covered the +4.5 handicap in 9 of their 10 games this season. The only exception was a heavy defeat to Oklahoma. However, just two wins in five home games make it hard to call the Grizzlies clear favourites. They are competitive enough, though, to give Denver a close game. Bet: Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 handicap at 1.80*.
Total Points Prediction
Denver have scored at least 117 points in nine of their last 10 head-to-head games against Memphis. In their previous meeting, the Nuggets scored 136 points. However, the team are averaging a more modest 113.6 points this season. The bet therefore relies more on their head-to-head record and the ability of Denver’s leading players to find shooting opportunities against this particular opponent. We’re backing Denver Nuggets Team Total Points Over 116.5 at 1.90*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Memphis and Denver both have strong attacking options, though they use them differently. The Grizzlies can keep scoring at a high rate through activity on the perimeter and rebounding, while the Nuggets prefer a more measured offence built around Jokic and Murray. Their head-to-head record also points to a high-scoring game: the teams have combined for more than 225.5 points in 9 of their last 10 meetings. Despite Denver’s occasional offensive struggles, both teams should have enough scoring potential to clear that mark. The main prediction is Total Points Over 225.5.
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