Warriors vs Rockets Prediction 3 May 2025
🔊 Can the Rockets bring the series back to Texas? In Game 6 of the NBA first-round playoffs, Houston face off against Golden State. Kerr's side currently hold the advantage, and the upcoming clash could see them advance further. The Rockets will aim to counter this, but defense alone won't suffice. The game is set to be tense, with potential fouls, including unsportsmanlike ones. Expect a gritty contest, yet both teams have solid scoring options on their rosters.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last game of the series saw Houston claim a significant victory with a score of 131-116. However, Golden State lead the matchup 3-2.
Head-to-head statistics Warriors - Rockets

Golden State Warriors Team Overview
The home team has struggled with consistency so far. There was hope that after two successful home games (109-106, 104-93), the Warriors would continue to dominate defensively. However, Green couldn't effectively contain Sengun again. And to put it mildly, the Warriors' perimeter game didn't click from the start. Still, playing on their home court might see fortune swing back in Kerr's squad's favor. It's not just about Curry, who has been running tirelessly, creating shots, and taking charge in crucial moments throughout all five encounters.
Let's focus on the supporting cast-Podziemski, Moody, and Hield are delivering crucial shots. There's no point in diving into extensive metrics in this scenario. The playoffs are unpredictable. However, it's reasonable to predict that the match won't be wide open. There's a lot at stake. Green and Butler are likely to spend almost the entire 48 minutes on the court, which will put pressure on the Rockets. In the last home game, it was the energy of these players that sparked a comeback.
Match Results: Golden State Warriors

Houston Rockets Team Overview
Houston exacted full revenge for their two away setbacks. Back on home turf, the Rockets found their rhythm, sinking 43.3% of their three-pointers. Their defense also shone brightly. Udoka has emphasized defensive prowess throughout the regular season, and at home, it operates at the highest level. Even on the road, overall, the Rockets defend excellently, especially when they have their twin towers, Sengun and Adams, under the basket.
Often, the Rockets leverage their size advantage-they are generally taller than Golden State. It's possible this strategy will be employed again. However, the Rockets are a young team with limited experience. It's challenging to maintain the same level of consistency as in their last outing (76 points in one half). Points will come, but only through hard-fought possessions. A walk in the park is off the table. Elimination is at stake.
Match Results: Houston Rockets
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 78;
- Home team wins - 50, away team wins - 28.
- Golden State Warriors have won in 9 of last 10 home games against Houston Rockets (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 109.86, for the away team - 105.04;
- average total points in H2H matches - 214.9.
Statistics: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets
- average total in the tournament: 223.52 vs 223.17;
- average total points scored: 113.3 vs 113.75;
- average total points conceded: 110.23 vs 109.43;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 54.69 vs 56.93;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 58.42 vs 56.31;
- Golden State Warriors: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 112.41;
- Houston Rockets: average total points scored away in the tournament - 114.12;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 110.5 (home - 112.8) vs 109.2 (away - 106.2).
- Houston Rockets have scored over 98.5 points in 15 of last 17 away games against Golden State Warriors (NBA).
Editorial Prediction
In this matchup, bookmakers have Golden State as the favorites. The home-court advantage is crucial in the playoffs, especially for the Warriors, who possess significant experience. Emotional stability could be the key to deciding the outcome of this clash. As long as Curry is on the court, things should go smoothly, though it will likely unfold through extended plays. The Rockets are expected to put up a similar fight, but intense competition often leads to numerous fouls and, consequently, plenty of free throws. The last minute is likely to drag on, with the Rockets facing elimination risk. Bookmakers anticipate a low-scoring game, which presents an opportunity-over 201.5 points total.