Raptors vs Celtics Prediction 12 November 2026
🏀 The Eastern Conference leaders, Boston Celtics, visit the Toronto Raptors for a game in Toronto. Boston are comfortably top of the standings and arrive on a winning streak, while Toronto are hovering around a 50% win rate and have roster problems. This game will test the Celtics’ depth on the road and the hosts’ ability to spring a welcome surprise for their fans.
Head-to-Head
📊 Boston have won eight of their last ten head-to-head games against Toronto, including all three in the previous regular season. Their most recent game was in April 2026, when the Celtics won 115-101.
Head-to-head statistics Raptors - Celtics
Toronto: finding it increasingly tough without their key players
The Raptors lost their latest home game to Memphis (118:102). It was the Canadian side’s fourth defeat in their last six games, dropping their record to 5-5. Before that, Toronto beat Milwaukee (121:107) on Friday, but did so without Barnes and Quickley, as well as Leonard, who has now missed eight straight games with knee inflammation.
The key battles in this game will be in the paint and on the perimeter. The Raptors rank second in the league in offensive rebounding percentage, and that is their only statistical advantage. However, Boston’s depth and mobility in the frontcourt could neutralise that threat. Without Barnes and Quickley, Toronto’s offence becomes predictable and reliant on outside shooting, an area where Rajaković’s side have struggled consistently (31.8%, 27th in the league).
Match Results: Toronto Raptors
Boston: the system is working brilliantly
Boston come into the game on a three-game winning streak. In their most recent game, the Celtics thrashed a strong Philadelphia side on the road (123:101), moving ahead of the Sixers in the race for the top spot in the East. Before that, they beat Milwaukee (117:97) and Charlotte (119:80). Boston have won four of their last five games, and their average point differential (+9) is significantly better than Toronto’s (+0.2).
The key battle and main intrigue of the game is the Celtics’ efficient offence (118.3 points per 100 possessions) against a Raptors defence that, without Leonard and Barnes, loses not only quality but also structural cohesion. With Tatum and White, Boston control the pace and readily punish turnovers, so it is no surprise that the Celtics are clear betting favourites despite playing on the second night of a back-to-back.
Match Results: Boston Celtics
Latest news
Toronto Raptors
⛔ Leonard and Barnes will not play for Toronto, while Quickley, Murray-Boyles and J. Davis are questionable.
📋 Projected lineup: Barrett, Poeltl, Shead, Anderson, Walter.
Boston Celtics
✅ All Boston players are available for the game.
📋 Projected starting five: Tatum, Queta, White, Walsh, George.
Prediction on the Outcome
Boston have won 9 of their last 10 NBA games; Toronto have won 5 over the same stretch. The Celtics have conceded an average of 102.3 points over their last ten games, compared with 113.3 for Toronto. We’re backing the visitors to win at odds of 1.33.
Total Points Prediction
The total exceeded 216.5 points in Toronto's last eight home games. In addition, the team's last six games finished with more than 227.5 points. We pick Total Points Over 216.5 at odds of 1.93.
Top Scorers
Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.1 points per game this season, and he remains central to Boston's offence. The key factor is his matchup against Toronto's defence. Without Leonard and Barnes, the Raptors lack mobility on the perimeter, while their defence in the paint is even weaker. Let's back Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points at odds of 1.79*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Boston are in excellent form and should not miss the chance to capitalise on the home side’s weakened roster. The Celtics know how to contain opponents and rarely let opposing offences find their rhythm, even on the road. Toronto have the potential to play well at home, but recent games show that the visitors are reliable defensively and rarely have lapses. The Canadian side also face serious defensive problems without Barnes and Kawhi. The defeat to Memphis showed that Toronto cannot compete even with mid-level teams when their leaders are absent. We’re backing the Celtics to win with a -5.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Toronto Raptors - Boston Celtics
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